USDC

USD Coin Price Today & AI Analysis

USDCBaseAnalysis as of Oct 1, 2026

Price

$1.12

+1068241469.79% 24h

Contract

Live
0x95bad88659dc9061287c64d86c598e148dfddd42

Chain

Holders

13

Market cap

$1.12B

Liquidity

$1.11B

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USD Coin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-01 05:15 UTC

Holder addresses

13

Top 10 supply share

1.04%

Reported liquidity

$1,107,001,229.00
How concentrated is USD Coin ownership?
As of 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 1.04% of supply. It reports 13 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling USD Coin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $1,218,218.00 in buys and $477,021.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is USD Coin liquidity falling?
As of 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,107,001,229.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-01 04:00 UTC$1,107,336,902.36

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders. No qualifying swaps were returned; that does not prove there was no trading.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 1, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$1.12B

24h Volume

$1.70M

Liquidity

$1.11B

FDV

—

Holders

13

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

This token is listed as USD Coin (USDC) on Base at $1.118926019, with a reported market cap and FDV of $1,118,926,019 on a 1,000,000,000 supply. It is 22 days old, has only 13 holders, and shows 3 transactions in 24h. Those characteristics conflict with a legitimate major stablecoin, and the quoted liquidity and market cap look unreliable. Readers should verify the contract address against official sources before any interaction.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 1, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Trades at about 11.9% above the $1 level expected of a dollar stablecoin
  • Only 13 holders and 22 days of contract age despite a claimed name of USD Coin
  • Reported $1.1B liquidity coincides with almost no trading activity, which is anomalous

USD Coin AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

The last 7 days show a 0.0% change, and the price sits at 100% of its 23-day range after stepping up from $0.9476 to $1.05 to $1.12. The 7d change is flat, so the data is genuinely balanced and does not support a directional call. The 1.07 billion percent 24h change figure is a data artifact, not a real move, and is disregarded.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

The 30d and 90d trends are unavailable because only 23 days of history exist. A $1.12 price for a token labeled USD Coin is inconsistent with a $1 dollar peg, and the $1.047e-7 period low suggests unreliable early price data. No directional forecast can be justified.

Bullish Factors

  • Reported liquidity of $1,107,001,229 would be very deep if accurate
  • Price has held at $1.12 for the last several daily closes, with low 2.6% daily volatility

Bearish Factors

  • Price of $1.12 is well above the $1 level expected for a dollar stablecoin, which signals a possible impersonator, mispricing, or data error
  • Only 3 transactions in 24h from 1 unique buyer and 1 unique seller, so the price is not validated by broad trading
  • Only 13 holders for a 1,000,000,000 supply token, which is inconsistent with the genuine USDC
  • Period low of $1.047e-7 versus a $1.12 high indicates unreliable or manipulated early price history

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

USDC call history

Full track record →

Oct 1neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x95ba...dd42
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Possible impersonation of a well-known stablecoin given the 22-day age, 13 holders and $1.12 price
  • Price and liquidity figures may be inaccurate or manipulated, with extremely thin real trading
  • Launch allocation, deployer and holder details could not be inspected

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy volume of $1,218,218 versus sell volume of $477,021 gives a nominal 71.9% buy pressure, but it comes from 1 buy and 2 sells by a single buyer and single seller. This is not meaningful market sentiment.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The last 7 days are flat at -0.0%, with closes stable at $1.12 after a step up from $0.9476 and $1.05. Medium-term trend is not measurable given only 23 days of data.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 2.6% is low and recent closes are flat, so there is no momentum signal. Price at 100% of its range is a function of the distorted $1.047e-7 low.

Volume Analysis

Buy

71.9%

Sell

28.1%

Volume Trend

Stable

Only a single day of volume is available, with 3 transactions, so a trend cannot be established. The skew toward buys reflects one large trade.

Recent Price Action

Stepwise rise from $0.9476 to $1.05 to $1.12 in three-day plateaus, then flat near $1.12 for the latest closes.

Plateau-like steps in a thinly traded token can reflect infrequent trades or sparse price updates rather than organic price discovery.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.12

Major support

$1.047e-7

Immediate resistance

$1.12

Major resistance

$1.12

Support and resistance coincide at $1.12 because price sits at the top of its range. The major support of $1.047e-7 is so far below current price that it is not a practical reference and likely reflects bad early data.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility reads 2.6%, but the price history includes a $1.047e-7 low and stepped moves, so the true risk is likely far higher than the stdev suggests.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Reported liquidity is $1.1B, but only 3 trades occurred in 24h, so the figure cannot be trusted as executable depth.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top-10 holders are reported at 1.0%, but with only 13 holders and no per-wallet data, true concentration cannot be assessed.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    If this were a genuine fiat-backed stablecoin it would face evolving regulation; here the token's identity is unverified, so the regulatory profile is uncertain.

Key Risks

  • Possible impersonation of a well-known stablecoin given the 22-day age, 13 holders and $1.12 price
  • Price and liquidity figures may be inaccurate or manipulated, with extremely thin real trading
  • Launch allocation, deployer and holder details could not be inspected

Mitigating Factors

  • Reported liquidity is large if genuine
  • Low measured daily volatility of 2.6% in recent closes

Investor Suitability

Not suitable for typical investors. Only experienced users who have independently verified the contract should consider any interaction.

The data does not support an investment thesis. Core metrics conflict with the identity implied by the name, and activity is too thin to validate the price.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The contract is verified as legitimate and the price anomaly resolves into real, broad trading around a stable value.

  • Independent verification of the contract and issuer
  • Growth in unique holders and traders

Base Case

Price stays near $1.12 with minimal activity while data quality issues remain unresolved.

  • Trading remains sparse
  • No verification of identity emerges from the provided data

Bear Case

High probability

The token is an impersonator or mispriced asset, and the displayed price and liquidity prove unreliable, leading to losses for buyers.

  • Price of $1.12 inconsistent with a dollar peg
  • Only 13 holders and 3 transactions in 24h

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 1, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-01 05:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.118926019

Market Cap

$1.12B

24h Volume

$1.70M

Holders

13

Liquidity

$1,107,001,229.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth, whale-transaction, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 23 days of price history; 30d and 90d trends unavailable
  • Reported percentage changes and early price lows appear to be data artifacts
  • Launch, deployer and smart-money forensics were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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