TABOSHI

TABOSHI Price Today & AI Analysis

TABOSHIBaseAnalysis as of Aug 4, 2026

Price

$4.56

+4.45% 24h

Contract

Live
0x3a1a33cf4553db61f0db2c1e1721cd480b02789f

Chain

Holders

3.4K

Market cap

$847.69K

Liquidity

$33.97K

At a $10M market cap, $TABOSHI would be $53.77 (11.8x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is TABOSHI a scam?

Unhosted check · Nov 2

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about TABOSHI

3 free answers a day

More tokens on Base

TABOSHI: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-04 14:30 UTC

Holder addresses

3,290

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$36,573.40
How concentrated is TABOSHI ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 3,290 addresses (2026-08-04 14:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling TABOSHI?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is TABOSHI liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-04 14:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,573.40. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-04 14:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 4, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$126.81K

24h Volume

$52.50K

Liquidity

$36.57K

FDV

—

Holders

3,290

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

TABOSHI is a 20.7-month-old meme/relic token on Base (Uniswap v3), positioned as a scarce yield-boosting artifact within the Tobyworld ecosystem, with a hard-capped supply of 185,964 tokens. At $2.15, the token has shed 70.3% of its value over the past 30 days and sits at the floor of its historical range, with a market cap of $126,813 and an FDV of $398,898. The holder base of 3,290 wallets is growing modestly (+1.5% in 24h), but liquidity is critically thin at $36,573 and sell pressure dominates current trading. The token's primary risk is its near-total dependence on the Tobyworld narrative for value, with no social presence, no exchange diversification, and smart money already having extracted substantial profits.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 4, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Hard-capped supply of exactly 185,964 tokens with 63.29% locked in a protocol/contract, making genuine dumpable supply only 11.9% of total
  • Positioned as a functional 'key' within the Tobyworld ecosystem — staking booster and access credential — giving it potential utility beyond pure speculation
  • 20.7 months of on-chain history with 3,290 holders and a documented smart money cohort that has generated real realized PnL, distinguishing it from brand-new meme launches

TABOSHI AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

TABOSHI has collapsed 66.5% over the past 7 days and sits at the absolute bottom of its 89-day range ($0.4527–$428.46), with the current price of $2.15 representing essentially 0% of that range. The most recent daily closes show a staircase decline from $6.99 to $2.15, with the final candle representing a sharp -68% single-day drop that confirms aggressive distribution. Sell pressure dominates at 57.8% of 24h volume, and net flow is negative ($22,172 buys vs. $30,323 sells), reinforcing the bearish short-term picture.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With a 30-day decline of -70.3% and no social links, no exchange listings beyond Uniswap v3, and only $36,573 in total liquidity, TABOSHI lacks the structural support needed for a sustained medium-term recovery. The token's meme/relic narrative may attract speculative interest if the broader Tobyworld ecosystem generates catalysts, but absent those, the dominant trend is deeply negative. Smart money traders have already extracted significant realized profits (top trader +$53,631 at +324%), suggesting the most informed participants have largely monetized their positions.

Bullish Factors

  • Holder count has grown steadily: +50 in 24h, +46 in 7d, +45 in 30d — a slow but consistent accumulation signal suggesting a base of believers is forming even during the price decline
  • 63.29% of supply is locked in a protocol/contract (non-dumpable), meaning true dumpable supply is only 11.9% — limiting the structural ceiling on sell pressure from insiders
  • Smart money traders remain active with real realized PnL: 0xd81f6e earned +$53,631 (+324%) across 83 trades, indicating the token has historically rewarded active traders and retains speculative appeal
  • Fixed supply of 185,964 tokens (no inflation, no mint function implied by the relic narrative) creates genuine scarcity that could amplify price moves on any demand catalyst

Bearish Factors

  • Price has declined 70.3% over 30 days and currently sits at 0% of its 89-day range, with the most recent 14 daily closes showing an unbroken downtrend from $6.99 to $2.15
  • Total liquidity is only $36,573 — extremely shallow for a $126,813 market cap token, meaning even modest sell orders cause severe slippage and price impact
  • Net sell flow of -$8,151 in 24h (57.8% sell pressure) with the largest recent on-chain trades all being sells ($200, $183, $160, $105), confirming active distribution
  • No social links are available, eliminating any measurable community growth or marketing channel that could drive new demand into the token

