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ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME Price Today & AI Analysis

ADGUARDHOMEBaseAnalysis as of Sep 21, 2026

Price

$0.0361

-1.24% 24h

Contract

Live
0xadf3a252a72066965b03af9f850613bee13bb575

Chain

Base

Holders

2.6K

Market cap

$36.07M

Liquidity

$287.98K

More tokens on Base

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ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-21 04:45 UTC

Holder addresses

2,580

Top 10 supply share

13.01%

Reported liquidity

$287,984.00
How concentrated is ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME ownership?
As of 2026-09-21 04:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 13.01% of supply. It reports 2,580 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-21 04:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $42,615.00 in buys and $61,369.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +1.61%, from $285,846.46 (2026-09-20 05:00 UTC) to $290,458.53 (2026-09-21 04:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-21 04:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-20 05:00 UTC$285,846.46
2026-09-20 06:00 UTC$286,203.02
2026-09-20 20:00 UTC$303,144.92
2026-09-20 21:00 UTC$292,838.46
2026-09-20 22:00 UTC$296,655.49
2026-09-20 23:00 UTC$296,784.81
2026-09-21 00:00 UTC$297,925.39
2026-09-21 01:00 UTC$303,519.23
2026-09-21 02:00 UTC$293,745.47
2026-09-21 03:00 UTC$291,538.31
2026-09-21 04:00 UTC$290,458.53

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 21, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$36.07M

24h Volume

$103.98K

Liquidity

$287.98K

FDV

—

Holders

2,580

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

ADGUARDHOME is a Base-chain token roughly 6.4 months old with a $36.1 million market cap and fully diluted valuation (100% of the 1 billion supply is circulating). Its 91-day price history shows an extreme boom-bust-reboom cycle — collapsing over 99% from a $0.09391 high to a $0.00007008 low before staging a 30-day rally of 2887.1% to the current $0.03607. With no project description, no social links, no security score, and no verified affiliation to the open-source AdGuard Home DNS software whose name it borrows, this token carries substantial informational and structural risk despite a broad 2,580-holder base and modest 13.0% top-10 concentration.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 21, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extreme 91-day price range (a swing from $0.00007008 to $0.09391, over 1,300x) reflecting a boom-bust-reboom trading pattern
  • Token name and symbol directly reference the open-source AdGuard Home project (github.com/adguardteam/AdGuardHome) with no description or social links confirming any legitimate affiliation
  • Comparatively low top-10 holder concentration (13.0%) relative to many newly-listed speculative tokens

ADGUARDHOME github.com/adguardteam/ADGUARDHOME AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

The 7-day close is up 993.1% and the 30-day close is up 2887.1%, indicating powerful short-term momentum that remains largely intact despite a minor pullback from the recent swing high of $0.03784 to $0.03607. Price is currently holding just above the computed immediate support of $0.03486, and a reclaim of the $0.04062 immediate resistance would confirm continuation of the rally.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the explosive 30-day move, the 90-day close is still down 20.1%, and the token previously collapsed from a $0.09391 high to a $0.00007008 low within the same 91-day window before this rebound — a classic pump-and-crash-then-repump pattern. A +2887.1% 30-day advance with 66.1% daily volatility is statistically unsustainable, making a mean-reversion pullback the higher-probability path over the next 30-90 days.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day close is up 993.1% and 30-day close is up 2887.1%, showing strong recent buying momentum
  • Price is holding above the computed immediate support of $0.03486, only ~3.4% below current price
  • Aggregate top-10 holder concentration is a relatively low 13.0% of supply

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day close is still down 20.1% net, and the 91-day range shows an earlier collapse from $0.09391 to $0.00007008 before the current rebound
  • 24h sell volume ($61,369) exceeds buy volume ($42,615), a 59%/41% sell-dominant split
  • Daily volatility of 66.1% signals extreme price instability and elevated risk of sharp reversal after a parabolic move
  • Total liquidity of $287,984 is thin relative to the $36.1M market cap (~0.8% ratio), raising slippage and manipulation risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ADGUARDHOME call history

Full track record →

Sep 21bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xadf3...b575
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extreme historical volatility, including a prior collapse of more than 99% from $0.09391 to $0.00007008 within the 91-day window, followed by the current speculative rebound
  • Thin liquidity ($287,984) relative to a $36.1M market cap increases slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price swings on relatively modest trade sizes
  • No project description, social channels, or security score exist, and the token's name/symbol reference the open-source AdGuard Home project without any verifiable affiliation
  • 24h sell volume ($61,369) exceeds buy volume ($42,615) even as the token trades near immediate support, suggesting possible early profit-taking after the 30-day rally

Trading Insight

bearish

24h trading shows sell volume ($61,369) outweighing buy volume ($42,615), a 59%/41% split that points to net distribution pressure even though the 24h price move itself was a negligible -1.24%. Unique sellers (45) are fewer than unique buyers (59), suggesting sell orders are somewhat larger on average or concentrated among fewer participants.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Both the 7-day (+993.1%) and 30-day (+2887.1%) trends are sharply bullish, driven by a rapid climb from sub-$0.005 levels in late daily closes to a peak of $0.03784. However, the 90-day trend remains negative (-20.1%), reflecting that this rally is a recovery from a much deeper prior crash rather than a fresh all-time high breakout.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A 2887.1% 30-day gain with 66.1% daily volatility reflects an extremely stretched, parabolic move; the pullback from $0.03784 to $0.03607 in the latest session is an early signal of momentum cooling from overbought conditions.

