PDT

Paragons DAO Token Price Today & AI Analysis

PDTBaseAnalysis as of Aug 7, 2026

Price

$0.0634

-2.50% 24h

Contract

Live
0xeff2a458e464b07088bdb441c21a42ab4b61e07e

Chain

Base

Holders

8.0K

Market cap

$4.58M

Liquidity

$149.78K

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Paragons DAO Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-07 00:32 UTC

Holder addresses

7,980

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$236,299.84
How concentrated is Paragons DAO Token ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 7,980 addresses (2026-08-07 00:32 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Paragons DAO Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paragons DAO Token liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-07 00:32 UTC, reported liquidity was $236,299.84. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-07 00:32 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 7, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC

Market Cap

$4.52M

24h Volume

$168.16K

Liquidity

$236.30K

FDV

—

Holders

7,980

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Paragons DAO Token (PDT) is a 25.4-month-old GameFi utility token on Base (chain 0x2105), operating as a partner-DAO to the Parallel TCG blockchain game and trading at $0.05355 with a market cap of approximately $4.52M. The token is in a confirmed medium-term downtrend (-7.3% over 7 days, -11.4% over 30 days), with today's 80.8% 24-hour price spike representing noise against that backdrop rather than a trend reversal. Holder concentration is technically extreme at 99% in the top 10, but all top holders are classified as protocol/contract wallets, leaving genuine dumpable supply at just 1.1% — a structural positive that is offset by the fact that 86.2% of holders received PDT via airdrop and carry no cost basis. With thin liquidity of $236K, stagnant holder growth, and a below-average security score of 47/100, PDT carries elevated risk and is best suited to investors with high risk tolerance and a specific thesis on Parallel TCG's growth.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 7, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Partner-DAO model giving token holders collective governance over DAO-held gaming assets (Masterpieces, Catalyst Drives, Prime Keys) within the Parallel TCG ecosystem
  • Virtually zero dumpable whale risk despite extreme top-10 concentration, because all major holders are classified as protocol/contract wallets rather than individual actors
  • Overwhelmingly airdrop-driven holder base (86.2% of 7,980 holders) creating a structurally zero-cost-basis supply overhang that distinguishes PDT from tokens with organic accumulation histories

Paragons DAO Token AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

Despite a sharp 80.8% single-day price spike, the underlying 7-day trend is -7.3% and the 30-day trend is -11.4%, indicating a persistent downtrend that predates today's move. The current price at $0.05355 sits just below the immediate resistance of $0.05357, making a near-term rejection highly probable. With sell pressure at 51.5% and a notable smart-money wallet (0xe020d5) executing four consecutive sells totalling over $10,800 in recent trades, the short-term bias is bearish.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day decline of -11.4% reflects a sustained distribution phase, and with 86.5% of holders having acquired PDT via airdrop, organic demand remains structurally weak. The GameFi sector continues to face headwinds, and PDT's market cap of $4.52M with thin liquidity of $236K leaves it vulnerable to further drawdowns toward the major support at $0.01683. A recovery toward the major resistance of $0.06385 would require a meaningful catalyst such as a Parallel TCG milestone or broader GameFi sector rotation.

Bullish Factors

  • Price sits at 78% of its 79-day range ($0.01683–$0.06385), meaning it has already recovered substantially from its period low, suggesting underlying demand at lower levels.
  • Dumpable supply is only 1.1% of total supply — the top 10 holders are classified as protocol/contract wallets, meaning there is virtually no near-term whale dump risk from the concentration.
  • Smart money wallet 0xbc4bfa has realized +$165,514 (+54%) over 11 trades, indicating at least one sophisticated participant has found profitable entry and exit points in PDT.
  • The 1-hour window shows 13 unique buyers versus only 1 unique seller, suggesting short-term buying interest is broadening even as sell pressure dominates in dollar terms.

