KAITO

KAITO Price Today & AI Analysis

KAITOBaseAnalysis as of Jul 19, 2026

Price

$0.2983

+5.91% 24h

Contract

Live
0x98d0baa52b2d063e780de12f615f963fe8537553

Chain

Base

Holders

413.6K

Market cap

$298.28M

Liquidity

$32.72K

At a $1B market cap, $KAITO would be $1.0000 (3.35x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is KAITO a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 16

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, with a few things to know below.

  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about KAITO

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

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KAITO: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-19 05:15 UTC

Holder addresses

413,006

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$17,117.88
How concentrated is KAITO ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 413,006 addresses (2026-07-19 05:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling KAITO?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is KAITO liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-19 05:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $17,117.88. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-19 05:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 19, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$214.42M

24h Volume

$30.87K

Liquidity

$17.12K

FDV

—

Holders

413.0K

24h

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

KAITO is the native governance and utility token of an AI-powered InfoFi network, launched in February 2025 and now 17.3 months old with a circulating market cap of approximately $214M. The token has delivered exceptional returns over its 90-day window (+119%), currently trading at $0.8883 — near the top of its historical range. However, the token's structure carries critical concentration risk: five individual whales hold over 73% of total supply, all acquired via transfer or airdrop at zero cost basis, against a liquidity pool of only $17,117 that cannot absorb meaningful selling pressure. The combination of strong price momentum and extreme structural fragility makes KAITO a high-risk, high-reward asset requiring careful position sizing.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 19, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • AI-powered InfoFi positioning at the intersection of artificial intelligence, analytics, and on-chain governance — a thematically relevant category in the current market cycle
  • Massive airdrop-driven distribution with 175,365 wallets acquiring via airdrop, creating one of the broadest initial holder bases relative to token age
  • Extreme divergence between $214M market cap and $17,117 liquidity — one of the most illiquid large-cap tokens by this ratio, creating both volatility opportunity and severe exit risk

KAITO AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

KAITO is trading at $0.8883, sitting at 90% of its 90-day range ($0.3664–$0.9435) after a +33.2% surge over the past 7 days. The recent daily close sequence shows a clear staircase pattern from $0.6104 to $0.8883, with momentum accelerating into the current session. Immediate resistance at $0.9055 is the next test; a clean break would open the path to the 90-day high at $0.9435.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day gain of +85.8% and 90-day gain of +119.0% establish a sustained uptrend that is not a single-day anomaly. Holder trajectory shows net +1,303 wallets over 31 days with accelerating growth, providing a demand-side tailwind. If KAITO clears the major resistance at $0.9435, the next meaningful ceiling is psychological at $1.00, though the extreme concentration of dumpable supply (85.4%) represents a persistent ceiling on sustained upside.

Bullish Factors

  • Strong multi-timeframe momentum: +33.2% over 7 days, +85.8% over 30 days, and +119.0% over 90 days, with the price sitting at 90% of the 90-day range — a technically strong position.
  • Holder base growing with accelerating trajectory: net +1,303 holders over 31 days, with 175,365 wallets acquiring via airdrop suggesting broad distribution and community seeding.
  • Buy pressure at 53.6% over 24 hours with $16,538 in buy volume versus $14,334 in sell volume, indicating net inflow despite elevated sell-side transaction count.
  • Recent daily close sequence (oldest→newest: $0.6313 → $0.8883) shows a consistent higher-lows pattern, confirming structural demand absorption at each pullback.

Bearish Factors

  • Dumpable supply stands at 85.4% — five individual whales hold 30.03%, 25.00%, 8.33%, 5.00%, and 5.00% of total supply respectively, all acquired via transfer/airdrop with no indexed DEX swap history, meaning these positions carry zero cost basis and represent pure overhead supply.
  • Total liquidity is only $17,117 against a $214M market cap — a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 0.008%, meaning even modest whale selling would cause severe slippage and price dislocation.
  • The top 10 holders control 90% of supply and the top 100 control 100%, leaving retail with effectively zero supply — this extreme concentration makes price action highly susceptible to coordinated or unilateral whale decisions.
  • Smart money data shows six wallets each with identical realized PnL of +$14,125 at +17% over exactly 196 trades — this statistical uniformity is anomalous and may indicate wash trading or data artifacts, reducing confidence in organic smart-money validation.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

