uHBAR

Hedera (Universal) Price Prediction 2026

uHBAR
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 4, 2026

$0.0708

+0.03%24h
LiveContract:0xc79e06860aa9564f95e08fb7e5b61458d0c63898Chain:BaseHolders:753Market cap:$49.38KLiquidity:$18.91K

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Ask Unhosted AI about uHBAR

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Aug 4, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC
Market Cap

$45.47K

24h Volume

$5.05K

Liquidity

$38.71K

FDV

—

Holders

750

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

uHBAR (Hedera Universal) is an 18.2-month-old token on Base (chain 0x2105) trading on Uniswap v3 with a market cap of approximately $45,467 and total liquidity of $38,710. The token has no verified contract, no published project description, and no social presence, making its fundamental value proposition entirely opaque. Price action reflects a sustained downtrend of -22.4% over 90 days, with daily trading activity concentrated among just 4-5 unique wallets and a combined 24-hour volume of roughly $5,047. The top 10 holders control 91% of supply, though a significant portion sits in protocol/contract addresses; dumpable supply from individual whales is estimated at 34.5%, representing a material but not catastrophic concentration risk.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 4, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bearish
Extremely thin active trader base — only 4 unique buyers and 5 unique sellers in 24 hours — making price highly manipulable by any single participant
The largest individual whale (30.45% of supply, 0x4221bb…) holds an average buy price of $0.09936, sitting approximately 30% underwater at current prices, creating an unusual overhang dynamic
Smart money profitability is real but modest — top traders have realized gains in the low thousands of dollars, suggesting the token functions more as a low-liquidity trading vehicle than a store of value

Hedera (Universal) Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

The 7-day gain of +2.2% is a modest recovery within a dominant 30-day decline of -8.7% and a 90-day decline of -22.4%, placing the price at only 44% of its 90-day range. Recent daily closes show a staircase lower from $0.07232 to $0.06958, with the price now sitting just above immediate support at $0.06925. With zero buy transactions in the last 4 hours and sell pressure dominating at 60.1% over 24 hours, the path of least resistance remains downward in the near term.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 90-day trend of -22.4% and 30-day trend of -8.7% establish a clear medium-term downtrend with no structural reversal signal in the data. Holder count has declined by 1 over both the 7-day and 30-day windows, and retail holders represent approximately 0% of supply, indicating no meaningful new demand is entering the market. Unless liquidity deepens significantly from its current shallow $38,710 and trading activity expands beyond the current handful of unique daily participants, the token is likely to continue drifting toward major support at $0.03789.

Bullish Factors
  • +The 7-day price change of +2.2% represents a short-term recovery attempt from the recent low, with the price holding above immediate support at $0.06925 across recent daily closes
  • +The dominant holder at 30.45% (0x4221bb…) has realized only +$1,442 across 116 trades with an average buy price of $0.09936 — currently underwater — suggesting this whale is unlikely to be an aggressive seller at current prices
  • +Smart money participants are net profitable: the top six tracked traders have collectively realized gains, with 0x2d5b66… booking +$7,411 over 7,526 trades, indicating the token has generated extractable value for active traders
Bearish Factors
  • -The 90-day trend is -22.4% and the 30-day trend is -8.7%, establishing a persistent multi-timeframe downtrend with the price sitting at only 44% of its 90-day range
  • -24-hour sell pressure stands at 60.1% ($3,033 sell volume vs. $2,013 buy volume), and the last 4 hours recorded zero buy transactions against one sell, indicating demand has effectively dried up
  • -The unverified contract (security score 54/100) combined with no project description, no social links, and an uncategorized token type means there is no verifiable fundamental use case to anchor a valuation floor

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

uHBAR call history

Full track record →
Aug 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0xc79e...3898
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Unverified smart contract with a 54/100 security score: hidden privileged functions could allow the deployer to mint tokens, freeze transfers, or drain liquidity without warning
•Single-whale concentration: the 30.45% individual whale (0x4221bb…) holds a position worth ~$13,840 at current prices against a $38,710 liquidity pool — any forced or voluntary exit would be severely price-destructive
•Zero retail distribution and stagnant holder growth: with ~0% retail supply and a declining holder count over 30 days, the token lacks the organic demand base needed to sustain or recover its price

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment is bearish, with sell transactions outnumbering buys 125 to 94 over 24 hours and sell volume exceeding buy volume by roughly $1,019. The last hour and the last 4 hours recorded zero buy transactions, indicating that whatever buying interest existed earlier in the day has completely evaporated.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bearish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Both the short-term (7d: +2.2% recovery attempt within a declining sequence) and medium-term (30d: -8.7%, 90d: -22.4%) frames confirm a downtrend. The recent daily close sequence from $0.07232 down to $0.06958 shows a series of lower closes interrupted by brief consolidations, a textbook downtrend structure. The price at 44% of its 90-day range ($0.03789–$0.1094) confirms it is closer to the lower half of its historical trading band.

