propaganda

propaganda Price Today & AI Analysis

propagandaBaseAnalysis as of Sep 26, 2026

Price

$0.045680

+29.69% 24h

Contract

Live
0xfe9ede4478ad200a2186175a81f9ce9f0e679270

Chain

Holders

35.4K

Market cap

$56.80K

Liquidity

$66.81K

More tokens on Base

propaganda: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-26 04:45 UTC

Holder addresses

35,443

Top 10 supply share

57.46%

Reported liquidity

$66,813.00
How concentrated is propaganda ownership?
As of 2026-09-26 04:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 57.46% of supply. It reports 35,443 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling propaganda?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-26 04:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $2,058.00 in buys and $677.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is propaganda liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +24.00%, from $23,735.99 (2026-09-25 11:00 UTC) to $29,433.60 (2026-09-26 03:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-26 04:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 11:00 UTC$23,735.99
2026-09-26 02:00 UTC$24,904.31
2026-09-26 03:00 UTC$29,433.60

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 26, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$56.80K

24h Volume

$2.73K

Liquidity

$66.81K

FDV

—

Holders

35,443

24h

Loading trading activity…

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

Propaganda (propaganda) is a Base-chain token, 14 months old, trading at $0.000056800309683 with a $56,800 market cap that is fully diluted (100% of the 1,000,000,000 supply is circulating). The token has rallied sharply over the past 30-90 days (+106.1% / +89.2%) and just posted a 29.7% single-day gain, pushing price near the top of its 91-day trading range close to key resistance at $0.00005826-$0.00006273. Aggregate holder data shows 35,443 holders with the top 10 wallets controlling 57.5% of supply, but no per-wallet, security-audit, or smart-money data is available to independently verify the quality of this distribution or the contract's safety.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 26, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Fully circulating supply (market cap equals FDV) removes future unlock/dilution overhang
  • Large nominal holder base of 35,443 addresses despite a small $56,800 market cap
  • No project description, category, or use case is provided, leaving the token's actual purpose unverifiable from available data

propaganda AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

Price has surged 36.2% over the past 7 days and closed the most recent session at $0.00005681, up 29.7% in a single day, pushing into the upper 14% of its 91-day range. The move puts price just below the computed immediate resistance of $0.00005826, making a test of that level likely in the near term, though the sharp single-day spike raises the odds of a pullback first.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day (+106.1%) and 90-day (+89.2%) trends are both strongly positive, and price is trading near multi-month highs at 86% of its 91-day range. A sustained move above the major resistance of $0.00006273 would confirm trend continuation, but the magnitude of the recent rally combined with 8.8% daily volatility means a corrective retracement toward the $0.0000430 support zone is also plausible before any further advance.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price change of +106.1% and 90-day change of +89.2% show a sustained multi-month uptrend, not a one-off spike
  • 24h buy volume ($2,058) outpaces sell volume ($677) by roughly 3-to-1, a 75.2% buy-pressure reading
  • Price closed the latest session at $0.00005681, within 4% of the immediate resistance level ($0.00005826) and just 9% below the 91-day major resistance ($0.00006273)

Bearish Factors

  • 24h sell transactions (79) outnumber buy transactions (17) by more than 4-to-1, and unique sellers (23) exceed unique buyers (11) by roughly 2-to-1, suggesting broad-based profit-taking even as dollar buy volume leads
  • Daily volatility of 8.8% combined with a +29.7% single-day move increases the probability of a sharp mean-reversion pullback
  • In the most recent 1-hour window, activity dropped to just 1 unique buyer and 1 unique seller across 30 transactions, indicating the tape is thin and easily moved by a small number of wallets
  • Total liquidity of $66,813 is modest relative to the fully circulating $56,800 market cap, meaning larger trades could move price significantly in either direction

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

propaganda call history

Full track record →

Sep 26bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xfe9e...9270
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Top 10 wallets hold 57.5% of the 1B supply with unknown identities, and thin liquidity ($66,813) means a large holder exiting could move price sharply
  • The token just posted a +29.7% single-day gain on top of a +106.1% 30-day rally; 8.8% daily volatility raises the risk of a fast corrective pullback toward the $0.0000430 support or lower
  • 24h transaction counts show 79 sells versus only 17 buys, and the most recent 1-hour window involved just one unique buyer and one unique seller — order flow is thin and easily dominated by a handful of wallets
  • No contract-security, audit, or verification data is available on this chain's provider, so smart contract risks (e.g., minting, ownership controls) cannot be ruled out

Trading Insight

bullish

Dollar-denominated flow is clearly buy-dominant (75.2% buy pressure, net +$1,381 inflow), consistent with the bullish daily price trend, but transaction counts skew heavily toward selling (79 sells vs 17 buys), implying many smaller holders are taking profit into a smaller number of larger buy orders.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The 7-day change of +36.2% confirms an active short-term uptrend, while the 30-day (+106.1%) and 90-day (+89.2%) changes confirm this is part of a sustained medium-term advance rather than an isolated spike. Price now sits at 86% of its 91-day range, just below the immediate resistance level.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +29.7% single-day close following weeks of gradual gains, combined with price sitting near the top of its 91-day range and 8.8% daily volatility, is consistent with short-term overbought conditions where a pause or pullback is statistically more likely before further upside.

