SPEC

Spectral Token Price Today & AI Analysis

SPECBaseAnalysis as of Aug 7, 2026

Price

$0.006609

-2.27% 24h

Contract

Live
0x96419929d7949d6a801a6909c145c8eef6a40431

Chain

Base

Holders

90.4K

Market cap

$42.33K

Liquidity

$28.01K

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Spectral Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-07 21:01 UTC

Holder addresses

90,159

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Spectral Token ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 90,159 addresses (2026-08-07 21:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Spectral Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Spectral Token liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-07 21:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since report

report from Aug 7, 2026, 09:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$813.17K

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

90,159

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Spectral (SPEC) is a 27.2-month-old AI/AI-agent utility token on Base (0x2105) building a Machine Intelligence Network for autonomous on-chain agents. With a market cap of approximately $813K and a current price of $0.03945, the token has shed 55.3% of its value over the past 90 days and sits near the bottom of its trading range. A 7-day recovery of +16.3% offers a tentative short-term positive signal, but the broader trend remains bearish and holder growth is flat to slightly negative. The token's holder base of 90,159 — predominantly airdrop recipients — and a dumpable supply of only 12.2% provide some structural stability, though the AI narrative alone has not been sufficient to sustain price momentum.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 7, 2026, 09:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Focus on autonomous on-chain AI agents positions Spectral at the intersection of two high-growth crypto narratives: AI and DeFi automation
  • Unusually large smart-money realized PnL — the top trader has booked over $532M in gains on this token — indicating the asset has historically generated outsized returns for sophisticated participants
  • Airdrop-dominant acquisition method (71,101 of 90,159 holders) creates a wide holder base but also a large pool of cost-basis-zero holders who may sell at any price

Spectral Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

The 7-day gain of +16.3% represents a meaningful short-term reversal after a prolonged downtrend, with the recent daily close sequence showing a clear step-up from $0.03390 to $0.03945. Price is currently trading just above the immediate support of $0.03902, suggesting the recent bounce has found a tentative floor. The next test is the immediate resistance at $0.04036; a clean break above that level would confirm continuation of the short-term recovery.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the 7-day bounce, the 30-day return of -11.8% and 90-day return of -55.3% confirm a dominant downtrend that a single week of recovery has not reversed. Price sits at only 13% of its 90-day range ($0.03208–$0.08816), indicating the token remains deeply depressed relative to recent history. A sustained recovery to the major resistance at $0.08816 would require a fundamental shift in demand that is not yet visible in holder growth or trading volume data.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +16.3% breaks the recent sequence of lower closes, with daily closes stepping up from $0.03390 to $0.03945 over the last 14 sessions
  • Dumpable supply is only 12.2% of total supply — the majority of top-10 holdings are locked in protocol/Uniswap contracts and cannot be dumped, limiting near-term sell pressure from large holders
  • Smart money wallet 0xf05233 has realized +$532M (+99,523%) across 1,082 trades on this token, demonstrating that highly profitable traders have historically found significant alpha here
  • 90,159 total holders with 71,101 acquired via airdrop creates a broad distribution base that could convert to active buyers if sentiment improves

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day price decline of -55.3% with price sitting at just 13% of the 90-day range ($0.03208–$0.08816) confirms a deeply entrenched downtrend
  • Holder count is declining across all measured windows: -2 over 7 days and -9 over 30 days, signaling gradual but consistent holder attrition
  • The largest whale (0xde8d4c, 1.36% of supply) has an average buy price of $0.05432 — 37.7% above current price — representing a significant unrealized loss and potential overhead sell pressure
  • Market cap ($813K) is higher than fully diluted valuation ($145K), which is an anomalous inversion suggesting data inconsistency or token mechanics that warrant caution
  • Recent notable trades are all from a single wallet (0xba4198) with a $110 buy followed by five sells of ~$29–$30 each — a pattern consistent with small-scale profit-taking rather than meaningful accumulation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x9641...0431
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Severe medium-term downtrend: -55.3% over 90 days with price at 13% of range — continued downward pressure is the path of least resistance absent a strong catalyst
  • Shallow liquidity (~$813K market cap, largest recent trade $110) means even small sell orders can cause outsized price impact, amplifying downside volatility
  • The market cap ($813K) exceeding the fully diluted valuation ($145K) despite 100% circulating supply is an unexplained anomaly that could indicate a data error, token mechanics issue, or misrepresentation — this must be independently verified

Trading Insight

neutral

Current trading activity is extremely thin, with the only notable recent on-chain swaps being a single wallet (0xba4198) executing one small buy of $110 followed by five sells totaling approximately $147 — net outflow behavior at a micro scale. This low-volume environment makes it difficult to read directional conviction from recent trades alone, though the net sell bias from the only active large trader is a mild bearish signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The short-term picture has turned constructive: the 14-session daily close sequence shows a clear recovery from $0.03390 to $0.03945, and the 7-day return of +16.3% confirms upward momentum in the near term. However, the 30-day return of -11.8% and 90-day return of -55.3% establish that the medium-term trend remains firmly bearish, and the current price at just 13% of the 90-day range underscores how far the token is from recovering prior highs.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.5% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a micro-cap token. The recent bounce from $0.03390 to $0.03945 represents a ~16% move in roughly two weeks, which is meaningful but not yet extreme enough to signal overbought conditions given the depth of the prior decline. Momentum is recovering from oversold territory but has not yet reached levels that would suggest exhaustion.

