D

DEADSTAR Price Today & AI Analysis

D3
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 23, 2026

$0.059567

-2.07%24h
LiveContract:0x794c29c0b5ec64359e1451f700635c348a8948c4Chain:BaseHolders:178Market cap:$4.78KLiquidity:$3.40K

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Ask Unhosted AI about D3

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 23, 2026, 06:01 AM UTC
Market Cap

$1.22M

24h Volume

$115.90K

Liquidity

$89.45K

FDV

—

Holders

132

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

DEADSTAR (D3) is a 6-day-old token on Base (chain 0x2105) with a $1.22M market cap, launched via an unverified contract by a deployer wallet created the same day. The token's entire price history is a single launch-day spike of 2,559%, with no prior OHLC data to establish technical levels. Holder concentration is critically high — 66.5% of supply is held by individual whales who received their tokens via direct transfer at genesis with zero cost basis. The absence of a project description, social presence, contract verification, and smart-money participation makes this token indistinguishable from a high-risk speculative launch or potential exit-liquidity setup.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 23, 2026, 06:01 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Entire 2,559% price history occurred within a single 24-hour launch window — there is no multi-day price discovery or organic trend
Top 9 individual whale wallets collectively hold 66.5% of supply with zero-cost-basis positions acquired via genesis transfers, not market purchases
Deployer wallet is 6 days old, funded from an unknown source, with only one prior contract deployment — a disposable-deployer fingerprint

DEADSTAR AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bearish

DEADSTAR launched 6 days ago and has already posted a 2,559% gain within its first 24 hours of trading activity, a move that is almost entirely a launch-day spike rather than sustained accumulation. With 66.5% of supply held by individual whales who received their positions via transfer rather than market buys, and no OHLC history to anchor support, the probability of sharp mean-reversion is high. The 4h and 24h price change being identical confirms the entire price history is a single launch candle, leaving no technical floor beneath current levels.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Over a 30–90 day horizon, the structural risks dominate: the deployer wallet is only 6 days old, was funded from an unknown source, and distributed supply directly to at least five wallets at genesis before any trading began. The holder timeseries shows a 'declining' trajectory despite the 84% single-day holder surge, which reflects the 31-day series being flat at zero prior to launch — meaning all 132 holders arrived in the last 6 days with no organic community base. Without a verified contract, no project description, no social presence, and no smart-money participation on record, sustained medium-term price appreciation lacks a credible catalyst.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure is 65.7% of 24h volume ($76,162 buys vs $39,740 sells), indicating more capital entering than exiting in the immediate post-launch window
  • +Total liquidity of $89,447 is non-trivial for a 6-day-old token at this market cap, providing some depth for smaller trades without catastrophic slippage
Bearish Factors
  • -66.5% of supply sits in individual whale wallets whose positions were acquired via transfer at genesis — not market buys — meaning these holders have zero cost basis and face no loss from selling at any price
  • -The deployer wallet (0x03c01ce8…) was created just 6 days ago, funded from an unknown source, and executed only 1 contract deployment in its earliest 100 transactions — a classic disposable-deployer pattern associated with elevated rug risk
  • -The three largest individual whales (16%, 13.9%, 9% of supply) all had their wallets first activated within the last 6 days and show no indexed DEX swaps — their positions were handed to them at launch, not earned through market participation
  • -The contract is unverified (security score 45/100), there is no project description, and zero social links exist — the token has no publicly auditable code and no community infrastructure
  • -Retail holders account for approximately 0% of supply, meaning virtually all tokens are concentrated in whale-tier and larger wallets with no broad distribution base to absorb selling pressure

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

D3 call history

Full track record →
Jul 23bearish
24h+12.2%
7d-81.2%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x794c...48c4
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Genesis whale exit risk: Nine individual whale wallets hold 66.5% of supply at zero cost basis — any coordinated or sequential selling would overwhelm the $89,447 liquidity pool and could reduce the price by 80–95%+ before finding a new equilibrium
•Unverified contract with disposable deployer: The source code cannot be audited, and the deployer's profile (6-day-old wallet, unknown funding, single prior deployment) matches patterns seen in rug pulls and exit-liquidity schemes
•No fundamental anchor: With no project description, no social presence, no team disclosure, and no use case, there is no fundamental value floor — the token's price is entirely dependent on speculative demand, which can evaporate instantly

Trading Insight

bullish

Immediate post-launch sentiment skews bullish by transaction count (185 buys vs 40 sells in 24h) and volume (65.7% buy pressure), but this reflects launch-day FOMO rather than informed accumulation. The 4h and 24h transaction counts being identical confirms all trading activity occurred within a single 4-hour window, suggesting the buying wave has already peaked.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend by definition — the token launched at a lower price and spiked 2,559% — but this is a single-candle launch event, not a sustained trend. There is no medium-term price history to establish a directional trend; the token has existed for 6 days with all price action compressed into one trading burst. Without OHLC history, any trend designation beyond the launch spike is speculative.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A 2,559% move in 24 hours from a standing start, driven by a single 4-hour trading burst with no follow-through volume, is a textbook overbought condition. The -3.47% move in the most recent 5-minute window and the stalling of new transactions suggest momentum has already exhausted itself at current levels.

