GACHA

GachaPad Price Today & AI Analysis

GACHABaseAnalysis as of Oct 9, 2026

Price

$0.000264

-25.09% 24h

Contract

Live
0xd5a09d20652b58872a2e0f302de6ad2326db3b84

Chain

Base

Holders

372

Market cap

$264.15K

Liquidity

$34.09K

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GachaPad: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-09 12:31 UTC

Holder addresses

372

Top 10 supply share

70.55%

Reported liquidity

$34,089.00
How concentrated is GachaPad ownership?
As of 2026-10-09 12:31 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 70.55% of supply. It reports 372 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling GachaPad?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-09 12:31 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $24,865.00 in buys and $29,274.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is GachaPad liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed -11.18%, from $38,398.84 (2026-10-08 13:00 UTC) to $34,106.95 (2026-10-09 12:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-09 12:31 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-08 13:00 UTC$38,398.84
2026-10-08 14:00 UTC$34,970.96
2026-10-08 15:00 UTC$33,009.63
2026-10-08 16:00 UTC$32,637.59
2026-10-08 17:00 UTC$31,666.32
2026-10-08 18:00 UTC$30,533.84
2026-10-08 19:00 UTC$30,889.81
2026-10-08 20:00 UTC$30,021.65
2026-10-08 21:00 UTC$30,029.13
2026-10-08 22:00 UTC$30,525.87
2026-10-08 23:00 UTC$30,505.54
2026-10-09 00:00 UTC$31,114.07
2026-10-09 01:00 UTC$31,132.23
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC$30,993.40
2026-10-09 03:00 UTC$30,898.40
2026-10-09 04:00 UTC$30,879.86
2026-10-09 05:00 UTC$31,271.60
2026-10-09 06:00 UTC$31,393.86
2026-10-09 07:00 UTC$31,467.01
2026-10-09 08:00 UTC$31,786.19
2026-10-09 09:00 UTC$34,575.12
2026-10-09 10:00 UTC$33,858.76
2026-10-09 11:00 UTC$33,415.73
2026-10-09 12:00 UTC$34,106.95

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 9, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC

Market Cap

$264.15K

24h Volume

$54.14K

Liquidity

$34.09K

FDV

—

Holders

372

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

GachaPad (GACHA) is a 46-hour-old token on Base trading on Uniswap, with a market cap of about $264K and $34K liquidity. It is positioned as a launchpad where tokens are distributed like loot boxes at a fixed price with randomness and locked liquidity. These claims come from the project description and were not independently verified here. Price has been highly volatile, with a -25% 24h change and a 3-day range spanning more than 30x.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 9, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Gacha/loot-box launchpad concept with fixed-price random draws (per project description, unverified)
  • Entire 1B supply is shown as circulating, with FDV equal to market cap
  • Very early stage: 46 hours old with 372 holders

GachaPad AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The three daily closes ($0.0003376, $0.0002150, $0.0002642) show a lower close than the first day despite a partial rebound, and the 24h move of -25% sits inside a 46-hour-old token with 29.6% daily volatility. Sell volume ($29,274) exceeds buy volume ($24,865), so supply is still slightly dominant. The 3-day window is too short to be strong evidence, but the lean is down.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Only 3 days of history exist, so 7d/30d/90d trends are unavailable. New low-liquidity tokens with a 70.5% top-10 aggregate and about $34K liquidity usually decay as launch attention fades, and the lower-high structure in closes supports a bearish lean. This is a low-conviction call.

Bullish Factors

  • Price sits at 60% of its 3-day range ($0.00001296 to $0.0004336), so it has recovered well off the low
  • Unique buyers (121) outnumber unique sellers (93) over 24h, showing broader participation on the buy side
  • The latest daily close ($0.0002642) rebounded from $0.0002150 the day before

Bearish Factors

  • Sell pressure is 54.1% of 24h volume ($29,274 sold vs $24,865 bought)
  • Daily volatility of 29.6% makes price extremely unstable
  • Top-10 holders control 70.5% of supply in aggregate, and their composition is unknown
  • Liquidity of $34,089 against a $264,155 market cap is thin
  • The latest close is below the first close in the 3-day series ($0.0003376)

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

GACHA call history

Full track record →

Oct 9bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xd5a0...3b84
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility on a 46-hour-old token
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration with unknown holder composition
  • Unverified claims about fairness, randomness and locked liquidity

Trading Insight

bearish

24h flow leans toward sellers (54.1% sell volume), though buyer count exceeds seller count. Activity is fading, with only 7 transactions in the last hour.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Closes moved from $0.0003376 to $0.0002150 and back to $0.0002642, a lower-high pattern against the first day. Only 3 candles exist, so medium-term trend cannot be established and is marked sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

No RSI or similar indicators are available. Price at 60% of its 3-day range suggests mid-range momentum after a sharp swing.

Volume Analysis

Buy

45.9%

Sell

54.1%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Hourly transaction counts (7 in the last hour) are well below the 4h and 24h pace, so participation is cooling after launch. Sellers hold a modest dollar edge.

Recent Price Action

A sharp drop from $0.0003376 to $0.0002150, followed by a partial rebound to $0.0002642, within a range of $0.00001296 to $0.0004336.

Extreme early-life swings are typical of newly launched tokens finding a price, and they offer little reliable technical signal.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility is 29.6% and the 3-day range spans from $0.00001296 to $0.0004336.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $34,089 of liquidity means modest trades can move price significantly, and exits may be costly.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top-10 holders control 70.5% in aggregate. Wallet-level data is unavailable, so the dumpable share is unknown, but the figure is high for a token of this size.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Randomized, loot-box style distribution of tokens may attract scrutiny in some jurisdictions; this is a general consideration, not a finding.

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility on a 46-hour-old token
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap
  • High aggregate top-10 concentration with unknown holder composition
  • Unverified claims about fairness, randomness and locked liquidity
  • Launch allocation and deployer history could not be inspected

Mitigating Factors

  • All supply is circulating, so no scheduled unlocks
  • Buyer participation is broad, with 121 unique buyers in 24h

Investor Suitability

Only for experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who can afford a total loss and who verify the contract and liquidity lock themselves.

GACHA is an early-stage, speculative bet on a novel launchpad concept. Price history is too short and risk markers too high for a confident long thesis; the short-term lean is bearish.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The launchpad gains real usage, liquidity deepens, and price retests the early highs near $0.0004336.

  • Product traction that drives sustained demand for GACHA
  • Liquidity growth and broader holder distribution

Base Case

Choppy, volatile trading with a gradual downward drift as launch momentum decays, with large swings in both directions.

  • Volume continues to decline from launch levels
  • No major product catalyst emerges in the near term

Bear Case

Medium probability

Launch interest fades, volume dries up, and sellers push price toward the early lows as thin liquidity amplifies declines.

  • Fading volume and sell-side dominance
  • Large concentrated holders selling into thin liquidity

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 9, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-09 12:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000264154710094

Market Cap

$264.2K

24h Volume

$54.1K

Holders

372

Liquidity

$34,089.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 3 days of OHLC history, so 7d/30d/90d trends and key levels could not be computed
  • Launch genesis, deployer and smart-money data were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Questions about GACHA?