MAVIA

Heroes of Mavia Price Today & AI Analysis

MAVIABaseAnalysis as of Aug 4, 2026

Price

$0.0259

+5.12% 24h

Contract

Live
0x24fcfc492c1393274b6bcd568ac9e225bec93584

Chain

Base

Holders

87.1K

Market cap

$6.47M

Liquidity

$14.10K

At a $50M market cap, $MAVIA would be $0.2000 (7.73x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is MAVIA a scam?

Unhosted check · Nov 2

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

  • The contract owner has not given up control.
  • Control of the contract can be handed to another wallet.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

Ask Unhosted AI about MAVIA

3 free answers a day

More tokens on Base

GLMRGLMRMoonbeam$0.008616+5.5%MC $9.50MPPVEPVE$0.042305-6.3%MC $60.6KABXABXAlpha Base Index$0.001307-5.1%MC $111.2KAFCAFCArsenal FC$0.1243+3.9%MC $53.2KAMETAAMETAAlpha City$0.046188-9.1%MC $618.8KAnthropicAnthropicAnthropic$0.000102+920.3%MC $10.20M

Heroes of Mavia: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-04 23:31 UTC

Holder addresses

86,297

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$26,022.03
How concentrated is Heroes of Mavia ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 86,297 addresses (2026-08-04 23:31 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Heroes of Mavia?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Heroes of Mavia liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-04 23:31 UTC, reported liquidity was $26,022.03. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-04 23:31 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

Advanced charting powered by TradingView

Movement since report

report from Aug 4, 2026, 11:31 PM UTC

Market Cap

$6.60M

24h Volume

$1.36K

Liquidity

$26.02K

FDV

—

Holders

86,297

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Heroes of Mavia (MAVIA) is a Web3 mobile GameFi token deployed on Base (chain 0x2105), now 29.3 months old, that powers base-building gameplay, DAO governance, and an in-game Ruby marketplace. The token trades at $0.02673 with a $6.6M market cap but only $26K in on-chain liquidity on Aerodrome, making this Base deployment a thin secondary market relative to the token's primary exchange presence — over 73% of classified top-holder supply sits in Bybit and Gate.io custody wallets. The 90-day trend is a -35.6% decline, though a 7-day +7.0% bounce and stabilizing holder count suggest short-term consolidation. The combination of low dumpable supply (6.7%), a large holder base (86K+), and active smart money participation provides some structural support, but the illiquid on-chain venue and persistent medium-term downtrend make this a high-risk position.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 4, 2026, 11:31 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Over 73% of top-10 supply is held in named exchange custody wallets (Bybit + Gate.io), meaning concentration risk is structurally low despite an 84% top-10 figure
  • Smart money traders have extracted over $1.18M in combined realized profits from this token, confirming it has historically offered tradeable volatility for sophisticated participants
  • 64,981 of 86,297 holders (75.3%) acquired MAVIA via airdrop, reflecting a broad but potentially low-conviction distribution base

Heroes of Mavia AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

MAVIA has posted a 7-day gain of +7.0% after bottoming near $0.025 in recent sessions, and the last 14 daily closes show a base-building pattern with higher lows forming since the $0.02430 trough. Price currently sits at 37% of its 90-day range, leaving meaningful room to recover toward the immediate resistance at $0.02706 before encountering the next structural ceiling. The near-perfectly balanced buy/sell pressure (50.2% vs 49.8%) confirms consolidation rather than active distribution.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

Despite the short-term bounce, the 30-day return of -18.2% and 90-day return of -35.6% define a clear medium-term downtrend that has not yet reversed. Price at 37% of its 90-day range signals persistent selling pressure from higher levels, and the major resistance at $0.04512 is more than 68% above current price — a recovery to that level would require a fundamental re-rating of the project. Without a sustained uptick in on-chain activity, user growth, or a broader GameFi sector rotation, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the $0.01571 major support.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price recovery of +7.0% with recent daily closes forming higher lows from the $0.02430 trough, suggesting short-term buying interest
  • Dumpable supply is only 6.7% of total supply — the top holders are dominated by Bybit (53.28%) and Gate.io (20.52%) exchange custody wallets, meaning the vast majority of concentrated supply is not a near-term dump risk
  • Smart money wallet 0xca74f4 has realized +$482,242 (+37%) over 443 trades, indicating that at least one sophisticated participant has found profitable entry and exit points in this token
  • 86,297 total holders with 30-day net holder growth of +8 wallets suggests the holder base has stabilized after prior attrition

