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doji Price Today & AI Analysis

doji
Base·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 15, 2026

$0.047547

+5.69%24h
LiveContract:0x693b8de886712f0039eef578bbe5ac7ea3b598ceChain:BaseHolders:1.8KMarket cap:$75.47KLiquidity:$13.18K

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Movement since reportreport from Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 PM UTC
Market Cap

$695.97K

24h Volume

$1.45M

Liquidity

$111.23K

FDV

Holders

1.2K

Security

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

Top acquisition

AI Executive Summary

Doji (DOJI) is an unverified, uncategorized token on Base (chain 0x2105) that launched approximately 8.8 months ago but spent most of that time dormant near $0.000003–$0.000004 before a single explosive candle on its most recent trading day pushed price to $0.0006822 — a move of roughly 17,400% from the prior close. The token has a $696K market cap, $111K in liquidity, and 1,249 holders, with its holder base growing 90% in 31 days. Critical red flags include an unverified contract, an 18/100 security score, no disclosed project description or social presence, and multiple top whale wallets that received supply via transfer at zero cost basis. The combination of a classic launch-pump price pattern, insider-allocated supply, and absent fundamentals places this firmly in the speculative/high-risk category.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ranJul 15, 2026, 05:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: bullish
Extreme single-candle launch pump: price moved ~17,400% in one daily session after six flat days near $0.000003, a pattern consistent with coordinated launch activity
Zero-cost-basis insider whales: the top holder (9.63%) and two other large wallets received supply via transfer with no DEX purchase history, creating asymmetric dump risk
Unverified contract with 18/100 security score: the lowest security tier with no code transparency, distinguishing it negatively even among micro-cap tokens

doji AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

Doji launched just days ago and has already surged from a low of $0.000002923 to $0.0006822, sitting at 61% of its 7-day range. The final daily candle represents an approximately 17,400% single-session move from the prior close of $0.000002923, signaling an explosive launch pump. With 814 unique buyers versus 683 unique sellers in the same window and slight buy-side volume dominance (51.7%), short-term momentum favors continuation, though the extreme volatility makes a sharp retracement equally plausible.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

The 7d/30d/90d trend metrics are unavailable due to the token's extremely short history, but the daily OHLC tells a clear story: six consecutive closes between $0.000002923 and $0.000004352 followed by a single parabolic candle to $0.0006822 is a classic launch-pump pattern with high mean-reversion risk. The 34.3% dumpable supply held by individual whales — several of whom received their positions via transfer rather than market buys — creates sustained overhead selling pressure. Without a verified contract, disclosed utility, or social presence, sustaining price above the pump level over 30–90 days is unlikely absent a major catalyst.

Bullish Factors
  • +Explosive price action: the final daily candle moved from $0.000002923 to $0.0006822, a ~17,400% gain, placing price at 61% of the 7-day range and well above all prior closes
  • +Holder base grew from 128 to 1,243 wallets over 31 days with accelerating growth, adding 1,115 net holders — 90% growth — indicating genuine demand accumulation
  • +Buy-side volume dominance: $748,215 in buy volume versus $700,309 in sell volume (51.7% buy pressure) with 3,043 buy transactions versus 2,164 sell transactions in the same window
  • +Liquidity of $111,229 relative to a $696K market cap (~16% liquidity-to-mcap ratio) is above average for a token at this stage, reducing immediate exit-liquidity collapse risk
Bearish Factors
  • -Unverified smart contract with a security score of 18/100 — the lowest tier — signals undisclosed code risks and is a primary red flag for any capital allocation
  • -Three of the largest individual whale wallets (9.63%, 2.84%, 1.98% of supply) received their positions via transfer with no indexed DEX swaps, meaning they paid nothing for their stakes and face zero cost basis — maximum dump incentive
  • -Daily volatility of 8,662% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extreme even by micro-cap standards, making any price target highly unreliable and exposing holders to catastrophic drawdowns
  • -No project description, no social links, and an 'Uncategorized' classification mean there is no verifiable utility or community to sustain price after the initial pump subsides

