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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

PPOLY
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

$0.061898

+1304.73%24h
LiveContract:0xbd3d2347d599a766b3511ccd14d0a6352e4dff8fChain:BaseHolders:58.3KMarket cap:$189.82KLiquidity:$49.45K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Market Cap

$189.82K

24h Volume

$184.96K

Liquidity

$49.45K

FDV

Holders

58.3K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (PPOLY) is a 24-hour-old token on Base trading on Uniswap with a $189,820 market cap and $49,445 in liquidity. Price has risen roughly 232% between its only two recorded daily closes and now sits at the top of its entire trading range, while 58,339 holders and 52.0% top-10 concentration have already accumulated in under a day. No description, category, social links, security score, or holder/whale forensic data are available, making this an extremely early-stage and largely unverifiable asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 12, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Extremely young — only 24 hours since contract creation
Name references 'Polymarket SPV' with no supporting documentation, description, or social presence to substantiate any actual product or affiliation
Unusually high holder count (58,339) for a one-day-old token relative to its small liquidity pool

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

Momentum is accelerating across every short window available: +12.3% in the last hour, +23.0% in the last 4 hours, and buy volume ($110,497) outpacing sell volume ($74,465) over 24h. This is a real, data-backed uptrend rather than 24h-snapshot noise, though it comes with the caveat that the token now sits at 100% of its entire 2-day trading range.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Parabolic moves in tokens this young (24 hours old, +232% between the only two daily closes recorded) typically mean-revert once early buyers and any insider-adjacent top-10 holders (52.0% of supply) begin distributing. With no fundamentals, social presence, or documented use case to sustain valuation, a substantial retracement from the current all-time-high price is the more probable path over 30-90 days.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure exceeds sell pressure 59.7% to 40.3% over 24h ($110,497 vs $74,465), with 121 buy transactions outnumbering 83 sells
  • +Momentum is accelerating on shorter windows (+12.3% 1h, +23.0% 4h), consistent with genuine short-term demand rather than a single noisy print
  • +Trading involves a broad base of 111 unique buyers vs 81 unique sellers in 24h, suggesting demand is not confined to one or two wallets
Bearish Factors
  • -Price sits at 100% of its entire observed trading range ($1.898e-7 high vs $1.230e-8 low), a classic overextension signal after a +232% two-day move
  • -Liquidity of $49,445 is thin relative to the $189,820 market cap/FDV, meaning moderate trades can move price sharply in either direction
  • -Top 10 wallets hold 52.0% of total supply with no per-wallet classification available, leaving unknown but potentially significant dump risk in a token only 24 hours old
  • -No description, category, or social media presence exists despite the token already reaching 58,339 holders in 24 hours, raising questions about the origin of that holder growth

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PPOLY call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0xbd3d...ff8f
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Token is only 24 hours old with no established track record, audit, or verified security assessment
Price has risen +232% across its brief history and sits at 100% of its trading range, a setup historically prone to sharp reversal
Top 10 wallets hold 52.0% of supply with no available classification of who these holders are or how they acquired their positions
Liquidity ($49,445) is thin relative to market cap and 24h volume, increasing slippage and exit risk

Trading Insight

bullish

Net trading flow is moderately bullish, with buy volume outweighing sell volume by roughly $36,000 (59.7% vs 40.3% pressure) over the past 24 hours. Transaction counts skew toward buyers at every timeframe checked (1h, 4h, 24h), indicating persistent, broad-based demand rather than a single large buyer.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The only two daily closes available ($5.717e-8 then $1.898e-7) show a +232% move, and shorter windows (+23.0% over 4h, +12.3% over 1h) confirm the uptrend is still active rather than stalling. However, with just 2 days of history on a token launched 24 hours ago, this 'medium-term' read carries far less statistical weight than it would for an established asset.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Price is sitting at 100% of its entire recorded trading range ($1.898e-7 high vs $1.230e-8 low), and the pace of gains has been accelerating intraday rather than cooling, both hallmarks of an overextended, momentum-driven move that is vulnerable to sharp reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy 59.7%Sell 40.3%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24h volume ($184,962 combined) alongside accelerating buy-to-sell transaction ratios across 1h (7:2), 4h (22:12), and 24h (121:83) windows suggests trading activity has been building rather than fading, consistent with an active speculative phase.