Bearish Factors

  • 90-day price decline of -35.6% and 30-day decline of -18.2% establish a dominant medium-term downtrend that the 7-day bounce has not yet reversed
  • Total on-chain liquidity is only $26,022 — critically shallow for a $6.6M market cap token, meaning even modest sell orders can cause significant slippage
  • Only 3 unique buyers and 3 unique sellers executed trades in the past 24 hours, indicating near-zero organic demand and a token that is effectively illiquid on this Base chain deployment
  • The most recent hour shows 0 buys and 9 sells from a single seller, a concrete signal of one-sided near-term selling pressure
  • Security score of 56/100 is below the midpoint, flagging unresolved contract-level risks that reduce institutional confidence

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

MAVIA call history

Full track record →

Aug 4bullish
24h+2.5%
7d+9.7%
30d+6.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x24fc...3584
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • On-chain liquidity of $26,022 means any position of meaningful size cannot be entered or exited on this venue without severe slippage — execution risk is the most immediate practical concern
  • The 90-day price decline of -35.6% reflects sustained selling pressure that has not yet reversed at the medium-term level; the current 7-day bounce could be a temporary relief rally within a continuing downtrend
  • 75.3% of holders acquired MAVIA via airdrop, creating a large cohort of low-conviction holders who may sell into any price recovery, capping upside and creating persistent overhead supply

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24-hour buy/sell split of 50.2%/49.8% across 217 total transactions is nearly perfectly balanced, reflecting a consolidation phase rather than directional conviction. However, the extremely low unique participant count — just 3 unique buyers and 3 unique sellers — means this apparent balance is the result of a handful of wallets cycling small positions, not genuine market-wide equilibrium.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 7-day return of +7.0% and the sequence of recent daily closes — recovering from a $0.02430 low to the current $0.02673 — establish a short-term uptrend with higher lows forming over the past week. However, the 30-day return of -18.2% and 90-day return of -35.6% confirm the medium-term trend remains firmly bearish, and the current price at 37% of the 90-day range ($0.01571–$0.04512) shows the token is still closer to its cycle lows than its highs. The short-term bounce is best interpreted as a relief rally within a larger downtrend until price can reclaim and hold above the $0.04512 major resistance.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 3.9% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a micro-cap GameFi token, indicating neither extreme momentum nor complete stagnation. The recent 14-day close sequence shows a deceleration of the prior sell-off (from $0.02430 to $0.02673) but lacks the volume and breadth to confirm a momentum reversal — the recovery is shallow and driven by very few participants.

Volume Analysis

Buy

50.2%

Sell

49.8%

Volume Trend

Stable

On-chain DEX volume is consistently micro-scale at roughly $1,363 per day, with no discernible trend of increase or decrease. This stable-but-negligible volume level confirms the Aerodrome pool is not a primary price discovery venue. The 50.2%/49.8% buy/sell volume split is the most balanced possible reading, consistent with a market in equilibrium at current prices rather than directional accumulation or distribution.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a V-shaped micro-recovery: a decline from $0.02741 to a trough of $0.02430, followed by a recovery back to $0.02673. The last four closes ($0.02510, $0.02577, $0.02509, $0.02665, $0.02650, $0.02673) show consolidation with a slight upward bias.

This pattern suggests the immediate selling pressure from the prior leg down has been absorbed, and the token is attempting to establish a short-term floor near $0.025. However, without a volume expansion to accompany the price recovery, the pattern lacks conviction and is vulnerable to reversal on any renewed selling.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.02673

Major support

$0.01571

Immediate resistance

$0.02706

Major resistance

$0.04512

The immediate support at $0.02673 coincides with the current price, meaning the token is sitting directly on this OHLC-derived level — a break below would expose the major support at $0.01571 (the 90-day range low), representing a potential -41% drawdown. The immediate resistance at $0.02706 is just 0.12% above current price and represents the first meaningful overhead hurdle; a clean break above it would target the major resistance at $0.04512, which is 68.8% higher and marks the 90-day range high.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

68/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily volatility of 3.9% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate. The 90-day range of $0.01571 to $0.04512 represents a 187% spread, indicating the token is capable of large moves in either direction. For a micro-cap GameFi token, this is within expected bounds but still represents meaningful downside risk.