Momentum

Status:
Oversold

With a 90-day decline of -22.4% and the price sitting at 44% of its range, momentum indicators would likely register oversold conditions. However, in a low-liquidity token with only 4-5 active traders, oversold readings do not reliably predict reversals — they can persist indefinitely without fresh demand entering the market.

Volume Analysis

Buy 39.9%Sell 60.1%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Volume is decelerating: 219 transactions over 24 hours collapsed to just 1 sell transaction in the last 4 hours and zero in the last hour. The $5,047 combined daily volume is thin relative to the $38,710 liquidity pool, and the concentration of all notable recent trades in a single wallet (0x9d9b1d…) suggests organic volume is even lower than headline figures imply.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes trace a gradual decline from $0.07232 to $0.06958, with a brief consolidation around $0.07064–$0.07095 before resuming lower. The price is now compressing between immediate support ($0.06925) and immediate resistance ($0.06992), a range of only $0.00067.

This tight compression between immediate support and resistance, following a multi-month downtrend, typically resolves in the direction of the prevailing trend — which is downward. A break below $0.06925 would open a path toward the next meaningful level, while a sustained close above $0.06992 would be the first technical signal of a potential short-term reversal.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.06925
Major$0.03789
Resistance
Immediate$0.06992
Major$0.1094

The immediate support at $0.06925 and resistance at $0.06992 define an extremely narrow $0.00067 range — roughly 1% wide — reflecting the price's current compression after a prolonged decline. A confirmed break below $0.06925 would leave no computed intermediate support until the 90-day range low at $0.03789, a potential -45% drawdown from current levels. On the upside, reclaiming $0.06992 is a necessary first step, but the major resistance at $0.1094 (the 90-day high, also near the 30.45% whale's average buy price of $0.09936) represents a formidable ceiling that would require a fundamental demand shift to overcome.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders750
24h Change+0
Growth Rate+0%

The holder base of 750 has been flat to slightly declining, losing 1 holder over both the 7-day and 30-day windows (-0.13% each). Zero holder growth over 24 hours, combined with the 30-day decline, indicates the token is not attracting new participants. For an 18.2-month-old token, a stagnant and slightly shrinking holder base is a signal of fading relevance rather than organic community growth.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders91%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top 10 holders control 91% of supply, the two largest positions (43.01% and 11.48%) are protocol/contract addresses that are not dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply — held by individual whales and transferable wallets — is 34.5%, primarily driven by the 30.45% individual whale (0x4221bb…). Retail holders account for approximately 0% of supply, and the top 100 holders control 100%, meaning there is effectively no long-tail retail distribution. Concentration risk is rated high rather than critical because the largest positions are locked in protocol contracts.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

All six notable recent on-chain trades were executed by a single wallet (0x9d9b1d…): two buys totaling $448 followed by four sells totaling $97. This is the entirety of notable recent swap activity, reflecting the token's extremely thin active trader base.

  • •0x9d9b1d… bought $371 — the largest single trade in the recent notable trades dataset
  • •0x9d9b1d… subsequently sold four times ($31, $24, $22, $20) after the initial buy, netting a small position reduction

The concentration of all notable recent activity in one wallet (0x9d9b1d…) is a red flag for organic market health. The 30.45% whale (0x4221bb…) has been active across 116 trades but is currently underwater relative to its $0.09936 average buy price, suggesting it is not actively distributing at current levels. The 1.15% whale (0xafd0bd…) received its position via transfer with no DEX activity, indicating a passive holder.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

The top six profitable traders have collectively realized modest gains: 0x2d5b66… leads with +$7,411 over 7,526 trades (+1% ROI), followed by 0x540ed9… (+$2,663, +1% ROI over 959 trades), 0xf7627b… (+$2,462, +7% ROI over 85 trades), 0x9be8c3… (+$2,444, +0% ROI over 11,388 trades), 0xdc799b… (+$1,953, +5% ROI over 97 trades), and 0x3dd663… (+$1,387, +6% ROI over 161 trades).

Smart money ROIs are uniformly low (0–7%), and the absolute dollar gains are small relative to the trading volumes implied by thousands of trades. This profile is consistent with high-frequency arbitrage or market-making activity rather than directional conviction. The low ROI percentages suggest these traders are not sitting on large unrealized gains that would create imminent profit-taking pressure, but the sheer trade counts (especially 0x9be8c3… at 11,388 trades) indicate algorithmic or bot-driven activity dominates this token's trading.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$38,710.72
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

With only $38,710 in total liquidity on Uniswap v3, this pool is extremely shallow. The 24-hour volume of ~$5,047 represents a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~13%, which is low, but even modest trades relative to this pool size will incur meaningful slippage. Any single transaction above a few hundred dollars risks moving the price by several percentage points, making this token unsuitable for any position sizing beyond micro-cap speculation. The shallow liquidity also means the 30.45% whale (0x4221bb…) could not exit its position without catastrophically depressing the price.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 2.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated for a token with this liquidity profile. The 90-day range spans from $0.03789 to $0.1094 — a 189% spread — and the price has declined 22.4% over that period. In a pool with only $38,710 in liquidity, even small trades can cause outsized price swings.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $38,710 is extremely shallow. The 30.45% whale's position at current prices is worth approximately $13,840 — more than a third of the entire liquidity pool — meaning any attempt to exit would be severely constrained by available liquidity and would cause catastrophic price impact.

