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Launch Price Today & AI Analysis

LAUNCHBaseAnalysis as of Oct 25, 2026

Price

$0.052797

+2281.48% 24h

Contract

Live
0x55048e63089741620f5d4a442cacedce2059ee5a

Chain

Holders

382

Market cap

$279.63K

Liquidity

$45.54K

At a $1M market cap, $LAUNCH would be $0.041000 (3.58x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is LAUNCH a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 25

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, with a few things to know below.

Can you sell?

YesA test sell went through

Buy tax

0%

Sell tax

0%

Launch wallets hold

9.5%4 bundlers still holding
  • Much of the trading comes from a farm of related wallets.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about LAUNCH

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More tokens on Base

Launch: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-25 22:30 UTC

Holder addresses

382

Top 10 supply share

25.65%

Reported liquidity

$45,541.00
How concentrated is Launch ownership?
As of 2026-10-25 22:30 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 25.65% of supply. It reports 382 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Launch?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-25 22:30 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $181,497.00 in buys and $135,994.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Launch liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +58.48%, from $28,736.00 (2026-10-25 21:00 UTC) to $45,541.00 (2026-10-25 22:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Unhosted token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-25 22:30 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-25 21:00 UTC$28,736.00
2026-10-25 22:00 UTC$45,541.00

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Oct 25, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$279.63K

24h Volume

$317.49K

Liquidity

$45.54K

FDV

—

Holders

382

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Neutral

Launch (LAUNCH) is a Base token trading on Uniswap that was created 1 hour ago and has surged about 2,281% since its first trades, reaching a market cap of about $279,625. The token has no description, no social links and no category, so its purpose is unknown. Unhosted's scam check returns NEUTRAL (30/100) with a related-wallet farm warning, and a test trade showed it can be sold with 0% taxes. Liquidity is thin at $45,541 and the price history is far too short to establish any trend.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Oct 25, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Only 1 hour old, with a +2,281% launch spike
  • Related-wallet trading farm flagged by Unhosted's scam check
  • No project description, socials or category provided

Launch AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

LAUNCH is only 1 hour old and has already moved about +2,281% from its first trades, so there is no daily OHLC history to anchor a trend. A parabolic first-hour spike of this size has usually been followed by sharp retracement, and Unhosted's scam check flags a farm of related wallets behind much of the trading. We lean bearish on mean-reversion risk, with low conviction.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With no price history, no description, no social links and no category, nothing observable supports sustained demand beyond the launch spike. Most tokens that spike this far in their first hour lose a large share of the gains as early buyers exit. The call is bearish on base rates, not on measured trend data.

Bullish Factors

  • Buy pressure is 57.2% of 24h volume ($181,497 buys vs $135,994 sells), a modest lean toward buyers.
  • The test trade shows the token is sellable with 0% buy and 0% sell tax, so honeypot mechanics were not observed.
  • The creator holds 0.00% and snipers/insiders show 0.00% in launch-wallet tracking, though zero can mean untracked.

Bearish Factors

  • The +2,281% move in the first hours leaves late buyers exposed to a large retracement.
  • Unhosted's scam check flags FLOW_WALLET_FARM: much of the trading comes from related wallets, so volume and buyer counts may be inflated.
  • Four bundler wallets still hold 9.51% of supply, a sizeable block that could be sold into thin liquidity.
  • Liquidity of $45,541 against a $279,625 market cap is thin, so large exits can move the price sharply.
  • There is no project description, no social links and no category, so there is no fundamental support for the price.

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

LAUNCH call history

Full track record →

Oct 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x5504...ee5a
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Related-wallet trading farm (FLOW_WALLET_FARM) means volume and buyer counts may be inflated
  • Post-spike retracement risk after +2,281% in a 1-hour-old token
  • Thin $45,541 liquidity can magnify losses on exit
  • Bundler wallets hold 9.51% of supply and could sell

Trading Insight

neutral

Buys outnumber sells (545 vs 362) and buy volume is 57.2% of the total, but the scam check says much of this flow comes from related wallets. Sentiment is therefore treated as unreliable and only mildly positive.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

The 1-hour (+450%) and 4-hour (+2,281%) changes show a vertical advance, but the token is only 1 hour old and has no daily history. A medium-term trend cannot be established, so it is labeled sideways by default.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A +2,281% move with +7.29% in the last 5 minutes is extremely stretched. No RSI or similar indicators are available, but the magnitude points to overbought conditions.

Volume Analysis

Buy

57.2%

Sell

42.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Nearly all activity (823 of 907 transactions) happened in the last hour, so volume is accelerating from zero at launch. Unique buyers (473) are about twice unique sellers (236), though the related-wallet flag reduces the reliability of this ratio.

Recent Price Action

Parabolic launch spike, with +450% in the last hour and a further +7.29% in the last 5 minutes, indicating momentum has not yet reversed.

Vertical moves on new tokens frequently precede sharp pullbacks once early buyers take profit, especially with thin liquidity.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

88/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    A +2,281% move in the first hour of life shows extreme price swings, with a similarly large reversal plausible.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Liquidity of $45,541 is thin relative to a $279,625 market cap, so exits of any size can cause heavy slippage.

  • ConcentrationMedium

    Top 10 holders own 25.6% in aggregate and bundler wallets hold 9.51%, but individual holders cannot be classified, so dumpable supply is unknown.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    An anonymous, uncategorized token with no stated purpose or team may attract heightened scrutiny, though no specific regulatory issue is identified in the data.

Key Risks

  • Related-wallet trading farm (FLOW_WALLET_FARM) means volume and buyer counts may be inflated
  • Post-spike retracement risk after +2,281% in a 1-hour-old token
  • Thin $45,541 liquidity can magnify losses on exit
  • Bundler wallets hold 9.51% of supply and could sell
  • No project information, socials or launch forensics, so the launch allocation could not be inspected

Mitigating Factors

  • Test sell succeeded with 0% buy and sell taxes
  • Creator holds 0.00% in launch-wallet tracking (may be untracked)
  • Top 10 aggregate holding of 25.6% is moderate across 382 holders

Investor Suitability

Only suitable for experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can accept a complete loss. Not suitable for investors seeking fundamentals or stability.

LAUNCH is a brand-new token whose price rests entirely on launch momentum, with no disclosed fundamentals. The related-wallet warning and thin liquidity weigh against it, and the evidence supports a cautious stance.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Organic buyers keep arriving, liquidity grows and a real project or community emerges to sustain the new price level.

  • Independent buyer growth beyond the related-wallet farm
  • Liquidity deepening well above $45,541

Base Case

Volatile trading with a significant retracement from the launch peak, and uncertain survival beyond the first days.

  • No fundamentals or marketing emerge to support demand
  • Liquidity stays thin relative to market cap

Bear Case

High probability

Early buyers and bundler wallets take profit into thin liquidity, and the price gives back most of the launch gains.

  • Bundler wallets holding 9.51% selling
  • Fading momentum once coordinated volume stops

Analysis Details

Generated

Oct 25, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-25 22:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.00000279655314628

Market Cap

$279.6K

24h Volume

$317.5K

Holders

382

Liquidity

$45,541.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentrationUnhosted automated risk check and test trade

Limitations

  • Holder-growth and whale-transaction data were unavailable
  • The contract check is Unhosted's automated assessment, a warning signal, not a guarantee
  • No daily OHLC history exists for a 1-hour-old token, so no key levels or trend could be computed
  • Per-wallet holder data, launch forensics and deployer history were unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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