PENGUINS

Penguins Price Today & AI Analysis

PENGUINSBaseAnalysis as of Aug 11, 2026

Price

$0.041474

-3.11% 24h

Contract

Live
0x980181b45b3fc198314a65866b5d7c5fab6146ae

Chain

Base

Holders

11.9K

Market cap

$3.82M

Liquidity

$84.86K

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Penguins: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-11 06:31 UTC

Holder addresses

11,771

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$158,013.76
How concentrated is Penguins ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 11,771 addresses (2026-08-11 06:31 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Penguins?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Penguins liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-11 06:31 UTC, reported liquidity was $158,013.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-11 06:31 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 11, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC

Market Cap

$5.00M

24h Volume

$24.15K

Liquidity

$158.01K

FDV

—

Holders

11,771

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

PENGUINS is a 17.4-month-old Base chain token positioned at the intersection of NFT collectibles, token404 mechanics, and blockchain gaming, currently priced at $0.00001930 with a market cap of approximately $5.0 million. The token has staged a significant 30-day recovery of +59.6% from its 90-day low of $0.000009881, though it remains 36% below the 90-day high of $0.00003025. Supply concentration is technically extreme at 95% in the top 10 holders, but 92.3% of that is held by protocol/contract addresses, leaving only 2.3% as genuinely dumpable supply. The unverified contract and mixed smart-money performance are the primary risk flags investors must weigh against the improving price trend.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 11, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Token404 hybrid standard combining fungible and non-fungible token mechanics on Base chain
  • Extremely low dumpable supply (2.3%) due to protocol-locked top holders, structurally limiting sell-side pressure
  • 17.4-month track record on Base with an active holder base of 11,771 wallets, providing more longevity than typical meme launches

Penguins AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

PENGUINS has posted a strong 7-day gain of +14.4% and a 30-day gain of +59.6%, with the daily close sequence showing a clear staircase pattern from $0.00001278 to $0.00001930 over the past two weeks. The current price sits at 46% of the 90-day range, meaning meaningful upside remains before the period high is tested. Buy pressure at 53.1% and a 134-to-49 buy-to-sell transaction ratio over 24 hours reinforce near-term bullish momentum.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day trend of +59.6% is the dominant signal for the medium term, suggesting sustained accumulation interest despite the 90-day figure of -30.9% which reflects an earlier drawdown now being recovered. If the token can clear the immediate resistance cluster and hold above $0.00001940, the next meaningful target is the major resistance at $0.00003025, representing roughly +57% from current levels. Continued holder growth of +163 wallets over 30 days and a 95% protocol-locked supply structure reduce near-term sell pressure and support a constructive medium-term outlook.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price appreciation of +59.6% and a 14-consecutive-session upward close sequence from $0.00001278 to $0.00001930 demonstrate sustained buying momentum
  • Dumpable supply is only 2.3% of total supply — the top 10 holders are overwhelmingly protocol/contract addresses that cannot freely sell, meaning structural sell pressure is extremely low
  • Holder base grew by +163 wallets over 30 days and +95 over 7 days, indicating ongoing organic discovery rather than a fading community
  • Buy-to-sell transaction ratio of 134:49 over 24 hours with 84 unique buyers versus 32 unique sellers signals broad-based retail accumulation interest

Bearish Factors

  • The smart-money cohort is net-negative: four of six tracked traders show realized losses totalling -$1,580, with only two profitable traders netting +$2,974 — the majority of active traders are losing money on this token
  • The contract is unverified with a security score of only 56/100, creating meaningful smart-contract and rug-pull risk that cannot be dismissed
  • The 90-day trend is still -30.9%, meaning the token remains well below its longer-term peak and the current rally could be a dead-cat bounce within a larger downtrend
  • Recent notable trades show five sell transactions totalling ~$2,570 versus one buy of $1,500, suggesting larger participants are distributing into the current price strength

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

PENGUINS call history

Full track record →

Aug 11bullish
24h-2.2%
7d—
30d-14.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x9801...46ae
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 56/100 security score — hidden privileged functions could allow minting, freezing, or draining of funds without warning
  • Shallow liquidity ($158,014 pool) means large trades cause severe price impact; an exit by even a mid-sized holder could trigger a cascade below the major support at $0.000009881
  • The majority of tracked smart-money traders (4 of 6) have realized net losses on PENGUINS, suggesting the token does not consistently reward active participants and may have unfavorable trading dynamics

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is modestly bullish with buy pressure at 53.1% and a 2.7:1 buy-to-sell transaction ratio over 24 hours, though absolute volumes are low at $24,154 combined. The 4-hour and 1-hour windows show activity tapering significantly (22 buys/11 sells in 4h, 3 buys/2 sells in 1h), suggesting the earlier buying wave is cooling into consolidation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The daily close sequence over the past 14 sessions shows a clear uptrend: prices rose from $0.00001278 to a peak of $0.00002044 before a modest pullback to $0.00001930, which is a healthy consolidation of roughly 5.6% from the recent high. Both the 7-day (+14.4%) and 30-day (+59.6%) trends confirm the uptrend is intact across multiple timeframes. The 90-day figure of -30.9% reflects a prior bear phase that the current rally is actively recovering from.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

After a strong multi-week run, momentum is cooling — the last three daily closes ($0.00002044 → $0.00001964 → $0.00001930) show a modest pullback of 5.6% from the recent peak. Daily volatility of 4.6% is moderate for a micro-cap meme token, suggesting the market is digesting gains rather than reversing. The current price at 46% of the 90-day range indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions on a longer-term basis.

