BMX

BMX Price Today & AI Analysis

BMXBaseAnalysis as of Jun 14, 2026

Price

$0.1475

+3.05% 24h

Contract

Live
0x548f93779fbc992010c07467cbaf329dd5f059b7

Chain

Holders

68.1K

Market cap

$448.62K

Liquidity

$3.23K

At a $1M market cap, $BMX would be $0.3287 (2.23x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is BMX a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 24

Re-checking

No red flags last time; the contract test has expired and is due to re-run.

  • The top 10 wallets hold a large share of the supply.
  • The liquidity could not be measured.

The last contract test has expired and is waiting to re-run. Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about BMX

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More tokens on Base

BMX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-14 18:01 UTC

Holder addresses

68,024

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$87,619.42
How concentrated is BMX ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 68,024 addresses (2026-06-14 18:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling BMX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is BMX liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-14 18:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $87,619.42. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-14 18:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jun 14, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$2.28M

24h Volume

$53.85K

Liquidity

$87.62K

FDV

—

Holders

68,024

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Wrapped BMX Liquidity Token (wBLT) is a 33.7-month-old DeFi utility token on Base, functioning as an auto-compounding wrapper for BLT — the market-making liquidity token of the BMX spot and margin DEX. With a market cap of approximately $2.28M and a fully diluted valuation of $2.56M (near-identical, indicating minimal locked/unvested supply), the token is a small-cap DeFi instrument with a specific yield-bearing use case. The price has declined 19.0% over 30 days and currently sits near the bottom of its 53-day range at $0.8026, with sell pressure dominating recent trading. Despite the price weakness, the holder base of 68,024 is growing steadily and structural dump risk is low given that the majority of concentrated supply resides in protocol contracts.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jun 14, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Auto-compounding wrapper mechanics: wBLT automatically compounds BLT yield, enabling passive liquidity provision without manual reinvestment
  • Collateral utility: wBLT can be used as collateral for borrowing, expanding its DeFi composability beyond simple LP tokens
  • Protocol lineage: Evolved from Morpheus Swap (2021, Fantom) into a multi-chain DEX, giving it a longer operational history than most small-cap DeFi tokens

BMX AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

wBLT is in a clear short-term downtrend, down 5.9% over 7 days and sitting at just 3% of its 53-day range ($0.7921–$1.15), indicating the price is near multi-month lows. The 24h sell pressure of 65.1% and sell volume nearly double buy volume ($35,067 vs $18,787) reinforce continued near-term selling momentum. Immediate support at $0.8002 is being tested; a break below could expose the major support at $0.7921.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day decline of 19.0% from a high of $1.15 to the current $0.8026 reflects sustained distribution pressure with no sign of reversal in the daily close sequence. Until wBLT reclaims the $1.00 psychological level and breaks above immediate resistance at $0.8059 with conviction, the medium-term path of least resistance remains downward. A recovery toward major resistance at $1.15 would require a fundamental catalyst such as a significant new integration or a broader DeFi market rally.

Bullish Factors

  • Price is at 3% of the 53-day range ($0.7921–$1.15), meaning it is near the historical floor, limiting further downside to roughly $0.01 before major support
  • Holder base of 68,024 has grown by a net +71 over 31 days with an accelerating trajectory, indicating ongoing organic adoption despite price weakness
  • Dumpable supply is only 12.8% of total supply — the top 10 is dominated by protocol/contract wallets (59.32% + 8.95% + 1.73% + 1.67%) that cannot sell, capping structural dump risk
  • wBLT's auto-compounding mechanics and collateral utility provide a fundamental yield-bearing use case that supports a price floor tied to underlying BLT yield