Concentration
High

Dumpable supply of 34.5% is concentrated primarily in one individual whale (30.45%, 0x4221bb…) that is currently underwater on its position. While the whale's underwater status reduces near-term sell pressure, any capitulation event would overwhelm the shallow liquidity pool. Retail holders represent ~0% of supply, meaning there is no distributed ownership base to absorb selling.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified with a security score of 54/100. Without source code verification, the existence of privileged owner functions — including potential mint, pause, or blacklist capabilities — cannot be ruled out. This is an unacceptable risk for any meaningful capital allocation.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized token with no disclosed issuer, jurisdiction, or legal structure, uHBAR faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. Its name referencing Hedera could attract additional scrutiny if regulators interpret it as misrepresenting an affiliation with the Hedera Foundation.

Key Risks

  • •Unverified smart contract with a 54/100 security score: hidden privileged functions could allow the deployer to mint tokens, freeze transfers, or drain liquidity without warning
  • •Single-whale concentration: the 30.45% individual whale (0x4221bb…) holds a position worth ~$13,840 at current prices against a $38,710 liquidity pool — any forced or voluntary exit would be severely price-destructive
  • •Zero retail distribution and stagnant holder growth: with ~0% retail supply and a declining holder count over 30 days, the token lacks the organic demand base needed to sustain or recover its price

Mitigating Factors

  • •The 30.45% whale is currently ~30% underwater (average buy $0.09936 vs. current $0.06958), reducing the probability of near-term voluntary selling at a loss
  • •The token has operated for 18.2 months without a documented exploit, providing a minimal but non-zero track record of contract stability

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of unverified contracts, micro-cap illiquid tokens, and extreme concentration. It is not suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or any allocation where capital preservation is a priority. Position sizes should be limited to amounts the investor can afford to lose entirely.

uHBAR is a micro-cap, illiquid token on Base with no verified contract, no documented use case, and a persistent 90-day downtrend of -22.4%. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative, dependent on either a broader Hedera ecosystem catalyst or a reversal in the token's structural decline — neither of which has any current on-chain support.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

A surge in interest in Hedera (HBAR) or Base ecosystem tokens drives new buyers into uHBAR, the 30.45% underwater whale begins accumulating further to average down, and the price recovers toward the major resistance at $0.1094 — a potential +57% from current levels.

  • +Broader Hedera (HBAR) price appreciation creating spillover demand for HBAR-branded tokens on EVM chains
  • +The 30.45% whale averaging down its position, which would signal renewed insider conviction and could catalyze momentum
Base Case

The token continues its gradual drift lower within the established downtrend, with price compressing between $0.06925 support and $0.06992 resistance before eventually breaking lower toward the $0.05–$0.06 range, driven by continued lack of new demand and slow attrition of the existing holder base.

  • •The 30.45% whale does not aggressively sell its underwater position in the near term
  • •No new catalysts emerge to attract meaningful new buyers beyond the current 4-5 daily active traders
Bear Case
Medium

The 30.45% whale capitulates on its underwater position, selling into the shallow $38,710 liquidity pool and triggering a cascade toward the 90-day range low at $0.03789 — a potential -45% decline from current levels. Alternatively, an unverified contract function is exploited or activated, resulting in a total loss of funds.

  • -Whale capitulation: the 30.45% holder is ~30% underwater and may eventually cut losses, overwhelming the thin liquidity
  • -Smart contract risk: the unverified contract with a 54/100 security score could contain exploitable or malicious functions that have not yet been triggered

Analysis Details

GeneratedAug 4, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.069580814116139270
Market Cap$45.5K
24h Volume$5.0K
Holders750
Liquidity$38.7K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3, Base chain)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
90-day daily OHLC price history and computed swing-level support/resistance
Smart contract security assessment (automated scanner, score 54/100)
Whale wallet behavioral data (realized PnL, trade history, first-active dates)
Smart money realized PnL data (top 6 profitable traders)

Limitations

  • •The smart contract is unverified, meaning contract mechanics, owner privileges, and tokenomics cannot be independently confirmed from source code
  • •With only 4-5 unique daily traders, price and volume data are highly susceptible to single-wallet manipulation, reducing the statistical reliability of technical indicators
  • •No project documentation, whitepaper, or social presence exists to assess fundamental value or team credibility

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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