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Catalyst Price Today & AI Analysis

CatalystBaseAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

Price

$0.6075

-0.00% 24h

Contract

Live
0xa1af1beabd885181a4927f91d66dfe2140cb077c

Chain

Base

Holders

1.1K

Market cap

$6.08M

Liquidity

$14.66K

At a $50M market cap, $CATALYST would be $5 (8.23x from today’s price)

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Catalyst: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 05:46 UTC

Holder addresses

1,054

Top 10 supply share

39.14%

Reported liquidity

$14,662.00
How concentrated is Catalyst ownership?
As of 2026-10-16 05:46 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 39.14% of supply. It reports 1,054 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Catalyst?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 05:46 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $0.00 in buys and $0.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Catalyst liquidity falling?
As of 2026-10-16 05:46 UTC, reported liquidity was $14,662.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 05:46 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-16 05:00 UTC$14,662.49

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 16, 2026, 05:46 AM UTC

Market Cap

$6.08M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$14.66K

FDV

—

Holders

1,054

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Catalyst is a 3-day-old, uncategorized token on Base trading on Uniswap at $0.6076 with a $6.08M market cap and the full 10,000,000 supply circulating. There is no description, social links, or security data. Liquidity is only $14,662 and 24h activity is a single buy, so the market cap is a theoretical figure rather than a tradable value.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 16, 2026, 05:46 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Market cap of $6.08M is supported by only $14,662 of liquidity
  • 1,054 holders despite near-zero trading activity
  • No project description, category, or social presence provided

Catalyst AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

Price has been pinned at $0.6076 for the last three daily closes after a jump from $0.2354, and the 24h change of about -0.0015% is noise. With only one buy and no sells in 24h, there is no real price discovery, so a directional call is not supported by the data. The flat closes reflect an absence of trading rather than stability.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Only 4 days of OHLC exist, with 7d/30d/90d trends unavailable, so no multi-window trend can be measured. The period range of $0.009999 to $0.6088 and 74.5% daily volatility show extreme early repricing, but the last three closes are identical. A directional medium-term call would be speculation.

Bullish Factors

  • Price sits at 100% of its 4-day range, up from a $0.009999 low, showing strong initial repricing
  • 1,054 holders is a notable base for a 3-day-old token, though its quality cannot be verified

Bearish Factors

  • Only 1 buy and 0 sells in 24h means the quoted price is barely tested by real trading
  • Liquidity of $14,662 against a $6.08M market cap is about 0.24% of valuation, so the valuation is not realistically exitable
  • Daily volatility of 74.5% reflects extreme instability
  • Top 10 holders control 39.1% of supply, and per-wallet detail is unavailable to assess it

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Catalyst call history

Full track record →

Oct 16neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0xa1af...077c
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to market cap makes the quoted valuation unrealistic to realize
  • Near-zero trading activity means price is not reliably discovered
  • No information on the team, purpose, deployer, or launch allocation
  • Unverified contract security

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading is effectively dormant: one buy, no sells, and reported volume of $0. The 50/50 pressure split is an artifact of no meaningful volume, not balanced sentiment.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The last three daily closes are identical at $0.6076 after a rise from $0.2354. This flatness reflects a lack of trades, not consolidation by active participants. Medium-term trend cannot be measured with only 4 days of data.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Price is at 100% of its 4-day range, which would normally read overbought, but with no volume the reading is unreliable. No momentum indicators can be computed meaningfully from four candles.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24h volume is reported as $0 with a single buy transaction and no sells. Activity appears to have faded since the initial price move.

Recent Price Action

A sharp rise from a $0.009999 low to $0.6088 high, followed by three identical closes at $0.6076.

Identical closes usually indicate an illiquid market where no trades are moving the price, so the price is not a reliable valuation.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation is 74.5% and price ranged from $0.009999 to $0.6088 in 4 days.

  • LiquidityHigh

    $14,662 of liquidity against a $6.08M market cap means even modest sells could move price sharply, and exits at quoted value are unlikely.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders hold 39.1%, but without wallet classification this cannot be judged as dumpable or structural supply.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Unknown token purpose and no project information; regulatory exposure cannot be evaluated.

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to market cap makes the quoted valuation unrealistic to realize
  • Near-zero trading activity means price is not reliably discovered
  • No information on the team, purpose, deployer, or launch allocation
  • Unverified contract security

Mitigating Factors

  • 1,054 holders suggests a non-trivial wallet base
  • Entire supply is circulating, so no supply unlock is described

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for very high risk tolerance speculators who can verify the contract themselves and accept a total loss. Not suitable for conservative investors.

The data shows a brand-new, illiquid token with a large headline valuation and almost no trading. No fundamental or trend-based thesis is supportable from what is available.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Liquidity and unique trader count grow substantially, and project disclosures establish a purpose, supporting the current price level.

  • Liquidity growth well beyond $14,662
  • Broader buyer participation and project transparency

Base Case

Price stays largely stagnant with sporadic trades and occasional sharp moves when activity returns, while information gaps persist.

  • Trading activity remains minimal
  • No new disclosures or liquidity additions occur

Bear Case

Medium probability

Any meaningful selling meets thin liquidity and price falls sharply toward earlier levels such as the $0.2354 close or lower.

  • Shallow pool relative to $6.08M market cap
  • Unclassified top-10 holders controlling 39.1%

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 16, 2026, 05:46 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 05:46 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.607547195631

Market Cap

$6.08M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

1,054

Liquidity

$14,662.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 4 days of OHLC history exist, so 7d/30d/90d trends and key levels could not be computed
  • Smart-money, deployer, and launch-allocation forensics were unavailable
  • Single-transaction trading activity makes sentiment metrics unreliable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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