Volume Analysis

Buy

75.2%

Sell

24.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

24h and 4h volume/transaction figures are identical, indicating a concentrated burst of activity in the last four hours coincident with the price spike, rather than volume building steadily over the full day. Buy-side dollar volume ($2,058) dominates sell-side ($677), even though sell transaction count is far higher, pointing to fewer but larger buy orders against many smaller sells.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes climbed gradually from roughly $0.0000393 to $0.0000430 over the prior ~10 sessions before a sharp breakout close at $0.00005681, a single-session gain of 29.7% that pushed the token to the upper end of its 91-day range.

Sharp breakout candles following a basing/consolidation phase often precede either a continuation toward new highs on strong follow-through volume, or a profit-taking pullback if buying interest fails to sustain — the elevated 8.8% daily volatility here favors caution on either outcome.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00004300

Major support

$0.00002095

Immediate resistance

$0.00005826

Major resistance

$0.00006273

These levels are derived from actual 91-day OHLC swing highs and lows. Current price ($0.00005681) is sandwiched between immediate support at $0.0000430 (roughly 24% below) and immediate resistance at $0.00005826 (roughly 3% above); a break above resistance opens the path toward the major resistance at $0.00006273, while a break below immediate support risks a slide back toward the major support at $0.00002095, which marks the 91-day low.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

74/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    8.8% daily return volatility and a +29.7% single-day move, layered on top of a +106.1% 30-day rally, indicate a highly volatile trading environment prone to sharp reversals.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $66,813 against a fully circulating $56,800 market cap is thin in absolute terms; the most recent 1-hour window showed only single-digit unique traders, meaning larger orders could produce outsized slippage.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    The top 10 holders control 57.5% of total supply, and no per-wallet identity or classification data is available to confirm whether this reflects protocol/exchange holdings or individually dumpable positions — the uncertainty itself is treated as elevated risk.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an unclassified, low-market-cap token with no disclosed use case, it carries generic regulatory uncertainty common to small-cap crypto assets, though no token-specific regulatory red flags were identified in the data.

Key Risks

  • Top 10 wallets hold 57.5% of the 1B supply with unknown identities, and thin liquidity ($66,813) means a large holder exiting could move price sharply
  • The token just posted a +29.7% single-day gain on top of a +106.1% 30-day rally; 8.8% daily volatility raises the risk of a fast corrective pullback toward the $0.0000430 support or lower
  • 24h transaction counts show 79 sells versus only 17 buys, and the most recent 1-hour window involved just one unique buyer and one unique seller — order flow is thin and easily dominated by a handful of wallets
  • No contract-security, audit, or verification data is available on this chain's provider, so smart contract risks (e.g., minting, ownership controls) cannot be ruled out
  • No project description, category, or use case was disclosed, making it impossible to assess the token's underlying fundamental value

Mitigating Factors

  • The full token supply is already circulating (market cap equals FDV), removing the risk of future unlock-driven dilution
  • A broad nominal holder base of 35,443 addresses may somewhat diffuse the practical impact of activity outside the concentrated top 10 wallets

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with micro-cap volatility, thin liquidity, and significant informational gaps (no security audit, no holder-growth or smart-money data); not appropriate for conservative or long-horizon investors.

Propaganda is a micro-cap, fully-circulating Base token that has rallied strongly over the past 30-90 days and is now testing resistance near multi-month highs, but it carries elevated volatility, concentrated aggregate holdings, and a near-total absence of fundamental, security, and smart-money data. Any position should be sized with the understanding that both upside continuation and sharp reversal are plausible given the data available.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price breaks and holds above the immediate resistance of $0.00005826, confirming continuation of the 30-day (+106.1%) and 90-day (+89.2%) uptrend, with sustained buy-volume dominance (currently 75.2%) drawing in further momentum-driven demand toward the major resistance of $0.00006273 and beyond.

  • Continued dollar-volume buy dominance validating the recent breakout rather than reflecting a single volume burst
  • A confirmed daily close above the $0.00006273 major resistance opening a fresh price-discovery phase

Base Case

Price consolidates in a range roughly between the immediate support ($0.0000430) and immediate resistance ($0.00005826) as the market digests the recent 29.7% single-day gain, with direction ultimately determined by whether buy-volume dominance persists or sell-transaction pressure intensifies.

  • No major new catalyst (listing, partnership, or liquidity injection) emerges in the near term
  • Current liquidity depth ($66,813) remains roughly stable, limiting the magnitude of any single large trade's price impact

Bear Case

Medium probability

The +29.7% single-day surge proves unsustainable given thin, single-wallet-dominated order flow in the latest hour and a 79-to-17 sell-to-buy transaction skew, leading to profit-taking that pulls price back through immediate support ($0.0000430) toward the major support at $0.00002095.

  • High sell transaction count and unique-seller count relative to buyers signaling broad distribution
  • Elevated 8.8% daily volatility increasing the likelihood of a sharp mean-reversion move after a parabolic gain

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 26, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-26 04:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000056800309683

Market Cap

$56.8K

24h Volume

$2.7K

Holders

35,443

Liquidity

$66,813.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security/audit data were unavailable for this chain and could not be incorporated
  • No per-wallet holder identity or classification data was available, so aggregate top-10 concentration (57.5%) could not be distinguished between protocol/exchange holdings and individually dumpable whale positions
  • No project description, category, or use-case information was provided, limiting fundamental analysis to tokenomics and market metrics only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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