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underdog Price Today & AI Analysis

UNDERDOG
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

$0.066525

+404.04%24h
LiveContract:0x8610a2d91ad51e0553df2d340cd60230ca1ddba3Chain:BaseHolders:79Market cap:$65.25KLiquidity:$14.12K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 12, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC
Market Cap

$65.25K

24h Volume

$95.73K

Liquidity

$14.12K

FDV

Holders

79

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

AI Executive Summary

UNDERDOG is an 11-day-old token on Base, deployed via the Bankr launcher, with a $65,253 fully diluted market cap and only $14,123 in liquidity on Uniswap. Its price history shows six days of flat trading around $1.236e-7-$1.295e-7 followed by a sudden roughly 5x spike to the current $6.525e-7, placing it at 85% of its 11-day range and just below the period high of $7.471e-7. Trading is active (959 transactions in 24h across 140 unique buyers and 140 unique sellers) but the token has no stated use case, no social presence, and no available contract-security data.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranSep 12, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Deployed through the Bankr no-code launcher rather than a custom-built project, with no disclosed utility or roadmap
Extremely early stage: only 79 total holders and 11 days of on-chain history
Price action dominated by a single parabolic session after a multi-day flat consolidation, rather than a gradual, broad-based trend

underdog AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

UNDERDOG spiked roughly 5x in the most recent daily session after trading flat between $1.236e-7 and $1.295e-7 for six straight days, pushing price to 85% of its 11-day range and right up against the computed resistance at $7.471e-7. With sell transactions (590) outnumbering buy transactions (369) in the 24h window despite higher buy dollar volume, this looks more like a parabolic spike facing profit-taking pressure than a stable breakout.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

No 30d or 90d OHLC history exists yet since the token is only 11 days old, so the medium-term view relies entirely on extrapolating an extremely volatile 7-day window (+428.1%, 121.2% daily stdev). Vertical moves on this little liquidity ($14,123) and this short a history rarely hold without a meaningful retracement, making a cooling-off phase the more probable medium-term path.

Bullish Factors
  • +24h buy volume ($54,721) exceeds sell volume ($41,009), a net positive dollar flow of roughly 33%
  • +7-day price change is +428.1%, and price still sits at 85% of its historical range, showing the uptrend has not yet been technically broken
  • +Top 10 holders control only 16.5% of supply, a relatively low aggregate concentration that leaves room for organic distribution
Bearish Factors
  • -Sell transactions (590) outnumber buy transactions (369) in 24h despite buy pressure being higher in dollar terms, suggesting broad-based profit-taking by many smaller wallets
  • -Daily volatility of 121.2% and a 5x single-day move indicate an unstable, speculative price structure prone to sharp reversals
  • -Total liquidity of $14,123 versus a $65,253 fully diluted valuation is thin, meaning even moderate sell volume can move price sharply against holders

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

UNDERDOG call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x8610...dba3
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

A roughly 5x single-day price spike sits the token at 85% of its historical range with no prior trading history above current levels, making the move technically unconfirmed
Liquidity of only $14,123 versus $95,730 in 24h volume creates significant slippage and exit risk for larger positions
590 sell transactions versus 369 buy transactions in 24h suggests broad profit-taking that could accelerate into a deeper pullback
The token is only 11 days old with no security audit data, no social presence, and no disclosed use case, leaving it entirely dependent on speculative trading

Trading Insight

neutral

Dollar-denominated buy pressure (57.2%) exceeds sell pressure (42.8%), but transaction counts tell a different story: 590 sell transactions versus 369 buy transactions suggests many smaller participants are exiting into strength while fewer, larger buyers push the price. This split between volume-weighted and count-weighted flow is a classic signature of a pump being distributed into.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Daily closes were essentially flat between $1.236e-7 and $1.295e-7 for six consecutive days before a sharp move to $6.525e-7 in the latest session, producing the +428.1% 7-day change. This is a single-session breakout rather than a steadily building trend, which affects how much confidence should be placed in trend continuation.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

Price sits at 85% of its 11-day range immediately after a roughly 5x single-day move, with daily return volatility of 121.2%. These conditions are consistent with an overheated, overextended market where a pullback or consolidation is statistically more likely than immediate further upside.

Volume Analysis

Buy 57.2%Sell 42.8%

Volume Trend: Increasing

24h volume of about $95,730 is nearly 6.8x the pool's total liquidity of $14,123, indicating unusually heavy turnover relative to available depth; this amplifies price impact per trade in both directions.

