pPOLY

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token Price Today & AI Analysis

pPOLYBaseAnalysis as of Sep 21, 2026

Price

$0.000105

+4.78% 24h

Contract

Live
0x711cd14053f3f9a04bd05cd355711fd7459ecb07

Chain

Base

Holders

4.8K

Market cap

$10.53M

Liquidity

$229.80K

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Paimon Polymarket SPV Token: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-21 09:17 UTC

Holder addresses

4,834

Top 10 supply share

80.00%

Reported liquidity

$229,797.00
How concentrated is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token ownership?
As of 2026-09-21 09:17 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 80.00% of supply. It reports 4,834 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Paimon Polymarket SPV Token?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-21 09:17 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $21,891.00 in buys and $21,878.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Paimon Polymarket SPV Token liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +4041367543.76%, from $0.25 (2026-09-21 07:00 UTC) to $10,077,729.93 (2026-09-21 09:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-21 09:17 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 07:00 UTC$0.25
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC$10,074,427.73
2026-09-21 09:00 UTC$10,077,729.93

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 21, 2026, 09:17 AM UTC

Market Cap

$10.53M

24h Volume

$43.77K

Liquidity

$229.80K

FDV

—

Holders

4,834

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token (pPOLY) is a Base-chain token that launched approximately 1 hour ago on Uniswap, already carrying a $10.52M market cap/FDV on a fully circulating 100 billion token supply. The name implies a special-purpose-vehicle structure tied to Polymarket, but no documentation, audit, or social channels exist to verify this claim. Trading in the first hour shows balanced buy/sell flow (50.0%/50.0%) across 1,225 transactions, but the top 10 wallets already control 80% of supply against only $229,797 in liquidity, leaving the token highly speculative and largely unverifiable at this stage.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 21, 2026, 09:17 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Branding claims a 'Polymarket SPV' structure that cannot be verified from any available data
  • Extremely early-stage token (roughly 1 hour old) already with 4,834 holders and 80% supply concentration in the top 10 wallets
  • No social presence, contract-security, or audit data of any kind is available

Paimon Polymarket SPV Token AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

This token is only 1 hour old with no OHLC history, so there is no established trend to assess. The 4h and 24h price-change figures are identical (+4.78%) purely because the token's entire trading life fits inside those windows, while the 1h (+0.0096%) and 5m (-0.0048%) changes show the price has been essentially flat since the initial launch move.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

With only an hour of trading history and no OHLC data, there is no basis for a 30-90 day directional call; any forecast at this stage would be speculation rather than data-driven analysis. Price behavior over the coming days will depend heavily on whether the top-10 wallets (holding 80% of supply) hold or distribute into the current thin liquidity.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy and sell volumes are nearly identical ($21,891 vs $21,878), showing no immediate sell-off despite the post-launch pump
  • 4,834 holders have already accumulated positions within the first hour, indicating substantial initial trading interest

Bearish Factors

  • Top 10 wallets hold 80% of the 100B token supply, a very high concentration that poses significant dump risk regardless of who those wallets belong to
  • Total liquidity of $229,797 is only about 2.2% of the $10.52M market cap/FDV, leaving the token highly exposed to slippage and sharp price swings from moderate-sized trades
  • No security audit, contract verification, or social media presence exists, and the unverified 'SPV'/Polymarket branding cannot be substantiated from any available data

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

pPOLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 21neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x711c...cb07
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • The token is only about 1 hour old with no OHLC price history, no established trading range, and no track record, making technical and trend analysis highly unreliable at this stage
  • Top 10 wallets hold 80% of total supply, and since per-wallet data is unavailable, there is no way to rule out coordinated or insider control that could dump on the remaining ~4,824 holders
  • No security audit, contract verification, or social media presence exists, and the token's unverified 'SPV'/Polymarket branding could be misleading without any way to confirm the claim
  • Liquidity of $229,797 is thin relative to the $10.52M market cap/FDV, exposing the token to high slippage and outsized price impact from single large trades

Trading Insight

neutral

Buy and sell pressure are essentially split down the middle (50.0% each), with buy volume ($21,891) barely exceeding sell volume ($21,878) by about $13. This is a market in early, balanced price discovery rather than showing directional conviction in either direction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The 1h (+0.0096%) and 5m (-0.0048%) changes are both essentially flat, while the identical +4.78% readings for the 4h and 24h windows simply reflect the token's entire one-hour trading history rather than a genuine 24-hour trend. There is not yet enough independent price history to classify a real short- or medium-term trend.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

With no OHLC history and only an hour of trading, standard momentum indicators (RSI, moving averages, etc.) cannot be meaningfully calculated; recent minute-level price changes show no strong directional push in either direction.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Volume Trend

Stable

Buy volume ($21,891) and sell volume ($21,878) are almost perfectly balanced, and buy/sell transaction counts (626 vs 599) are similarly close, indicating two-sided, active trading rather than one-sided accumulation or distribution during the launch window.