KAITO call history

Full track record →

Jul 19bullish
24h+5.9%
7d+15.6%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x98d0...7553
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: Five individual wallets hold 73.36% of supply at zero cost basis (acquired via airdrop/transfer). A coordinated or unilateral decision to sell would overwhelm the $17,117 liquidity pool and could collapse the price by 80–90% before any meaningful support is reached.
  • Liquidity trap: The $17,117 liquidity pool means the stated $214M market cap is largely theoretical — it cannot be realized through actual selling. Investors who buy at current prices may find it impossible to exit at anywhere near the entry price if sentiment shifts.
  • Anomalous smart money data: The identical PnL, return, and trade count across all six smart money wallets suggests potential wash trading or data manipulation, which if true would mean the apparent trading activity is artificial and the organic demand base is smaller than it appears.

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment leans modestly bullish with 53.6% buy pressure by volume, though the sell-side shows more unique participants (176 unique sellers vs. 97 unique buyers over 24 hours), suggesting a smaller cohort of buyers is absorbing a broader distribution of sellers. The 4-hour window shows 62 unique buyers versus 83 unique sellers, consistent with the 24-hour pattern — a few conviction buyers absorbing many small sellers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

Both short-term (7d: +33.2%) and medium-term (30d: +85.8%, 90d: +119.0%) trends are firmly bullish, with the price at 90% of the 90-day range. The recent daily close sequence from $0.6104 to $0.8883 over 14 sessions shows no meaningful lower-low, confirming the uptrend structure. Daily volatility of 5.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated but consistent with a trending rather than ranging market.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

With price at 90% of the 90-day range and a +33.2% weekly gain, momentum indicators would likely read overbought on most standard oscillators. The rapid ascent from $0.6104 to $0.8883 over roughly two weeks without a meaningful pullback suggests the market is extended in the short term, though strong trends can remain overbought for extended periods.

Volume Analysis

Buy

53.6%

Sell

46.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

Daily volume of ~$30,873 is consistent with the shallow liquidity environment and does not show a clear acceleration that would confirm a volume-backed breakout. The buy/sell volume split of 53.6%/46.4% is modestly bullish but not a strong conviction signal. Volume relative to market cap is extremely low, meaning price moves are driven by thin order flow.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a clear ascending staircase: consolidation around $0.62–$0.67 for the first eight sessions, then a sharp acceleration through $0.78–$0.86 and into $0.8883. The most recent close at $0.8883 is the highest in the series.

This pattern — base consolidation followed by accelerating breakout — is typically a continuation signal in trending markets. The key question is whether the move has sufficient volume and liquidity support to sustain above $0.90, or whether the thin liquidity will allow a sharp reversal if selling pressure increases.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.8316

Major support

$0.3664

Immediate resistance

$0.9055

Major resistance

$0.9435

The immediate support at $0.8316 represents the nearest OHLC swing low and is the first line of defense for the current uptrend — a close below this level would signal trend deterioration. Major support at $0.3664 is the 90-day range low, representing the worst-case technical floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.9055 is the first hurdle; clearing it would target the 90-day high at $0.9435, which is the critical breakout level for new price discovery above $1.00.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

74/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 5.3% translates to annualized volatility of approximately 100%, which is high even by crypto standards. The +119% 90-day gain and current position at 90% of the range suggest the token is in an extended move where mean-reversion risk is elevated.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $17,117 against a $214M market cap creates a catastrophic liquidity mismatch. Any meaningful sell order — even from a small holder — will cause severe slippage. Exit risk for any position above a few hundred dollars is extreme.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a governance and utility token for an AI/analytics network, KAITO sits in a regulatory gray zone in most jurisdictions. The governance classification may attract securities scrutiny in certain markets, and the AI sector is increasingly subject to regulatory attention globally.