Bearish Factors

  • 30-day price decline of 19.0% with a consistent sequence of lower daily closes (from $0.9235 down to $0.7948) confirms a sustained downtrend, not a temporary dip
  • Sell pressure dominates at 65.1% of 24h volume ($35,067 sell vs $18,787 buy), with the 1-hour window showing 32 sell transactions vs 17 buys — intraday momentum is also negative
  • Liquidity of only $87,619 is shallow relative to the $2.28M market cap (~3.8% liquidity-to-mcap ratio), meaning even moderate sell orders cause meaningful price impact
  • No social links are available for the project, limiting community-driven demand and making it difficult to assess or build retail momentum

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

BMX call history

Full track record →

Jun 14bearish
24h+2.5%
7d-29.9%
30d-66.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x548f...59b7
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity ($87,619) creates a high-impact exit risk: the 12.8% dumpable supply (~$292,400 at current prices) cannot be liquidated without catastrophic price impact given the pool size
  • 77.7% of holders (52,883) acquired wBLT via airdrop with zero cost basis, representing persistent latent sell pressure that could accelerate any downward price move
  • No social links or visible community infrastructure limits the token's ability to attract new capital or respond to negative price action with community-driven buying

Trading Insight

bearish

Current market sentiment for wBLT is bearish, with sell volume ($35,067) running at 1.87x buy volume ($18,787) over 24 hours and sell pressure at 65.1%. Despite more buy transactions (103) than sell transactions (92), the larger average sell size indicates that sellers are moving more capital per transaction, a classic distribution pattern. The 1-hour window is more acute, with 32 sell transactions versus 17 buys, suggesting the selling pressure is intensifying rather than abating.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Both short-term (7d: -5.9%) and medium-term (30d: -19.0%) trends are firmly bearish, confirmed by the daily close sequence declining from $0.9235 to $0.7948 over the observed period. The price at $0.8026 sits at just 3% of the 53-day range, meaning it is near the absolute bottom of the observed trading history. There is no technical evidence of a trend reversal — no higher lows or higher highs have formed in the recent close sequence.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With price at 3% of the 53-day range and a consistent sequence of lower closes, momentum indicators would be deeply oversold. Daily volatility of 1.5% (standard deviation of daily returns) is low, suggesting the decline is orderly rather than panic-driven, but the lack of a bounce from oversold conditions indicates persistent selling pressure without a catalyst for reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

34.9%

Sell

65.1%

Volume Trend

Stable

24-hour volume of ~$53,853 against $87,619 liquidity represents a high turnover rate, but without historical volume data it is not possible to confirm whether this is increasing or decreasing. The sell-heavy volume composition (65.1% sell pressure) is the more actionable signal — it confirms that the price decline is volume-backed, not a low-liquidity drift.

Recent Price Action

Consistent lower closes over 14 daily candles, from $0.9235 down to a low of $0.7948, with a minor consolidation in the $0.7948–$0.8103 range over the last 5 sessions. The current price of $0.8026 is testing the immediate support at $0.8002.

The multi-week sequence of lower closes with a brief consolidation near the lows is a classic bearish continuation pattern. The consolidation could represent either a base-building phase before a recovery or a pause before the next leg down — the direction of the break from the $0.7921–$0.8059 range will be the key signal.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.8002

Major support

$0.7921

Immediate resistance

$0.8059

Major resistance

$1.15

The immediate support at $0.8002 is being actively tested at the current price of $0.8026 — a daily close below this level would expose the major support at $0.7921, which represents the 53-day range low. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.8059 is just 0.4% above current price, making it a low-cost test for bulls; however, the major resistance at $1.15 (the 53-day high) is 43% above current price and would require a fundamental re-rating of the token to reach.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily volatility of 1.5% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a DeFi token, but the 19% 30-day decline demonstrates that directional moves can be sustained and significant. The low daily volatility means the decline has been orderly rather than panic-driven, but it also means there is no oversold bounce mechanism forcing a recovery.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $87,619 against a $2.28M market cap (3.8% ratio) is shallow. A single $5,600 trade represents 6.4% of the pool. Any attempt by a whale holding even 1% of supply (~$22,800 worth) to exit would face severe slippage and could cascade the price toward or below major support at $0.7921.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a DeFi liquidity and yield token on Base, wBLT faces the same regulatory uncertainty as all DeFi protocols — potential classification as a security, DEX regulation, and cross-chain compliance requirements. The multi-chain nature (Base, plus prior Fantom deployment) adds jurisdictional complexity.

