ACU

ACU Price Today & AI Analysis

ACUBaseAnalysis as of Aug 6, 2026

Price

$0.1229

+7.52% 24h

Contract

Live
0xc5fed7c8ccc75d8a72b601a66dffd7a489073f0b

Chain

Holders

1.1K

Market cap

$213.79K

Liquidity

$95.05K

More tokens on Base

ACU: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-06 04:31 UTC

Holder addresses

963

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is ACU ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 963 addresses (2026-08-06 04:31 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling ACU?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ACU liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-06 04:31 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 6, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC

Market Cap

$26.85M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

FDV

Holders

963

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Acurast (ACU) is an 8.5-month-old utility token on Base (0x2105) operating in the AI and DePIN sectors, positioning itself as infrastructure for a decentralized serverless cloud. With a market cap of approximately $26.85M and 963 total holders, it remains a micro-cap project with limited liquidity and a small but slowly growing community. The token is in a structural 90-day downtrend (-25.4%) but has shown a short-term recovery of +4.7% over the past week, sitting at 25% of its 90-day range. A notable anomaly exists between the reported market cap (~$26.85M) and FDV (~$192,548), which is highly unusual and may reflect a data reporting issue that investors should independently verify.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranAug 6, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Decentralized serverless cloud infrastructure targeting the AI and DePIN intersection — a differentiated niche with genuine enterprise relevance
  • Extremely low dumpable supply of 8.5%, with 64.58% locked in a protocol/contract, structurally limiting near-term sell pressure from large holders
  • Anomalous market cap vs. FDV relationship that demands independent verification before any capital allocation

ACU AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

ACU has posted a 7-day gain of +4.7% and the recent daily close sequence shows a recovery from the $0.072–$0.073 range back toward $0.079, suggesting short-term buying pressure is intact. The current price of $0.07915 sits just below the immediate resistance at $0.07933, making a near-term breakout test the most likely scenario. A clean close above $0.07933 would open the path toward the next meaningful supply zone.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the short-term bounce, the 90-day trend of -25.4% dominates the medium-term picture, and the current price at only 25% of the 90-day range ($0.06535–$0.1210) confirms the token remains deep in a structural downtrend. A 30-day gain of just +2.9% is insufficient to signal trend reversal; it reads as a relief rally within a broader bear phase. Sustained recovery above the $0.1210 major resistance would be required to shift the medium-term thesis to bullish.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +4.7% with daily closes recovering from $0.07207 to $0.07915, showing near-term buying momentum
  • Dumpable supply is only 8.5% of total supply — the 64.58% held by a protocol/contract and other non-dumpable addresses structurally limits sell-side pressure
  • 30-day holder growth of +28 wallets (+2.9%) indicates slow but steady organic accumulation at current price levels
  • Security score of 72/100 with a verified contract provides a baseline of technical legitimacy that reduces smart-contract-related exit risk

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day price decline of -25.4% establishes a dominant downtrend; the current price at 25% of the 90-day range signals the token is far from recovering prior highs
  • The largest individual whale (0xc341e7…, 4.09% of supply) has realized a loss of -$3,217 across 6,829 trades with an average buy price of $0.08202 — currently underwater, creating potential capitulation sell pressure
  • Whale 0x94f865… (1.85% of supply) acquired its position via transfer or airdrop rather than market buys, representing a zero-cost basis holder with no price anchor and high incentive to sell at any level
  • Market cap of ~$26.85M against an FDV of only ~$192,548 is a severe anomaly — this discrepancy likely reflects a data inconsistency or non-standard tokenomics structure that warrants caution before assuming the market cap figure is reliable

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xc5fe...3f0b
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

  • The market cap (~$26.85M) vs. FDV (~$192,548) discrepancy is a critical unresolved data anomaly — if the FDV figure is accurate and reflects a much larger total supply not yet in circulation, the token could face severe dilution pressure from future unlocks
  • The largest individual whale (0xc341e7…, 4.09% of supply) is underwater with an average buy of $0.08202 and has already realized -$3,217 in losses across 6,829 trades, suggesting a distressed holder who may capitulate and sell remaining holdings at current prices
  • Shallow liquidity combined with a 90-day downtrend of -25.4% creates a risk of accelerated price decline if any of the 8.5% dumpable supply is sold into a thin order book

Trading Insight

neutral

Recent on-chain trading activity is dominated by a single wallet (0x923c18…) cycling through small buys and sells in the $110–$237 range, indicating low organic trading interest rather than broad market participation. The overall sentiment is marginally positive given the 7-day price recovery, but the absence of large directional trades and the dominance of one active wallet suggest the market is thin and sentiment is fragile.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term trend is bullish: daily closes have recovered from a low of $0.07207 to $0.07915 over the recent 14-day window, and the 7-day return of +4.7% confirms upward momentum. However, the medium-term picture is dominated by the 90-day decline of -25.4%, with the price sitting at just 25% of the 90-day range — well below the midpoint — confirming the broader trend remains bearish. The short-term recovery is best characterized as a relief rally within a larger downtrend until price reclaims at least the range midpoint near $0.093.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 4.6% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a micro-cap token, suggesting neither extreme fear nor euphoria. The price is approaching immediate resistance at $0.07933 after a multi-day recovery, which places momentum in a neutral-to-slightly-positive state — not overbought given the depth of the prior decline, but not yet showing the sustained volume and breadth needed to confirm a trend reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Volume Trend

Stable

Granular 24h volume data is not provided. The largest recent on-chain swap was $237, and the most active trader (0x923c18…) has executed 91,107 trades for only $2,412 in net profit, implying consistently small trade sizes. This points to stable but very low absolute volume, consistent with a micro-cap token in a consolidation phase.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a V-shaped recovery: a decline from $0.07633 to a trough of $0.07207, followed by a recovery back to $0.07915. The last four closes ($0.07562, $0.07635, $0.07915, and the current $0.07915) show consolidation near the recent high of this recovery move.