Volume Analysis

Buy

43%

Sell

57%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Observable on-chain swap activity is extremely thin — the largest recent trade was $110. This absence of volume during a price recovery is a yellow flag; genuine trend reversals typically attract increasing participation. The low volume suggests the bounce may be driven by reduced sell pressure rather than active buying conviction.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day close sequence shows a V-shaped recovery: a decline from $0.03629 to a trough around $0.03390, followed by a stepped recovery to $0.03945 with one pullback to $0.03467 mid-recovery before resuming higher.

V-shaped recoveries in low-liquidity tokens can be fragile — they often reflect short-covering or reduced selling rather than new demand. The pullback to $0.03467 mid-recovery and subsequent resumption is mildly constructive, but confirmation requires a sustained hold above $0.03902 support.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.03902

Major support

$0.03208

Immediate resistance

$0.04036

Major resistance

$0.08816

The immediate support at $0.03902 is the first line of defense for the current recovery — a close below this level would signal the bounce has failed. Major support at $0.03208 represents the 90-day range low and a critical floor; a breach would mark new multi-month lows. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.04036 is the first meaningful hurdle; clearing it would open the path toward the major resistance at $0.08816, which is the 90-day range high and would represent a +123% move from current price.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 3.5% compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day price decline of -55.3% and the token sitting at 13% of its 90-day range demonstrate that large drawdowns are a real and recent outcome for holders.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    AI-agent tokens operating in DeFi sit in an evolving regulatory environment. Utility tokens in the AI sector face potential classification scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions, and the autonomous agent use case may attract additional regulatory attention as AI regulation matures.

Key Risks

  • Severe medium-term downtrend: -55.3% over 90 days with price at 13% of range — continued downward pressure is the path of least resistance absent a strong catalyst
  • Shallow liquidity (~$813K market cap, largest recent trade $110) means even small sell orders can cause outsized price impact, amplifying downside volatility
  • The market cap ($813K) exceeding the fully diluted valuation ($145K) despite 100% circulating supply is an unexplained anomaly that could indicate a data error, token mechanics issue, or misrepresentation — this must be independently verified

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply of only 12.2% limits the near-term sell pressure from large holders, as the majority of concentrated holdings are in protocol/Uniswap contracts
  • 27.2 months of operational history without a known exploit and a verified contract provide baseline credibility relative to newer, unaudited tokens

Investor Suitability

Spectral is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with a speculative allocation framework, deep familiarity with micro-cap AI tokens, and the ability to absorb a total loss. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those requiring liquidity, or those without the technical capacity to independently verify the market cap/FDV anomaly.

Spectral occupies a genuine niche in the autonomous on-chain AI agent space, but at $813K market cap and -55.3% over 90 days, the token is in a deep downtrend with thin liquidity and declining holder engagement. The bull case depends on product execution and sector tailwinds; the bear case is the continuation of the existing trend.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Spectral delivers a meaningful product milestone for its Machine Intelligence Network — such as a live autonomous agent deployment or a major partnership — triggering renewed interest in the AI-agent narrative. Smart money re-enters (as evidenced by historically massive realized PnL from top traders), the 7-day recovery extends through the $0.04036 resistance, and the token begins recovering toward the $0.08816 90-day high.

  • Concrete product launch or mainnet deployment of autonomous on-chain agents driving organic demand
  • Broader AI-agent sector rotation bringing fresh capital into the category and lifting all participants

Base Case

Spectral consolidates in the $0.03208–$0.04036 range over the next 30–90 days, with the 7-day recovery stalling near immediate resistance and the token drifting sideways to slightly lower as airdrop holders gradually exit and no major catalyst emerges.

  • No major product announcement or sector catalyst in the near term
  • Liquidity remains shallow and trading volumes stay at current micro-scale levels

Bear Case

High probability

The 7-day bounce fails to hold above the $0.03902 immediate support, the dominant 90-day downtrend resumes, and the token tests the major support at $0.03208. Continued holder attrition and the large pool of zero-cost airdrop holders selling into any recovery accelerate the decline.

  • No volume confirmation behind the current bounce, with the only recent notable trades being net selling from a single wallet
  • Declining holder count across all measured windows and 78.9% of holders holding zero-cost airdrop positions with no incentive to hold

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 7, 2026, 09:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-07 21:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$813.2K

24h Volume

$0

Holders

90,159

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, contract 0x96419929d7949d6a801a6909c145c8eef6a40431)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (90-day window, 14 recent daily closes)Smart contract security assessment (65/100 score, verified status)Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Notable recent on-chain swap dataWhale wallet forensics (acquisition method, first active date, avg buy price)

Limitations

  • The market cap ($813K) vs. fully diluted valuation ($145K) inversion with 100% circulating supply is unexplained and may reflect a data feed error — conclusions dependent on market cap figures carry additional uncertainty
  • Recent notable trade data covers only one wallet at very small dollar amounts, making it impossible to draw statistically meaningful conclusions about current market sentiment from trade flow alone
  • Whale wallet first-active dates include one entry (0xde8d4c) showing 2026-05-25, which is in the future relative to the analysis timestamp — this may be a data anomaly and that wallet's forensics should be treated with additional caution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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