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TABOSHI call history

Full track record →

Aug 4bearish
24h+79.8%
7d+148.4%
30d+657.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x3a1a...789f
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity collapse risk: at $36,573 total liquidity, a coordinated exit by the 8 individual whale wallets (11.9% of supply) could drain the pool and push price toward the $0.4527 support in a single session
  • Ecosystem dependency risk: TABOSHI's entire value proposition depends on Tobyworld delivering on its 'sacred rites' and staking reward narrative — with no social links or verifiable roadmap, there is no way to assess the probability of this occurring
  • Smart money exhaustion risk: the top 6 profitable traders have already extracted $129,000+ in realized profits, suggesting the most informed participants have largely monetized their positions and may not provide the demand-side support needed for a recovery

Trading Insight

bearish

Current market sentiment is bearish, with sell pressure at 57.8% of 24h volume and net outflow of approximately $8,151. Despite more buy transactions than sell transactions (303 buys vs. 235 sells), the higher average sell size indicates that sellers are moving larger positions — a classic distribution pattern where many small buyers are being absorbed by fewer but larger sellers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Both the 7-day (-66.5%) and 30-day (-70.3%) windows confirm an entrenched downtrend with no sign of reversal in the daily OHLC sequence. The 14 most recent daily closes trace a clear descending pattern: $6.99 → $6.79 → $6.72 → $6.81 → $6.67 → $6.44 → $6.41 → $6.52 → $6.77 → $6.56 → $6.48 → $6.63 → $6.44 → $2.15, with the final candle representing a catastrophic breakdown. The price at 0% of the 89-day range ($0.4527–$428.46) places TABOSHI at a historically extreme low, though the range itself reflects the token's capacity for violent moves in either direction.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

A -66.5% 7-day decline combined with a price at the absolute bottom of the 89-day range signals deeply oversold conditions on any standard momentum framework. However, oversold readings in low-liquidity meme tokens can persist for extended periods without triggering a bounce, as there is no mechanical buying force (e.g., index rebalancing) to absorb continued selling. The 8.4% daily volatility stdev means single-day swings of 15–20% are within one standard deviation, making momentum signals unreliable for precise timing.

Volume Analysis

Buy

42.2%

Sell

57.8%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume spiked dramatically in the last 4 hours (accounting for nearly all 24h activity), driven by the sharp price collapse. This is event-driven volume, not organic accumulation volume — the spike reflects reactive selling and opportunistic buying rather than a structural shift in demand. Until volume normalizes and buy-side volume consistently exceeds sell-side volume over multiple sessions, the volume trend does not support a bullish reversal thesis.

Recent Price Action

Staircase decline over 13 sessions from $6.99 to $6.44, followed by a single catastrophic breakdown candle to $2.15 — a classic 'cliff drop' pattern after a prolonged slow bleed

The cliff-drop pattern after a multi-session consolidation range ($6.41–$6.99) typically indicates exhaustion of the prior support zone and a shift to a new, lower equilibrium. The next meaningful OHLC-derived support is $0.4527; without a reclaim of $6.35 (immediate resistance), the path of least resistance remains downward.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.4527

Major support

$0.4527

Immediate resistance

$6.35

Major resistance

$428.46

The immediate and major support levels converge at $0.4527, the 89-day period low — a level that has only been tested once and represents the maximum downside within the observed data window. The immediate resistance at $6.35 corresponds to the prior consolidation ceiling that TABOSHI traded below for most of the recent 13-session sequence before the breakdown; reclaiming this level would be the minimum technical requirement to signal a trend reversal. The major resistance at $428.46 reflects the all-time high within the 89-day window and is a theoretical ceiling only relevant in an extreme bull scenario.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