Recent Price Action

Price surged from $5.717e-8 to $1.898e-7 across the token's only two daily candles (+232%), with further intraday acceleration of +23.0% over 4 hours and +12.3% over the last hour, pushing the token to the very top of its observed range.

Parabolic, accelerating price action in a token only 24 hours old is typical of an early speculative mania; such moves can extend briefly on continued buy pressure but historically carry high risk of a sharp mean-reversion once early participants begin realizing gains.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Price has moved +232% across the token's only two daily candles and now sits at 100% of its recorded trading range, with intraday moves of +23.0% (4h) and +12.3% (1h) — extreme volatility even by new-token standards.

Liquidity
High

Liquidity of $49,445 is thin relative to the $189,820 market cap/FDV (about 26%), and 24h trading volume of $184,962 exceeds total liquidity by roughly 3.7x, meaning larger trades are likely to cause significant slippage.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 52.0% of total supply. No per-wallet classification is available to distinguish insiders, exchanges, or protocol contracts, so this concentration must be treated as an unresolved risk rather than assumed benign, especially in a token only 24 hours old.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data (verification, audit, honeypot checks) is available for this chain, so 'medium' reflects an uninformed default rather than an actual code-level assessment.

Regulatory
Medium

The token's name references 'Polymarket SPV' — terminology suggesting a special-purpose-vehicle or securities-like structure and a possible association with the Polymarket brand — without any accompanying documentation to clarify legal status or authorization, which introduces regulatory and branding ambiguity.

Key Risks

  • Token is only 24 hours old with no established track record, audit, or verified security assessment
  • Price has risen +232% across its brief history and sits at 100% of its trading range, a setup historically prone to sharp reversal
  • Top 10 wallets hold 52.0% of supply with no available classification of who these holders are or how they acquired their positions
  • Liquidity ($49,445) is thin relative to market cap and 24h volume, increasing slippage and exit risk
  • Naming references 'Polymarket SPV' without any documentation, raising questions about brand authorization and any implied financial-structuring claims

Mitigating Factors

  • Buy pressure (59.7%) currently exceeds sell pressure across a broad base of 111 unique buyers vs 81 unique sellers in 24h, suggesting activity is not confined to one or two wallets
  • The entire token supply is already in circulation with no disclosed future unlocks, removing dilution risk from vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly speculative traders who can tolerate total loss of capital and understand the risks of trading a brand-new, undocumented, low-liquidity token; unsuitable for risk-averse or long-term fundamentals-based investors.

PPOLY is a 24-hour-old, undocumented token showing a strong short-term uptrend driven by broad-based buy pressure, but it carries very high risk from thin liquidity, unresolved holder concentration, and a complete absence of fundamentals or security data. Any thesis here is speculative and time-sensitive rather than fundamentals-driven.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

If buy-side momentum and holder growth continue attracting speculative attention, price could extend further in the near term, particularly if social media discovery accelerates.

  • +Sustained buy pressure (currently 59.7% of volume)
  • +Continued rapid holder growth drawing further speculative inflow
Base Case

Extreme volatility persists in both directions over the near term with no clear fundamental anchor, and price likely retraces a meaningful portion of its initial pump as the speculative phase matures, absent any new catalysts.

  • No fundamental catalysts beyond speculative trading have been identified
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying price swings in either direction
Bear Case
High

The token corrects sharply from its current all-time-high price as early holders and any concentrated top-10 wallets (52.0% of supply) realize gains into a thin $49,445 liquidity pool, amplifying downside moves.

  • -Parabolic price sitting at 100% of its trading range with no fundamental support
  • -Unknown composition of top-10 holders creates unresolved dump risk

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 12, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$1.89820251554e-7
Market Cap$189.8K
24h Volume$185.0K
Holders58,339
Liquidity$49.4K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction data, and contract-security scoring were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 2 days of daily OHLC price history exist given the token's 24-hour age, severely limiting trend confidence
  • No smart-money cohort or individual holder wallet data was available to assess insider or whale behavior

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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