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

doji call history

Full track record →
Jul 15bullish
24h+191.1%
7d-92.2%
30d-94.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainBase
Contract0x693b...98ce
Total Supply
Decimals

Key Risks

Rug pull / exit scam risk: unverified contract + zero-cost-basis insider whales + no project documentation is the canonical profile for a token where insiders dump on retail buyers after the launch pump
Mean reversion risk: the pre-pump price base of $0.000002923–$0.000004352 represents a ~99.4% drawdown from current price — if buying pressure subsides, gravity toward the prior base is strong
Liquidity collapse risk: the $111K liquidity pool cannot absorb the ~$238K of dumpable supply at current prices; a coordinated or even sequential whale exit would crater price and trap retail holders

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment is marginally bullish by transaction count and volume metrics, with buy transactions (3,043) outnumbering sells (2,164) and buy volume ($748K) slightly exceeding sell volume ($700K). However, the 51.7%/48.3% split is narrow, and the near-identical 1h, 4h, and 24h transaction counts suggest all activity is concentrated in a single burst window rather than sustained organic trading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

The short-term trend is technically an uptrend given the final daily candle's ~17,400% move from $0.000002923 to $0.0006822, placing price at 61% of the 7-day range. However, the medium-term picture is effectively sideways-to-flat: the six preceding daily closes ranged only from $0.000002923 to $0.000004352 — a tight band — before the single explosive candle. With 7d/30d/90d trend metrics unavailable, the medium-term classification defaults to the pre-pump baseline of sideways consolidation near micro-cap lows.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A single-candle move of ~17,400% from the prior close to $0.0006822 places momentum in extreme overbought territory by any standard measure. The daily volatility of 8,662% (standard deviation of daily returns) confirms this is not a gradual trend but a parabolic spike, which historically resolves through sharp mean reversion. Price sitting at 61% of the 7-day range rather than at the high ($0.001121) suggests some selling has already occurred from the intraday peak.

Volume Analysis

Buy 51.7%Sell 48.3%

Volume Trend: Increasing

All $1.45M in combined 24h volume is concentrated in a single trading burst, representing 208% of the token's market cap — an extreme volume-to-mcap ratio consistent with a launch event. There is no prior volume baseline to compare against, so 'increasing' reflects the step-change from zero to active trading rather than a sustained upward volume trend.

Recent Price Action

Six consecutive daily closes in a tight range ($0.000002923–$0.000004352) followed by a single parabolic candle to $0.0006822 — a classic 'dormant launch then pump' pattern. The current price of $0.0006822 is approximately 156x the average of the prior six closes.

This pattern is characteristic of coordinated launch pumps where insiders or early participants accumulate at near-zero prices before a single aggressive buying event drives price discovery. It typically precedes either a continuation to new highs (if demand sustains) or a sharp retracement toward the pre-pump base (if selling pressure from zero-cost holders dominates).

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000004352
Major$0.000002923
Resistance
Immediate$0.001121
Major$0.001121

Immediate support at $0.000004352 represents the highest of the six pre-pump daily closes — a retest of this level would represent a ~99.4% drawdown from current price and would confirm full mean reversion to the pre-pump base. Major support at $0.000002923 is the 7-day range low (the most recent pre-pump close), representing the absolute floor of established price history. Both resistance levels converge at $0.001121, the 7-day range high (intraday peak), which is the only meaningful overhead target — a break above it would constitute a new all-time high for this token.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders1,249
24h Change+1,122
Growth Rate+90%

The 31-day holder trajectory from 128 to 1,243 wallets shows accelerating growth, with the vast majority of the 1,115 net new holders arriving in the final days coinciding with the price pump. While rapid holder growth is a positive demand signal, the timing correlation with the pump event suggests many new holders entered at or near the top of the parabolic move, increasing the risk of panic selling if price retraces.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders37%
Top 100 Holders80%
Retail Holders20.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