Volume Analysis

Buy

41%

Sell

59%

Volume Trend

Increasing

The 4-hour transaction count (27 buys/22 sells = 49 total) annualizes to a materially higher daily pace than the actual 24h total (110), and sell-side dominance has intensified in the most recent hour (5 buys vs 7 sells) compared with the 24h (57%/43% buy-tilted by count) and 4h windows, suggesting rising short-term activity with a recent tilt toward selling.

Recent Price Action

Daily closes show a steady climb from roughly $0.0033-0.0047 to $0.0093, $0.0120, $0.0147, then a sharp acceleration to $0.0307 and a peak of $0.0378, followed by a pullback to the current $0.0361.

This pattern — a slow base followed by a vertical acceleration and an immediate partial retracement — is characteristic of a speculative, momentum-driven rally that is now testing whether buyers will defend the newly formed support zone.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.03486

Major support

$0.00007008

Immediate resistance

$0.04062

Major resistance

$0.09391

Price is currently sandwiched tightly between the computed immediate support ($0.03486) and immediate resistance ($0.04062), a narrow band given the token's 66.1% daily volatility. A break below $0.03486 would expose a long way down toward the major support of $0.00007008 (the 91-day low), while reclaiming and holding above $0.04062 would open a path toward the major resistance of $0.09391, the prior 91-day high.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 66.1% and a 91-day range spanning from $0.00007008 to $0.09391 (over 1,300x) demonstrate an asset prone to extreme, rapid repricing in either direction.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $287,984 against a $36.1M market cap is a thin ~0.8% ratio, meaning moderately sized trades can move price significantly and exit liquidity may be limited during a sharp downturn.

  • ConcentrationLow

    The top 10 holders control 13.0% of supply, a relatively low concentration that reduces the risk of a single-wallet dump dominating price action, based on the available aggregate figure.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    No specific regulatory flags are present in the available data, though the token's borrowed branding from an established open-source project could raise trademark or consumer-protection concerns.

Key Risks

  • Extreme historical volatility, including a prior collapse of more than 99% from $0.09391 to $0.00007008 within the 91-day window, followed by the current speculative rebound
  • Thin liquidity ($287,984) relative to a $36.1M market cap increases slippage risk and vulnerability to sharp price swings on relatively modest trade sizes
  • No project description, social channels, or security score exist, and the token's name/symbol reference the open-source AdGuard Home project without any verifiable affiliation
  • 24h sell volume ($61,369) exceeds buy volume ($42,615) even as the token trades near immediate support, suggesting possible early profit-taking after the 30-day rally

Mitigating Factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration of 13.0% is comparatively low, reducing single-wallet dump risk at the aggregate level
  • A broad base of 2,580 holders and roughly 6.4 months of trading history provide more market-tested price discovery than a brand-new launch

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, short-term speculative traders comfortable with extreme volatility, thin liquidity, and the absence of verifiable project fundamentals or security data; unsuitable for conservative or long-term-oriented investors.

ADGUARDHOME's price action is that of a highly speculative, momentum-driven asset that has staged a dramatic recovery rally after an earlier collapse of more than 99%. The setup favors short-term traders reacting to momentum and computed technical levels rather than long-term holders, given the absence of fundamentals, security data, and social presence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued speculative demand pushes price through the $0.04062 immediate resistance, reigniting momentum toward the $0.09391 major resistance (the prior 91-day high), fueled by the strength of the current 993.1% 7-day and 2887.1% 30-day trends.

  • Sustained or growing buy-side volume relative to the current 41% buy pressure
  • Broader risk-on sentiment for speculative/meme-style Base tokens

Base Case

Price consolidates between the immediate support ($0.03486) and immediate resistance ($0.04062) as the market digests the recent rally, with continued high volatility and no clear fundamental catalyst to break the range decisively in either direction.

  • No new information (partnerships, audits, listings) emerges to shift sentiment
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculative flow rather than fundamentals-driven demand

Bear Case

Medium probability

The parabolic 30-day advance mean-reverts sharply, with price breaking below the $0.03486 immediate support and retracing toward levels seen earlier in the 91-day range, echoing the prior collapse to $0.00007008.

  • 24h sell volume already exceeding buy volume by ~44%
  • Extreme 66.1% daily volatility historically associated with fast reversals after parabolic moves
  • Thin $287,984 liquidity amplifying downside moves

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 21, 2026, 04:45 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-21 04:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.0360651607495

Market Cap

$36.07M

24h Volume

$104.0K

Holders

2,580

Liquidity

$287,984.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, wallet size-tier distribution, and per-wallet whale transaction data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Smart-money/profitable-trader cohort data and individual swap records were unavailable, preventing assessment of early buyer or whale-specific behavior
  • Contract security/audit data was unavailable on this chain's data provider, so no security score could be assigned
  • Token genesis and deployer wallet forensics were unavailable, preventing assessment of launch fairness or insider allocation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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