Volume Analysis

Buy 65.7%Sell 34.3%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

All recorded volume ($115,902 combined) was generated in a single 4-hour window. The 1-hour window shows 68 buys and 31 sells — a subset of the 4h totals, not additive — confirming volume is decelerating sharply from the launch spike. Decreasing volume following a parabolic price move is a bearish divergence signal.

Recent Price Action

Single-candle parabolic launch spike of 2,559% with no prior price history, followed by a -3.47% pullback in the most recent 5-minute window and apparent trading stagnation.

Parabolic single-candle launches with no follow-through volume and zero-cost-basis insider supply typically resolve with sharp retracements once early holders begin distributing. The absence of any consolidation pattern or stepped accumulation makes this price level structurally unsupported.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders132
24h Change+111
Growth Rate+84%

Despite the impressive 84% single-day holder growth (111 new holders), the 31-day holder timeseries is classified as 'declining' — this is because the series was flat at zero for the first ~25 days of the 31-day window and the token only launched 6 days ago. The rapid holder accumulation in 24 hours reflects launch-day FOMO, not organic community growth, and the declining trajectory classification suggests the growth rate is already slowing.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders72%
Top 100 Holders100%
Retail Holders0.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

The top 10 holders control 72% of supply, and the top 100 holders account for 100% — meaning all 132 holders are effectively in the top tier with zero retail tail. Critically, 66.5% of supply is classified as dumpable (individual whale wallets), with the remaining ~5.5% in protocol/contract addresses. This is a critical concentration risk: a coordinated or sequential exit by even 3–4 of the top whale wallets could collapse the price entirely given the $89,447 liquidity pool.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recorded on-chain swaps show two buy transactions of $4,117 and $4,116 by the same wallet (0x57723a…), suggesting a single actor split a ~$8,233 purchase across two transactions. On the sell side, three separate wallets (0x45b093…, 0x4b5c33…, 0xdddfbe…) executed sells of $1,427, $1,257, and $1,205 respectively — modest but indicating early distribution has begun.

  • •Wallet 0x57723a… executed two near-identical buys of $4,117 and $4,116 — likely a single actor split across transactions, totaling ~$8,233 in purchases
  • •Three distinct wallets (0x45b093…, 0x4b5c33…, 0xdddfbe…) each sold between $1,205 and $1,427, suggesting early holders have begun taking profits

The notable trades are all sub-$5,000 in size, indicating the large genesis whale wallets (holding 5–16% of supply each) have not yet begun to sell. The early distribution signals from three separate sell wallets, while small, confirm that profit-taking has commenced. The real risk is not the current small sells but the potential for the zero-cost-basis genesis whales to begin exiting.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
High

Smart-money data is unavailable for this token — no profitable-trader cohort data exists in the indexed dataset.

Smart-money data is unavailable; no conclusions about informed early buyer behavior can be drawn. The high profit-taking risk rating is based on the structural fact that genesis whale wallets hold 66.5% of supply at zero cost basis — any sale by these wallets is pure profit regardless of price, creating persistent downward pressure risk.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$89,447
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $89,447 in total liquidity against a $1.22M market cap, the liquidity-to-market-cap ratio is approximately 7.3% — shallow for a token of this size. A single whale selling even 1% of their 16% stake (roughly $19,593 at current prices) would represent 21.9% of the liquidity pool, causing severe slippage. This shallow pool amplifies both upside volatility on buys and downside crashes on sells.

Overall Risk:
Very High
88/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

A 2,559% price move in 24 hours from a standing start, with all volume concentrated in a single 4-hour burst and no OHLC history to establish support, represents extreme volatility. The token has no price floor and could retrace to near zero if whale selling begins.

Liquidity
High

At $89,447 in liquidity against a $1.22M market cap (7.3% ratio), the pool is too shallow to absorb meaningful whale exits without catastrophic price impact. A single top-whale sell of their full 16% position (~$195,858 at current prices) would exceed the entire liquidity pool more than twice over.