While the top-10 holds 37% of supply, the concentration risk classification is driven specifically by the 34.3% dumpable supply figure — individual whale wallets that can sell freely. The 4.05% in a labeled Burn Address and the 9.27% in a protocol/contract are non-dumpable and appropriately excluded from risk calculation. The remaining ~20% in retail hands means that if even a fraction of the 34.3% dumpable supply is sold into the market, retail holders face severe dilution of exit liquidity against the $111K liquidity pool.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Distributing

The six largest recent on-chain swaps show a 1:5 buy-to-sell ratio by transaction count: one buy of $950 (0x920c10) versus five sells totaling $2,727 from four distinct wallets (0xdcc0da: $778, 0x4337bb: $597, 0x5894e3: $922 across two transactions, 0xdadca4: $430). This distribution pattern in notable trades suggests early participants are actively taking profits.

  • BUY $950 by 0x920c10 — the largest single notable trade, representing a new entrant or accumulator at current prices
  • SELL $778 by 0xdcc0da and SELL $597 by 0x4337bb — the two largest sell-side notable trades, consistent with profit-taking from the pump event

The notable recent trades skew heavily toward selling (5 of 6 notable trades are sells), and three of the top individual whale wallets hold zero-cost-basis positions acquired via transfer. This combination — insider supply with no cost basis plus observed sell-side dominance in large trades — is a meaningful distribution signal that warrants caution for new buyers.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Six wallets each show identical realized PnL of +$93 (+70%) over 13 trades each — the uniformity across all six addresses is statistically anomalous and may indicate related wallets, a bot cluster, or data normalization artifacts rather than independent smart-money actors.

The smart money data shows six traders with identical +$93 / +70% realized PnL over exactly 13 trades each. While the 70% return is positive, the absolute dollar amounts are small ($93 per wallet) and the perfect uniformity across all six wallets raises questions about whether these represent independent actors or a coordinated cluster. Confidence in this signal as a genuine smart-money indicator is low; it should not be used as a bullish thesis anchor.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$111,229
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $111,229, liquidity represents approximately 16% of the $696K market cap — a ratio that is above average for a token this young, but the absolute dollar depth is shallow. Any whale attempting to exit a position of even $10,000–$20,000 would face significant slippage against this pool. The 34.3% dumpable supply, if sold into this liquidity, would be worth approximately $238K at current prices — more than double the available liquidity, guaranteeing severe price impact on any large exit.

Overall Risk:
Very High
91/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 8,662% (standard deviation of daily returns) is extreme by any measure. A single daily candle moved price ~17,400% from the prior close. This level of volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible for retail participants.

Liquidity
High

With only $111,229 in liquidity against 34.3% dumpable supply worth approximately $238K at current prices, any significant whale exit would consume more than the available liquidity pool, causing catastrophic price impact. Slippage on trades above $5,000–$10,000 would be severe.

Concentration
High

34.3% of supply is held by individual whale wallets with dumpable positions. Three of the largest whales (9.63%, 2.84%, 1.98%) received their supply via transfer at zero cost basis, meaning any price above zero is pure profit — the incentive to sell is maximal and the cost to do so is zero.

Smart Contract
High

The contract is unverified (source code not publicly auditable) and carries an 18/100 security score — the lowest tier. Hidden functions such as mint, pause, blacklist, or fee manipulation cannot be excluded without code review. This is the single highest-risk factor in the assessment.

Regulatory
Medium

As an uncategorized token with no disclosed utility on a public blockchain, doji faces standard DeFi regulatory uncertainty. The lack of KYC, no disclosed team, and anonymous deployer profile add compliance opacity, though no specific regulatory action is indicated by the available data.