Key Risks

  • Shallow liquidity ($87,619) creates a high-impact exit risk: the 12.8% dumpable supply (~$292,400 at current prices) cannot be liquidated without catastrophic price impact given the pool size
  • 77.7% of holders (52,883) acquired wBLT via airdrop with zero cost basis, representing persistent latent sell pressure that could accelerate any downward price move
  • No social links or visible community infrastructure limits the token's ability to attract new capital or respond to negative price action with community-driven buying

Mitigating Factors

  • 33.7-month operational history without a known exploit provides meaningful security evidence for a small-cap DeFi token
  • Genuine yield-bearing utility (auto-compounding BLT fees + collateral use) creates a fundamental demand floor tied to actual protocol revenue, not purely speculative demand

Investor Suitability

wBLT is most suitable for DeFi-native investors who are already participants in the BMX ecosystem on Base, understand LP token mechanics, and are comfortable with micro-cap liquidity risk. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with DeFi protocols, or anyone requiring high liquidity for position exits.

wBLT presents a niche yield-bearing DeFi instrument with genuine utility but significant near-term price headwinds. The bull case rests on protocol adoption growth and external integrations; the bear case is driven by sustained selling pressure, shallow liquidity, and a large airdrop-derived holder base with zero cost basis. The base case is continued slow holder growth with price consolidation near current lows.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

BMX successfully onboards new external integrations for wBLT as collateral, driving meaningful TVL growth on Base. Increased trading volume on the BMX DEX boosts BLT yield, making the auto-compounding wBLT wrapper more attractive and drawing new capital. Price recovers toward the $1.00 level and eventually tests major resistance at $1.15.

  • Successful execution of stated roadmap: new external protocol integrations for wBLT collateral use
  • Base chain DeFi ecosystem growth driving organic volume to BMX and increasing BLT yield rates

Base Case

wBLT consolidates in the $0.79–$0.85 range as airdrop-driven selling gradually exhausts itself. Holder count continues its slow growth trajectory (+71 per month), and the protocol maintains its operational status on Base without major new catalysts or negative events. Price remains range-bound with occasional volatility spikes tied to broader DeFi market moves.

  • BMX protocol continues operating without a smart contract exploit or regulatory action
  • Airdrop sell pressure gradually diminishes as the most price-insensitive recipients have already exited

Bear Case

Medium probability

Airdrop recipients continue to exit their zero-cost-basis positions, sustaining sell pressure that overwhelms the modest organic buyer demand. Price breaks below major support at $0.7921, triggering further liquidations and potentially entering a prolonged low-price equilibrium. Shallow liquidity amplifies any negative catalyst.

  • 52,883 airdrop holders (77.7% of holder base) with zero cost basis providing a persistent supply overhang
  • Shallow liquidity ($87,619) amplifying price impact of even moderate sell orders, creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral

Analysis Details

Generated

Jun 14, 2026, 06:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-14 18:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.802584181600369928

Market Cap

$2.28M

24h Volume

$53.9K

Holders

68,024

Liquidity

$87,619.42

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome DEX, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)53-day daily OHLC price historyWhale wallet forensics and DEX swap historySmart money realized PnL trackingToken contract metadata and security scoring

Limitations

  • 90-day price history is unavailable, limiting the ability to assess longer-term trend context and support/resistance levels beyond the 53-day window
  • Smart money data shows suspicious uniformity (six wallets with identical $25/+8%/11-trade figures), reducing the reliability of smart-money signals for this token
  • No historical volume data is available to contextualize whether current 24h volume is elevated or depressed relative to the token's norm

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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