MUSD

Mezo USD Price Today & AI Analysis

MUSDBaseAnalysis as of Apr 27, 2026

Price

$0.9894

-0.01% 24h

Contract

Live
0xdd468a1ddc392dcdbef6db6e34e89aa338f9f186

Chain

Holders

2.3K

Market cap

$1.05M

Liquidity

$207.50K

At a $10M market cap, $MUSD would be $9.42 (9.52x from today’s price)

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More tokens on Base

Mezo USD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-27 14:23 UTC

Holder addresses

1,555

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$44,289.82
How concentrated is Mezo USD ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,555 addresses (2026-04-27 14:23 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Mezo USD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Mezo USD liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-27 14:23 UTC, reported liquidity was $44,289.82. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-27 14:23 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 27, 2026, 02:23 PM UTC

Market Cap

$20.48M

24h Volume

$212.52K

Liquidity

$44.29K

FDV

—

Holders

1,555

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Neutral

MUSD is a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin on the Base chain, utilizing a CDP model where users deposit BTC to mint MUSD at high loan-to-value ratios while maintaining over-collateralization for peg stability. With a current price of $1.004 and market cap of $20,480,344, it positions itself in the stablecoin sector but faces challenges from low liquidity and high supply concentration in top holders. The token's current state shows balanced trading activity but concerning holder attrition, suggesting caution for investors seeking stable value preservation.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 27, 2026, 02:23 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Fully backed by Bitcoin with redeemable for BTC feature
  • High LTV borrowing up to 90% with automatic liquidations
  • Over-collateralization model ensuring peg integrity

Mezo USD AI Price Analysis

High Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

MUSD, as a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin, shows minimal price volatility with the current price at $1.004, reflecting strong peg maintenance despite slight deviations. Trading data indicates balanced buy and sell pressures at 50.1% and 49.9%, suggesting stability in the short term without significant upward or downward momentum. Minor price changes over 5 minutes to 24 hours (ranging from -0.001% to +0.024%) support a sideways trend around the $1 peg.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over the medium term, MUSD is expected to maintain its USD peg through its collateralized debt position model, with over-collateralization ensuring backing by Bitcoin. Potential fluctuations could arise from BTC price volatility affecting collateral values, but the system's liquidation mechanisms should prevent significant depegging. Growth in user adoption for borrowing could stabilize or slightly appreciate the price toward $1 if demand increases.

Bullish Factors

  • Balanced buy/sell volume with $106,517 buys vs $105,998 sells indicating steady demand
  • High over-collateralization (>110% system-wide) reducing depegging risk

Bearish Factors

  • Extremely low liquidity of $44,289 potentially leading to slippage during volatile periods
  • Massive holder decline of -7196 in 24h signaling potential distribution or data anomalies

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xdd46...f186
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Critical supply concentration could lead to whale-induced depegging
  • Sharp holder declines may indicate underlying project issues or data errors
  • Low liquidity heightens execution risks in volatile markets

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment for MUSD is neutral, with buy pressure at 50.1% slightly edging out sell pressure at 49.9%, reflecting equilibrium in trading activity. The 24-hour volume is balanced at $106,517 buys and $105,998 sells, indicating steady but not aggressive interest in the stablecoin. Recent transaction counts show more buys (696) than sells (455), but unique sellers (104) outnumber unique buyers (83), suggesting some distribution among a broader base.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is sideways with price oscillating minimally around $1.004, as seen in the 24-hour change of +0.013% and balanced volumes. Medium-term, the stablecoin's peg mechanism supports continued sideways movement, unless BTC volatility impacts collateral. Overall, the lack of significant price swings aligns with stablecoin characteristics, showing no clear uptrend or downtrend.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, with minor positive changes over 1h (+0.024%) and 4h (+0.017%), but no overbought or oversold signals given the stable price action typical of pegged assets.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.1%

Sell

49.9%

Volume Trend

Stable

Volume remains stable with 24h totals around $212k balanced between buys and sells, but transaction counts decrease over shorter timeframes (from 1151 in 24h to 17 in 1h), indicating consistent but low-intensity trading that supports peg stability without building momentum.

Recent Price Action

Tight consolidation around $1 with minimal deviations

This pattern typically indicates strong peg maintenance in stablecoins, reducing volatility but also limiting upside potential.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

1.00

Major support

0.995

Immediate resistance

1.005

Major resistance

1.01

Immediate support at $1 represents the target peg, with major support at $0.995 as a psychological floor; breaches could trigger liquidations. Resistance levels at $1.005 and $1.01 reflect minor premiums, significant for indicating over-collateralization strength or demand surges.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

70/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    As a stablecoin, volatility is minimal (0.013% 24h change), but tied to BTC collateral fluctuations

  • LiquidityHigh

    $44k liquidity poses high slippage risk for trades, especially with $20M market cap

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Stablecoins face increasing scrutiny, particularly those backed by volatile assets like BTC

Key Risks

  • Critical supply concentration could lead to whale-induced depegging
  • Sharp holder declines may indicate underlying project issues or data errors
  • Low liquidity heightens execution risks in volatile markets

Mitigating Factors

  • BTC over-collateralization and auto-liquidations protect the peg
  • Utility in borrowing provides fundamental demand

Investor Suitability

Suitable for conservative investors seeking BTC-backed stability or DeFi borrowers, but not for those averse to concentration risks

MUSD offers a compelling case for stable value in DeFi through BTC-backed borrowing, with potential for growth if adoption increases. However, high concentration and low liquidity temper enthusiasm, making it a niche hold for risk-tolerant users.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Increased DeFi integration drives borrowing demand, stabilizing peg and appreciating slightly above $1

  • Rising BTC deposits for high LTV loans
  • Broader Base chain ecosystem growth

Base Case

Maintains peg around $1 with steady borrowing activity, no major price swings

  • Stable BTC prices
  • No significant whale distributions

Bear Case

Medium probability

Whale dumps or BTC crash trigger liquidations, causing temporary depegging below $1

  • Holder attrition continuing
  • Low liquidity exacerbating sell-offs

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 27, 2026, 02:23 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-27 14:23 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.004262630862912564

Market Cap

$20.48M

24h Volume

$212.5K

Holders

1,555

Liquidity

$44,289.82

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Potential data inconsistencies in holder growth and market cap figures
  • Limited historical data for long-term trend analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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