Concentration
High

66.5% of supply is held by individual whale wallets with zero cost basis, all of whom received their tokens via genesis transfer rather than market purchases. The top holder alone controls 16% of supply. This is critical concentration risk — a small number of actors can unilaterally collapse the price.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (score 45/100), meaning the source code cannot be audited for malicious functions. The deployer wallet is 6 days old with an unknown funding source — a disposable-deployer pattern that significantly elevates the probability of hidden contract risks.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized token on Base with no disclosed team or jurisdiction, DEADSTAR faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. The undisclosed insider allocation and potential pump-and-dump structure could attract regulatory scrutiny in jurisdictions with active enforcement of market manipulation rules.

Key Risks

  • •Genesis whale exit risk: Nine individual whale wallets hold 66.5% of supply at zero cost basis — any coordinated or sequential selling would overwhelm the $89,447 liquidity pool and could reduce the price by 80–95%+ before finding a new equilibrium
  • •Unverified contract with disposable deployer: The source code cannot be audited, and the deployer's profile (6-day-old wallet, unknown funding, single prior deployment) matches patterns seen in rug pulls and exit-liquidity schemes
  • •No fundamental anchor: With no project description, no social presence, no team disclosure, and no use case, there is no fundamental value floor — the token's price is entirely dependent on speculative demand, which can evaporate instantly

Mitigating Factors

  • •Buy pressure has exceeded sell pressure in the launch window (65.7% vs 34.3%), and liquidity of $89,447 does provide some exit depth for smaller retail positions
  • •All 500 million tokens are already in circulation, eliminating the risk of future unlock-driven sell pressure from vesting schedules

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of zero-cost-basis insider supply, unverified contracts, and disposable-deployer patterns — and who are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or anyone who cannot afford total loss of capital.

DEADSTAR presents a highly asymmetric risk profile skewed heavily to the downside: the structural combination of zero-cost-basis whale supply, an unverified contract, a disposable deployer, and no project fundamentals creates conditions where the bear case is the base case. The only credible bull scenario requires the project to rapidly establish legitimacy through contract verification and community building before whale distribution begins.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

The project team verifies the contract, publishes a credible roadmap and social presence, and the genesis whale wallets demonstrate long-term holding behavior. Continued buy pressure from new retail entrants sustains price above launch levels, and the token develops a genuine use case that attracts organic demand.

  • +Contract verification and publication of auditable source code would remove the largest technical risk overhang
  • +Sustained buy pressure (currently 65.7%) continuing beyond the launch window would signal genuine demand rather than launch-day FOMO
Base Case

Trading volume stalls after the launch burst (already evidenced by identical 4h and 24h transaction counts), the token trades sideways briefly as early buyers hold, then gradually declines as small holders exit and the project fails to establish any fundamental narrative. The token joins the long tail of uncategorized Base tokens with declining holder counts and minimal trading activity.

  • •Genesis whale wallets do not immediately dump but gradually distribute over days to weeks, creating a slow bleed rather than a sudden collapse
  • •No new catalysts (contract verification, project announcement, exchange listing) emerge to attract fresh capital
Bear Case
High

One or more of the zero-cost-basis genesis whale wallets begins selling into the shallow $89,447 liquidity pool. The unverified contract is exploited or contains a hidden rug mechanism. With no community or project fundamentals to sustain demand, the price collapses 80–99% from current levels as the launch-day buyer base exits.

  • -66.5% of supply held at zero cost basis by individual whales who face no financial barrier to selling at any price
  • -Unverified contract and disposable-deployer profile create conditions for a technical rug pull independent of market dynamics

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 23, 2026, 06:01 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.002449116373589237
Market Cap$1.22M
24h Volume$115.9K
Holders132
Liquidity$89.4K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, Uniswap v2)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder size buckets and timeseries)
Trading volume metrics (24h and 4h buy/sell breakdown)
Smart contract analysis (security score, verification status)
Deployer wallet forensics (first activity date, funding source, deployment history)
Whale wallet intel (DEX swap history, first active date, acquisition method)
Token genesis transfer records (initial allocation recipients)

Limitations

  • •No OHLC price history exists — the token is 6 days old with all price action in a single launch window, making technical analysis impossible beyond the launch spike
  • •Smart-money and profitable-trader cohort data is unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital flows
  • •The unverified contract means hidden tokenomics (taxes, mint functions, blacklists) cannot be ruled out or quantified
  • •No project documentation exists, making fundamental valuation impossible — the analysis is based entirely on on-chain behavioral signals

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Track D3