Bearish Factors

  • The 7-day trend of -7.3% and 30-day trend of -11.4% confirm a sustained downtrend that the 24-hour spike does not reverse.
  • Smart money wallet 0xe020d5 — which has realized +$7,021 (+181%) — executed four consecutive sell transactions totalling over $10,800 in the most recent notable trades, signalling active distribution by a profitable trader.
  • 86.2% of all holders (6,882 of 7,980) acquired PDT via airdrop, indicating the majority of the holder base has zero cost basis and faces no loss from selling, creating persistent structural sell pressure.
  • Holder growth is negligible: only 9 new holders over both the past 24 hours and the past 7 days (0.11%), and 17 over 30 days (0.21%), showing the project is failing to attract new participants.
  • Security score of 47/100 is below the midpoint, flagging meaningful smart contract or operational risk that institutional or cautious retail participants would avoid.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PDT call history

Full track record →

Aug 7bearish
24h+0.3%
7d+3.2%
30d+10.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xeff2...e07e
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Ecosystem dependency: PDT's entire value proposition is tied to Parallel TCG's success. If the game fails to grow its user base or loses developer support, PDT has no independent utility to fall back on.
  • Airdrop-driven supply overhang: With 6,882 of 7,980 holders (86.2%) having received PDT for free, a large proportion of the holder base can sell at any price without realizing a loss, creating persistent downward pressure that is difficult to overcome without massive new demand.
  • Liquidity fragility: The $236K liquidity pool means the token is highly susceptible to price manipulation, flash crashes, and exit liquidity problems for any holder attempting to sell a position worth more than a few thousand dollars.

Trading Insight

bearish

Trading sentiment is marginally bearish: sell pressure edges out buy pressure at 51.5% vs 48.5% by volume, and the most active recent large trader (0xe020d5) has been consistently selling. The 24-hour transaction count of 206 total trades (105 buys, 101 sells) across $168K in combined volume is modest for a token that spiked 80.8%, suggesting the move was driven by thin liquidity rather than broad conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Both the 7-day (-7.3%) and 30-day (-11.4%) trends confirm a sustained downtrend. The recent daily close sequence — from $0.06162 down to $0.05355 over 14 sessions — shows a clear pattern of lower closes with only brief recoveries. The current price at $0.05355 remains below the opening close of this window ($0.06162), reinforcing the bearish medium-term structure.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

The 80.8% single-session price spike has pushed PDT to 78% of its 79-day range, pressing directly against immediate resistance at $0.05357. This rapid move in a low-liquidity environment typically signals short-term exhaustion rather than sustainable momentum, and the price sitting at the top of recent range without a confirmed breakout above $0.05357 suggests overbought conditions on the short-term timeframe.

Volume Analysis

Buy

48.5%

Sell

51.5%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The 24-hour volume of ~$168K is elevated relative to the token's typical activity given its $236K liquidity pool, but the spike appears driven by the price move itself rather than preceding it — a pattern more consistent with a short squeeze or liquidity hunt than organic accumulation. Sell volume ($86,644) marginally exceeds buy volume ($81,514), confirming net outflow despite the price spike.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a descending channel from $0.06162 to a low of $0.05203 before the current session's spike to $0.05355. The price is now testing immediate resistance at $0.05357 after a sharp single-session recovery.

A failure to close above $0.05357 would confirm this as a dead-cat bounce within the prevailing downtrend. A sustained close above $0.05357 would be the first bullish signal in the recent sequence, potentially targeting the major resistance at $0.06385.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.05240

Major support

$0.01683

Immediate resistance

$0.05357

Major resistance

$0.06385

The immediate resistance at $0.05357 is critical — the current price of $0.05355 is essentially testing this level in real time, and a rejection here would send price back toward immediate support at $0.05240. The major support at $0.01683 represents the 79-day period low and would imply a ~69% drawdown from current levels if reached, underscoring the asymmetric downside risk in a continued bear scenario. The major resistance at $0.06385 is the 79-day high and would represent a ~19% gain from current levels if reclaimed.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 3.0% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, and the 80.8% single-session spike demonstrates that thin liquidity can produce extreme intraday moves in either direction. The 79-day range of $0.01683 to $0.06385 represents a 280% spread, confirming high historical volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $236,300 against a $4.52M market cap creates a 5.2% liquidity ratio. Any sell order above ~$10,000–$20,000 will cause significant price impact, and a coordinated exit by even a small number of holders could collapse the price rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    GameFi tokens with governance rights and DAO treasury control may attract regulatory scrutiny as potential securities in certain jurisdictions. The DAO structure and collective asset management model could be interpreted as an investment contract under frameworks like the Howey Test.