This pattern suggests the immediate selling pressure from the prior decline has been absorbed and buyers are defending the $0.075–$0.076 zone. However, the pattern is a short-term recovery within a larger downtrend, and a failure to break $0.07933 resistance could lead to another leg lower toward major support at $0.06535.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.07758

Major support

$0.06535

Immediate resistance

$0.07933

Major resistance

$0.1210

The immediate support at $0.07758 is the first line of defense for the current recovery; a daily close below this level would signal the relief rally has failed. Major support at $0.06535 represents the 90-day range low and a critical structural floor — a break here would be a significant bearish development. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.07933 is the near-term hurdle (price is currently $0.07915, just 0.2% below it), while major resistance at $0.1210 marks the 90-day range high and would represent a full trend reversal if reclaimed.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily return volatility of 4.6% is moderate for a micro-cap token. The 90-day range of $0.06535–$0.1210 represents an 85% spread from low to high, indicating significant price swings are normal for ACU. This is elevated compared to large-cap assets but not extreme for its market cap tier.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a utility token in the AI and DePIN categories, ACU faces the same regulatory uncertainty as the broader crypto market. The utility token classification provides some protection, but DePIN and AI infrastructure tokens are increasingly attracting regulatory scrutiny in major jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • The market cap (~$26.85M) vs. FDV (~$192,548) discrepancy is a critical unresolved data anomaly — if the FDV figure is accurate and reflects a much larger total supply not yet in circulation, the token could face severe dilution pressure from future unlocks
  • The largest individual whale (0xc341e7…, 4.09% of supply) is underwater with an average buy of $0.08202 and has already realized -$3,217 in losses across 6,829 trades, suggesting a distressed holder who may capitulate and sell remaining holdings at current prices
  • Shallow liquidity combined with a 90-day downtrend of -25.4% creates a risk of accelerated price decline if any of the 8.5% dumpable supply is sold into a thin order book

Mitigating Factors

  • Only 8.5% of supply is held by wallets capable of selling, with 64.58% structurally locked in a protocol/contract — this significantly limits the maximum near-term sell pressure
  • The project has a verified contract, active social channels, and a differentiated positioning in the AI/DePIN niche, providing a fundamental basis for continued development and potential adoption

Investor Suitability

ACU is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with experience in micro-cap crypto assets who can afford to lose their entire investment. The combination of thin liquidity, a 90-day downtrend, an unresolved tokenomics data anomaly, and a small holder base makes this inappropriate for conservative or income-focused investors. Speculative traders with a defined risk budget and familiarity with DePIN/AI infrastructure narratives are the most appropriate audience.

Acurast presents a speculative opportunity in the AI/DePIN infrastructure niche, with structural supply protection from a large protocol-locked position limiting near-term dump risk. However, the dominant 90-day downtrend, thin liquidity, an unresolved market cap/FDV anomaly, and a distressed largest whale create a risk profile that demands caution and independent due diligence before any capital commitment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Acurast achieves meaningful adoption of its decentralized serverless cloud by AI or DePIN projects, driving genuine utility demand for ACU. The AI/DePIN narrative gains momentum in the broader market, the market cap/FDV anomaly is resolved favorably (confirming no hidden supply overhang), and the price recovers toward the 90-day high of $0.1210, representing a ~53% gain from current levels.

  • Verifiable growth in Acurast network usage metrics (compute jobs, node operators, protocol revenue) that justify the current market cap
  • Broader AI/DePIN sector rally that brings new capital and attention to infrastructure-layer tokens in the category

Base Case

ACU consolidates in the $0.07–$0.09 range over the next 30–90 days as the short-term recovery stalls at immediate resistance ($0.07933) and the token lacks the catalysts needed to break the 90-day downtrend. Holder growth continues at the current slow pace of ~28 per month, and the project continues development without a major adoption announcement.

  • The market cap/FDV data anomaly is a reporting error rather than evidence of a hidden supply overhang, and actual tokenomics are as stated
  • No major protocol-level events (large partnership, exchange listing, or security incident) occur in the near term to shift the trajectory significantly

Bear Case

Medium probability

The market cap/FDV discrepancy reflects a large undisclosed supply overhang that begins to unlock, the distressed largest whale (0xc341e7…) capitulates and sells its 4.09% stake into thin liquidity, and the 90-day downtrend accelerates toward the major support at $0.06535 and potentially below, representing a further -17% decline from current levels.

  • Resolution of the market cap/FDV anomaly revealing a large future token unlock schedule that creates sustained sell pressure
  • Continued lack of on-chain adoption evidence combined with thin liquidity amplifying any selling by the distressed whale holder

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 6, 2026, 04:31 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-06 04:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$26.85M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

963

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, contract 0xc5fed7c8ccc75d8a72b601a66dffd7a489073f0b)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis-classified size buckets and concentration metrics)90-day daily OHLC price history and computed swing high/low key levelsSmart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Whale wallet behavioral forensics (trade history, acquisition method, first active date)Smart contract security assessment (score 72/100, verification status)

Limitations

  • The market cap (~$26.85M) vs. FDV (~$192,548) discrepancy is unresolved and materially affects tokenomics analysis — conclusions about supply dynamics should be treated as provisional until independently verified
  • 24-hour trading volume, liquidity pool depth, and granular transaction count data were not provided, limiting the precision of liquidity risk and short-term sentiment assessments
  • Wallet 0xc341e7… (largest individual whale, 4.09%) has an unknown first-active date, preventing full forensic assessment of whether it is an insider or market participant

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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