Volume Analysis

Buy

53.1%

Sell

46.9%

Volume Trend

Stable

24-hour combined volume of $24,154 represents approximately 0.48% of market cap — low by any standard and indicative of a thinly traded token. The buy/sell volume split ($12,822 vs $11,332) is nearly balanced, consistent with a consolidation phase following the recent rally. No volume spike is present to confirm a breakout, which tempers the bullish technical picture.

Recent Price Action

The token formed a 14-session ascending staircase from $0.00001278 to $0.00002044, followed by a two-session pullback to $0.00001930. The current price is consolidating just above the computed immediate support of $0.00001929, effectively testing that level.

A consolidation at support after a strong rally is typically a continuation pattern if support holds; a failure to hold $0.00001929 would open a retest of the next meaningful level, with major support at $0.000009881 representing the 90-day low.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00001929

Major support

$0.000009881

Immediate resistance

$0.00001940

Major resistance

$0.00003025

The immediate support ($0.00001929) and resistance ($0.00001940) form an extremely tight $0.00000011 band, meaning the token is at a decision point — a break in either direction from this compression will likely be amplified by the thin liquidity. Major support at $0.000009881 (the 90-day low) represents a -48.8% downside scenario, while major resistance at $0.00003025 (the 90-day high) represents a +56.7% upside scenario from current price.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 4.6% compounds to significant weekly swings. The 90-day range spans from $0.000009881 to $0.00003025 — a 3x spread — confirming the token can lose or gain the majority of its value within a single quarter.

  • LiquidityHigh

    The $158,014 liquidity pool represents only ~3.2% of market cap. Any position above a few thousand dollars will face meaningful slippage, and a coordinated sell of even modest size could gap the price significantly below support.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an NFT/gaming token with meme characteristics on Base chain, PENGUINS sits in a regulatory gray zone. NFT and gaming tokens face increasing scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions, though no specific regulatory action against this token is indicated in the available data.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 56/100 security score — hidden privileged functions could allow minting, freezing, or draining of funds without warning
  • Shallow liquidity ($158,014 pool) means large trades cause severe price impact; an exit by even a mid-sized holder could trigger a cascade below the major support at $0.000009881
  • The majority of tracked smart-money traders (4 of 6) have realized net losses on PENGUINS, suggesting the token does not consistently reward active participants and may have unfavorable trading dynamics

Mitigating Factors

  • 17.4 months of operational history without a documented exploit or rug event provides meaningful (though not conclusive) evidence of project continuity
  • Dumpable supply of only 2.3% structurally limits the ability of any single holder to crash the price through token dumping

Investor Suitability

PENGUINS is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with a speculative allocation framework, who understand micro-cap meme/NFT tokens, can afford to lose their entire position, and have independently verified the project's contract and team to their own satisfaction. It is not appropriate for conservative investors or those seeking capital preservation.

PENGUINS presents a speculative opportunity in the Base chain NFT/gaming meme space, supported by a genuine 30-day price recovery of +59.6% and structurally low sell pressure from its protocol-locked supply. The thesis is constrained by an unverified contract, thin liquidity, and a smart-money cohort that is predominantly losing money on the token.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The 30-day momentum of +59.6% continues as Base chain ecosystem growth drives new user discovery of the token404/NFT gaming narrative. The token breaks above the immediate resistance at $0.00001940, builds toward the 90-day high of $0.00003025, and the holder base accelerates past 12,000 wallets. The protocol-locked supply structure prevents any large-scale dumping, allowing even modest capital inflows to drive outsized price appreciation.

  • Sustained Base chain ecosystem expansion bringing new capital to NFT/gaming tokens
  • Continued holder growth and community engagement converting the 30-day momentum into a longer-term trend

Base Case

PENGUINS consolidates in the $0.00001500–$0.00002500 range over the next 30–90 days, with the protocol-locked supply preventing a catastrophic collapse while thin liquidity and the unverified contract cap institutional interest. Holder growth continues at the current pace of ~5 wallets per day, and the token maintains its niche position in the Base NFT/gaming ecosystem without a major catalyst in either direction.

  • No smart-contract exploit or privileged function exercise occurs during the period
  • Base chain ecosystem activity remains stable, sustaining current retail interest levels

Bear Case

Medium probability

The current rally proves to be a recovery bounce within the larger 90-day downtrend (-30.9%). The unverified contract is exploited or a privileged function is exercised, triggering a loss of confidence. Thin liquidity ($158,014) amplifies the sell-off, and the price retests the major support at $0.000009881 — a -48.8% decline from current levels.

  • Smart-contract risk materializing given the unverified contract and 56/100 security score
  • Liquidity-amplified sell pressure if notable trade distribution (five sells vs one buy in recent data) accelerates

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 11, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-11 06:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000019303667840218

Market Cap

$5.00M

24h Volume

$24.2K

Holders

11,771

Liquidity

$158,013.76

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (90-day window)Smart contract security assessment (automated scanner score)Realized PnL data for top traders of this tokenNotable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • The smart contract is unverified, meaning contract mechanics, fee structures, and privileged functions cannot be confirmed from source code — this is a material limitation on the security and tokenomics analysis
  • Smart-money sample size is limited to six tracked wallets, which may not be representative of the broader informed-trader cohort for this token

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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