82/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 8.4% (stdev of daily returns) combined with a 89-day range spanning from $0.4527 to $428.46 — a 947x spread — places TABOSHI in the extreme volatility tier. The recent -66.5% 7-day move is consistent with this profile. Single-day moves of 15–20% are within one standard deviation.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $36,573 against a $126,813 market cap creates a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~28.8%. Orders above $1,000–$2,000 will experience meaningful slippage, and a coordinated exit by even a few mid-tier holders could move the price by 20–30% in a single transaction.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a meme/community token with no registered entity, no KYC, and no formal utility beyond ecosystem narrative, TABOSHI faces the standard regulatory risks applicable to unregistered crypto assets in jurisdictions with evolving token classification frameworks.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity collapse risk: at $36,573 total liquidity, a coordinated exit by the 8 individual whale wallets (11.9% of supply) could drain the pool and push price toward the $0.4527 support in a single session
  • Ecosystem dependency risk: TABOSHI's entire value proposition depends on Tobyworld delivering on its 'sacred rites' and staking reward narrative — with no social links or verifiable roadmap, there is no way to assess the probability of this occurring
  • Smart money exhaustion risk: the top 6 profitable traders have already extracted $129,000+ in realized profits, suggesting the most informed participants have largely monetized their positions and may not provide the demand-side support needed for a recovery

Mitigating Factors

  • 63.29% of supply is locked in a protocol/contract and structurally cannot be sold into the market, capping the maximum theoretical sell pressure from the top-10 concentration
  • 20.7 months of on-chain history without a documented exploit or rug event, with consistent slow holder growth even during the current price decline, suggests a resilient core community

Investor Suitability

TABOSHI is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance speculators with deep familiarity with Base-chain meme tokens, who can afford to lose their entire position, and who have independent conviction in the Tobyworld ecosystem narrative. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking liquidity, or anyone allocating more than a micro-cap speculative position size.

TABOSHI is a high-conviction narrative bet on the Tobyworld ecosystem, with genuine scarcity mechanics and a 20-month track record, currently trading at the bottom of its historical range after a severe 70% drawdown. The investment thesis is binary: either the Tobyworld ecosystem delivers meaningful utility for TABOSHI holders (bull case) or the narrative fades and the token drifts toward its $0.4527 floor (bear case). There is no middle ground given the token's complete dependence on ecosystem development and the absence of any independent value drivers.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Tobyworld announces a verifiable staking or 'sacred rites' event that creates direct demand for TABOSHI as a functional key, driving new buyers into a supply-constrained market (only 11.9% dumpable supply) and triggering a recovery toward the $6.35 immediate resistance and potentially beyond

  • Tobyworld ecosystem activation creating genuine utility demand for TABOSHI as a staking booster or access credential
  • Broader Base-chain meme token rally lifting low-cap tokens with established holder bases, combined with the scarcity narrative attracting new speculators

Base Case

TABOSHI consolidates in the $1.50–$3.50 range near its current price, with slow holder accumulation continuing at ~50 wallets/week but insufficient demand to reclaim the $6.35 resistance, resulting in a prolonged low-activity period until a Tobyworld catalyst or broader market shift changes the dynamic

  • No major Tobyworld announcement in the next 30–90 days that would create direct utility demand for TABOSHI
  • The underwater whale (0x083a98) holds its position rather than capitulating, preventing a liquidity-draining sell event

Bear Case

High probability

Continued absence of Tobyworld catalysts causes the holder growth rate to stall, the underwater whale (0x083a98, avg buy $6.02) capitulates into thin liquidity, and price drifts toward the $0.4527 historical support — representing an additional -79% decline from current levels

  • No social links or verifiable roadmap means no organic discovery or marketing surface, causing holder growth to plateau and demand to dry up
  • Thin liquidity ($36,573) amplifies any sell pressure, and the underwater whale position at $6.02 average represents a latent capitulation risk that could accelerate the decline

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 4, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-04 14:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$2.145030439908900188

Market Cap

$126.8K

24h Volume

$52.5K

Holders

3,290

Liquidity

$36,573.40

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v3 swap history, Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (89-day window)Smart contract security assessment (automated scoring)Smart money realized PnL tracking (top profitable traders)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, first-active dates)Notable recent trades (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • The 63.29% protocol/contract holder has not been independently verified as an immutable lock — if it is a team-controlled upgradeable contract, the concentration risk assessment would shift from medium to critical
  • No social data is available (no Twitter, Telegram, Discord), making community health and sentiment entirely unquantifiable from on-chain data alone
  • The 90-day price change is listed as N/A, limiting the ability to assess the full historical trend context beyond the 89-day OHLC window provided

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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