Recent Price Action

Price rose 4.78% from launch to the current reading (a figure repeated across both the 4h and 24h windows because the token has only existed for about an hour), while the most recent 1h and 5m changes are effectively flat.

This pattern is consistent with a brief post-launch price-discovery pump that has since stabilized, but with only an hour of data, it is far too early to treat this as an established trend or reversal signal.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    The token has only about 1 hour of trading history with no OHLC data to establish a normal trading range; tokens at this stage routinely experience extreme swings during initial price discovery.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $229,797 against a $10.52M market cap/FDV (roughly 2.2%) is thin, meaning moderate-to-large trades can cause significant slippage and price impact.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    The top 10 holders control 80% of the 100 billion token supply. Individual wallet identities and classifications are unavailable, so this concentration cannot be confirmed as benign (e.g., protocol/exchange wallets) versus speculative whale holdings, and should be treated with caution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryHigh

    The token's name explicitly references an 'SPV' (special purpose vehicle) structure and Polymarket, a prediction-market platform. Tokens invoking security-like or investment-vehicle language tied to real-world platforms — without any supporting documentation — can attract elevated regulatory and legitimacy concerns.

Key Risks

  • The token is only about 1 hour old with no OHLC price history, no established trading range, and no track record, making technical and trend analysis highly unreliable at this stage
  • Top 10 wallets hold 80% of total supply, and since per-wallet data is unavailable, there is no way to rule out coordinated or insider control that could dump on the remaining ~4,824 holders
  • No security audit, contract verification, or social media presence exists, and the token's unverified 'SPV'/Polymarket branding could be misleading without any way to confirm the claim
  • Liquidity of $229,797 is thin relative to the $10.52M market cap/FDV, exposing the token to high slippage and outsized price impact from single large trades

Mitigating Factors

  • 100% of total supply is already circulating, removing the risk of a hidden future unlock schedule diluting holders
  • Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced ($21,891 vs $21,878) in the token's first hours, showing no immediate mass exodus of capital

Investor Suitability

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculative traders comfortable with brand-new, unverified token launches and potential total loss of capital. Not suitable for risk-averse, long-term, or fundamentals-driven investors given the near-total absence of verifiable security, social, and track-record data.

pPOLY is an unproven, roughly 1-hour-old token with an unverified 'SPV'/Polymarket claim, extreme holder concentration, and thin liquidity relative to its market cap. Any investment thesis at this point is highly speculative and dependent on future disclosures rather than established fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the claimed Polymarket-linked SPV structure is genuine and becomes independently verifiable, and if the balanced early trading (50.0%/50.0% buy/sell) continues alongside organic holder growth without the top-10 wallets distributing, the token could sustain interest beyond its initial launch window.

  • Independent verification of a genuine Polymarket-linked SPV structure or disclosed utility
  • Continued organic holder growth beyond the initial 4,834 without top-10 wallets offloading into thin liquidity

Base Case

Absent independent verification of its claims or disclosed security audit, the token most likely continues trading as a highly volatile, speculative asset driven by short-term momentum and bot/arbitrage activity rather than sustainable fundamental demand.

  • No independent verification of the Polymarket/SPV branding emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin relative to market cap, keeping volatility elevated in both directions

Bear Case

High probability

Given that the top 10 wallets control 80% of supply with unknown identities and only $229,797 in liquidity, a sell-off by even a fraction of those holders could sharply crash the price — a common outcome for newly launched, unaudited, unverified tokens.

  • Extreme holder concentration (80% in top 10 wallets) of unknown composition
  • Thin liquidity relative to market cap, which magnifies price impact from any large sell order

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 21, 2026, 09:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-21 09:17 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000105253064436

Market Cap

$10.53M

24h Volume

$43.8K

Holders

4,834

Liquidity

$229,797.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security/audit data were unavailable for this analysis
  • No OHLC price history exists yet since the token is only about 1 hour old, preventing meaningful technical trend or support/resistance analysis
  • Individual holder wallet identities and classifications could not be obtained, limiting concentration-risk analysis to aggregate top-10 figures only

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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