Key Risks

  • Rug pull / exit scam risk: unverified contract + zero-cost-basis insider whales + no project documentation is the canonical profile for a token where insiders dump on retail buyers after the launch pump
  • Mean reversion risk: the pre-pump price base of $0.000002923–$0.000004352 represents a ~99.4% drawdown from current price — if buying pressure subsides, gravity toward the prior base is strong
  • Liquidity collapse risk: the $111K liquidity pool cannot absorb the ~$238K of dumpable supply at current prices; a coordinated or even sequential whale exit would crater price and trap retail holders

Mitigating Factors

  • Accelerating holder growth from 128 to 1,243 wallets over 31 days provides a demand-side counterweight, with 98.7% of holders having paid market prices and thus having an incentive to support price
  • 100% circulating supply with no future unlock events eliminates scheduled inflation risk, and the 4.05% burn allocation permanently removes a small portion of supply from circulation

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly experienced speculative traders who fully understand the risks of unverified micro-cap tokens, can afford to lose 100% of their position, and are actively monitoring on-chain activity for early exit signals. It is not suitable for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio.

Doji presents a high-risk speculative opportunity driven entirely by momentum and holder growth, with no fundamental underpinning. The bull case depends on sustained retail demand overwhelming insider selling pressure; the bear case — which carries higher probability — is that zero-cost-basis insiders distribute into the pump, collapsing price toward the pre-pump base.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Sustained retail demand from the accelerating holder growth trajectory (128 → 1,243 wallets in 31 days) continues to absorb insider selling, price consolidates above $0.0003 and eventually tests the $0.001121 range high. A project announcement, contract verification, or social media launch could catalyze a second leg up and attract new capital.

  • +Continued accelerating holder growth providing demand-side absorption of insider supply
  • +Project team publishes verifiable utility, verifies the contract, and establishes social presence — converting speculative interest into fundamental demand
Base Case

Price experiences a partial retracement from the pump high as early buyers take profits (consistent with the 5:1 sell-to-buy ratio in notable recent trades), stabilizing somewhere between $0.0001 and $0.0004 — a 40–85% drawdown from current price — before entering a period of low-volume consolidation. Without contract verification or project disclosure, the token remains in speculative limbo.

  • Insider whales distribute gradually rather than in a single coordinated dump, allowing partial price support from ongoing retail buying
  • No project fundamentals are disclosed in the near term, keeping the token in the speculative/meme category without a fundamental re-rating
Bear Case
High

Zero-cost-basis whale wallets (34.3% dumpable supply) begin distributing into the $111K liquidity pool. The shallow liquidity cannot absorb the selling, price collapses toward immediate support at $0.000004352 — a ~99.4% drawdown from current levels. New retail holders who entered during the pump are left holding near-worthless positions with no exit liquidity.

  • -Three confirmed zero-cost-basis whale wallets (9.63%, 2.84%, 1.98% of supply) with maximum dump incentive and no holding cost
  • -Unverified contract and absent project fundamentals provide no narrative to sustain retail demand once momentum fades

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 15, 2026, 05:01 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data as of analysis timestamp
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.000682184689438978
Market Cap$696.0K
24h Volume$1.45M
Holders1,249
Liquidity$111.2K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 Base)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (7-day window)
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap lookup, wallet first-active dates)
Smart money realized PnL data
Notable recent trade data (largest on-chain swaps)
Smart contract security scoring
Holder trajectory timeseries (31-day daily)

Limitations

  • Only 7 daily OHLC candles are available — 7d/30d/90d trend metrics are unavailable, severely limiting trend analysis reliability and making medium-term forecasts highly speculative
  • Unverified contract means smart contract risk cannot be fully quantified — hidden malicious functions are possible but unconfirmed
  • Identical transaction counts across 1h/4h/24h windows suggest a data anomaly or single-burst event; true trading distribution across the day cannot be assessed
  • Smart money data shows statistically anomalous uniformity across six wallets (identical PnL, identical trade counts) — the reliability of this signal as independent actor data is uncertain

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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