Recent Price Action

Six days of tight, flat consolidation around $1.236e-7-$1.295e-7 were followed abruptly by a roughly 5x spike to $6.525e-7, with the most recent 5-minute change essentially flat (-0.2%), suggesting the market is currently pausing just under the period high.

Vertical moves that emerge from long flat bases, especially on thin liquidity, often see sharp mean-reversion or high-volatility chop as early holders realize gains; sustained follow-through above resistance would be needed to confirm a genuine trend change.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$1.295e-7
Major$1.007e-7
Resistance
Immediate$7.471e-7
Major$7.471e-7

The immediate support at $1.295e-7 marks the pre-spike consolidation level; a fall back to this zone would effectively erase the recent breakout. The major support at $1.007e-7 is the 11-day low. Both resistance levels coincide with the period high of $7.471e-7, meaning price has not yet traded above its own all-time range, so this level represents genuinely untested territory.

Overall Risk:
Very High
85/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 121.2% and a roughly 5x single-day price move indicate an extremely unstable price structure with large swings possible in either direction.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $14,123 against a $65,253 market cap (about 21.6%) is thin; 24h volume of ~$95,730 running through this pool implies meaningful price impact and slippage risk for any sizable trade.

Concentration
Medium

Top 10 holders control 16.5% of supply, a relatively low aggregate figure, but per-wallet identity and acquisition data are unavailable, and the total holder base of only 79 wallets is small, limiting how much confidence can be placed in this metric alone.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data (audit status, ownership, honeypot checks) is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rating rather than an actual assessment of the contract.

Regulatory
Low

No specific regulatory flags are evident from the available data; the token appears to be a standard speculative ERC-20-style asset on Base with no disclosed features (e.g., yield promises) that would typically attract heightened regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • A roughly 5x single-day price spike sits the token at 85% of its historical range with no prior trading history above current levels, making the move technically unconfirmed
  • Liquidity of only $14,123 versus $95,730 in 24h volume creates significant slippage and exit risk for larger positions
  • 590 sell transactions versus 369 buy transactions in 24h suggests broad profit-taking that could accelerate into a deeper pullback
  • The token is only 11 days old with no security audit data, no social presence, and no disclosed use case, leaving it entirely dependent on speculative trading

Mitigating Factors

  • Top 10 holder concentration of 16.5% is relatively low, reducing (though not eliminating) single-wallet dump risk
  • 24h dollar-volume flow remains net positive (buys > sells by roughly $13,700), indicating demand has not yet collapsed

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital; unsuitable for conservative investors or those seeking exposure to a token with established fundamentals, security review, or community infrastructure.

UNDERDOG's price history shows a long flat base followed by an abrupt parabolic spike on thin liquidity, a pattern that can either mark the start of a genuine re-rating or the peak of an unsustainable pump. Given the lack of fundamentals, security data, and the mixed buy/sell transaction signals, the setup currently favors caution over conviction in either direction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Price holds above the $1.295e-7 prior consolidation level and breaks decisively through the $7.471e-7 resistance on sustained, broadening buyer participation, signaling the spike reflects genuine new demand rather than a short-lived pump.

  • +Continued net positive dollar flow (buys > sells) across multiple sessions
  • +Growth in unique buyer count and holder count beyond the current 79 holders
Base Case

Price consolidates in a wide, highly volatile range between the immediate support (~$1.295e-7) and the untested resistance (~$7.471e-7) as the market digests the recent spike, with no clear directional resolution until volume and holder trends provide more confirmation.

  • No new liquidity or holder-growth data emerges to meaningfully change the current thin-liquidity, low-holder-count structure
  • Daily volatility remains elevated given the token's 11-day age and speculative nature
Bear Case
Medium

The parabolic move proves unsustainable given thin liquidity ($14,123) and the higher sell transaction count (590 vs 369 buys), with price retracing toward the $1.295e-7 or even $1.007e-7 support levels as early buyers take profit.

  • -Elevated sell transaction count relative to buys signaling broad-based distribution
  • -Thin liquidity amplifying downside price impact once selling accelerates

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 12, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$6.52532484872e-7
Market Cap$65.3K
24h Volume$95.7K
Holders79
Liquidity$14.1K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, holder size-tier distribution, whale-transaction records, smart-money cohort data, and contract-security data were all unavailable for this analysis
  • Only 11 days of price history exist, with no 30d/90d trend data, limiting the statistical reliability of any medium-term forecast
  • Identical transaction/unique-wallet figures across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows suggest a possible data-reporting artifact that could not be independently verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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