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: Five individual wallets hold 73.36% of supply at zero cost basis (acquired via airdrop/transfer). A coordinated or unilateral decision to sell would overwhelm the $17,117 liquidity pool and could collapse the price by 80–90% before any meaningful support is reached.
  • Liquidity trap: The $17,117 liquidity pool means the stated $214M market cap is largely theoretical — it cannot be realized through actual selling. Investors who buy at current prices may find it impossible to exit at anywhere near the entry price if sentiment shifts.
  • Anomalous smart money data: The identical PnL, return, and trade count across all six smart money wallets suggests potential wash trading or data manipulation, which if true would mean the apparent trading activity is artificial and the organic demand base is smaller than it appears.

Mitigating Factors

  • 100% circulating supply eliminates future token unlock or vesting-cliff selling pressure — all supply is already in the market.
  • Accelerating holder growth trajectory (+1,303 over 31 days) and 413,006 total holders indicate genuine network adoption that provides a demand floor independent of whale activity.

Investor Suitability

KAITO may be suitable only for experienced crypto traders with high risk tolerance who can afford to lose their entire investment, use strict position sizing relative to the shallow liquidity, and actively monitor whale wallet activity. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable store-of-value exposure, or anyone who cannot afford significant capital loss. This is not financial advice.

KAITO presents a compelling momentum trade within the AI/InfoFi narrative, backed by a genuine +119% 90-day trend and growing holder base, but the investment thesis is fundamentally constrained by a catastrophic liquidity-to-market-cap mismatch and 85.4% dumpable supply held at zero cost basis. The bull case requires whales to continue holding while organic demand grows; the bear case requires only one large whale to decide to exit.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

KAITO breaks above the 90-day high at $0.9435, triggering momentum-driven buying and price discovery above $1.00. The AI/InfoFi narrative continues to attract new capital, holder growth accelerates beyond the current +1,303/month pace, and the liquidity pool deepens as the project gains exchange listings or liquidity incentives. Whales, recognizing the growing ecosystem value, continue to hold their zero-cost positions.

  • Sustained AI sector narrative tailwind driving new capital into AI governance tokens
  • Whale cohort maintaining holding behavior, allowing organic demand to set price without overhead supply pressure

Base Case

KAITO consolidates in the $0.83–$0.94 range over the next 30–90 days, with the strong uptrend intact but momentum slowing as the token approaches its 90-day high. Holder growth continues at the current pace, and the token maintains its AI/InfoFi positioning without a major catalyst in either direction. Liquidity remains shallow, keeping volatility elevated.

  • Top whale wallets continue to hold their positions without initiating large-scale distribution
  • The AI/analytics token narrative remains relevant in the broader market without a major sector rotation away from AI themes

Bear Case

Medium probability

One or more of the top five individual whales (collectively holding 73.36% of supply at zero cost basis) begins distributing into the thin $17,117 liquidity pool. Even a 1% sell of the largest whale's position (~$643,000 worth at current prices) would be 37x the total liquidity, causing a price collapse that triggers stop-losses and panic selling from the broader holder base. The token retraces to major support at $0.3664 or lower.

  • Zero cost basis of top whale positions means any price level represents profit, removing the psychological anchor that typically prevents selling
  • Critically shallow liquidity means price impact of even small whale sells is catastrophic and self-reinforcing

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 19, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-19 05:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.888280910560259485

Market Cap

$214.42M

24h Volume

$30.9K

Holders

413,006

Liquidity

$17,117.88

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)90-day daily OHLC price history and computed swing-level analysisWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates, acquisition method)Smart money realized PnL dataNotable recent on-chain swap data31-day holder trajectory timeseriesSmart contract security assessment

Limitations

  • Smart money data shows statistically anomalous identical figures across all six wallets, reducing confidence in smart money signals and suggesting possible data duplication or wash trading
  • No social media links are available, preventing independent verification of community engagement, development activity, or project legitimacy beyond on-chain data
  • The $214M market cap is largely theoretical given the $17,117 liquidity pool — price levels derived from OHLC data may not be achievable at scale due to slippage

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Questions about KAITO?