Key Risks

  • Ecosystem dependency: PDT's entire value proposition is tied to Parallel TCG's success. If the game fails to grow its user base or loses developer support, PDT has no independent utility to fall back on.
  • Airdrop-driven supply overhang: With 6,882 of 7,980 holders (86.2%) having received PDT for free, a large proportion of the holder base can sell at any price without realizing a loss, creating persistent downward pressure that is difficult to overcome without massive new demand.
  • Liquidity fragility: The $236K liquidity pool means the token is highly susceptible to price manipulation, flash crashes, and exit liquidity problems for any holder attempting to sell a position worth more than a few thousand dollars.

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply of only 1.1% means the top holders — who control 99% of supply — are protocol contracts that cannot execute a coordinated dump, significantly reducing the most common rug-pull vector.
  • 25.4 months of operational history without a reported exploit or exit scam provides a meaningful track record that distinguishes PDT from newer, higher-risk launches.

Investor Suitability

PDT is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with a specific conviction thesis on Parallel TCG's growth trajectory and the GameFi sector. It is not appropriate for capital preservation, income generation, or investors who cannot afford to lose their entire position. Position sizing should account for the high liquidity risk and the difficulty of exiting larger positions without significant slippage.

PDT is a high-risk, high-volatility GameFi governance token whose value is entirely contingent on Parallel TCG's ecosystem growth. The current medium-term downtrend, stagnant holder growth, and active smart money distribution argue against near-term appreciation, while the low dumpable supply and established operational history provide a floor of structural stability.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Parallel TCG achieves a significant user growth milestone or announces a major partnership, driving organic demand for PDT as new players seek governance access to DAO-held gaming assets. A broader GameFi sector recovery amplifies this, pushing PDT toward the major resistance at $0.06385 and potentially beyond.

  • Parallel TCG user base growth converting into PDT demand from new players seeking DAO participation
  • Broader GameFi/NFT market recovery creating sector-wide tailwinds for partner-DAO tokens

Base Case

PDT consolidates in the $0.03–$0.055 range over the next 30–90 days, with the downtrend moderating as airdrop selling exhausts itself but failing to reverse without a meaningful Parallel TCG catalyst. Holder growth remains near zero and liquidity stays thin.

  • Parallel TCG continues development without a major launch event that would drive new PDT demand
  • Airdrop-driven selling pressure gradually diminishes as zero-cost holders who intend to sell have already done so

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 30-day downtrend continues as airdrop recipients gradually liquidate their zero-cost positions, smart money completes its distribution, and Parallel TCG fails to demonstrate meaningful user growth. Thin liquidity amplifies selling pressure, driving PDT toward the major support at $0.01683 — a ~69% decline from current levels.

  • Persistent airdrop supply overhang with 86.2% of holders at zero cost basis continuing to sell into any price strength
  • Smart money distribution by profitable wallets (particularly 0xe020d5 with 181% realized returns) removing buy-side support

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 7, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-07 00:32 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.053553486584621293

Market Cap

$4.52M

24h Volume

$168.2K

Holders

7,980

Liquidity

$236,299.84

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, Aerodrome DEX)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)79-day daily OHLC price historySmart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Notable recent on-chain swap dataSmart contract security assessment (47/100 score)Token deployer and holder classification data

Limitations

  • 90-day price change data is unavailable, limiting the full medium-term trend picture to the 79-day OHLC window provided
  • The specific flags driving the 47/100 security score are not disclosed in the data, preventing a detailed breakdown of smart contract risks
  • Holder tier thresholds (whale, shark, dolphin, fish, octopus) are Moralis-defined with unpublished exact supply-share cutoffs, limiting precise interpretation of tier transitions

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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