  • LiquidityHigh

    On-chain liquidity of $26,022 is critically thin relative to the $6.6M market cap (0.39% ratio). Any trade above a few hundred dollars will incur material slippage on this Aerodrome pool. This is the most acute near-term risk for on-chain traders.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Play-to-earn tokens with governance rights occupy a regulatory gray zone in many jurisdictions, as they may be classified as securities depending on how DAO governance and economic rights are structured. The GameFi sector broadly faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny.

Key Risks

  • On-chain liquidity of $26,022 means any position of meaningful size cannot be entered or exited on this venue without severe slippage — execution risk is the most immediate practical concern
  • The 90-day price decline of -35.6% reflects sustained selling pressure that has not yet reversed at the medium-term level; the current 7-day bounce could be a temporary relief rally within a continuing downtrend
  • 75.3% of holders acquired MAVIA via airdrop, creating a large cohort of low-conviction holders who may sell into any price recovery, capping upside and creating persistent overhead supply

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is only 6.7% of total, with the majority of concentrated holdings in exchange custody wallets that do not represent near-term sell pressure
  • The token has operated for 29.3 months without a known exploit, and the verified contract allows public code inspection

Investor Suitability

MAVIA on this Base/Aerodrome deployment is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with GameFi tokenomics, who understand the liquidity constraints of this specific venue and are sizing positions accordingly. Investors seeking MAVIA exposure with better liquidity should consider centralized exchange markets. This is not suitable for risk-averse or capital-preservation-focused investors.

MAVIA presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity in the GameFi sector, with a 29.3-month operational history and 86K+ holder base providing structural credibility, but a -35.6% 90-day price trend and critically thin on-chain liquidity creating significant near-term headwinds. The investment thesis hinges on whether the GameFi sector can re-attract user and capital flows, and whether Heroes of Mavia's mobile-first gameplay can sustain engagement beyond its airdrop-acquired holder base.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A broader GameFi sector rotation — driven by a bull market or renewed interest in Web3 gaming — lifts MAVIA toward its 90-day range high of $0.04512. New in-game content, DAO governance activity, or a strategic partnership drives organic user acquisition, converting airdrop holders into active participants and attracting new buyers. Smart money activity (over $1.18M in realized profits) demonstrates the token's tradeable volatility can reward well-timed entries.

  • GameFi sector re-rating in a broader crypto bull market
  • Meaningful in-game user growth converting airdrop holders into active ecosystem participants

Base Case

MAVIA consolidates in the $0.020–$0.035 range over the next 30–90 days, with the holder base remaining stable and on-chain activity staying at current micro-transaction levels. The token maintains its exchange listings and community infrastructure but does not achieve a meaningful price re-rating without a specific catalyst.

  • No major negative security events or exchange delistings
  • GameFi sector remains in a holding pattern without a significant bull or bear catalyst

Bear Case

Medium probability

The 7-day bounce fails to sustain, and the medium-term downtrend resumes toward the major support at $0.01571 — a -41% decline from current levels. Airdrop-acquired holders (75.3% of the base) sell into any recovery, suppressing price. The thin on-chain liquidity amplifies downside moves, and the 56/100 security score materializes into a specific vulnerability that erodes confidence.

  • Airdrop holder selling pressure capping any recovery and accelerating declines
  • Continued GameFi sector underperformance and failure to attract new organic users

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 4, 2026, 11:31 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-04 23:31 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.026733494309342600

Market Cap

$6.60M

24h Volume

$1.4K

Holders

86,297

Liquidity

$26,022.03

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome/Base chain)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)90-day daily OHLC price historySmart money realized PnL dataNotable recent on-chain swap dataTop holder wallet classification (exchange custody vs. individual whale vs. protocol contract)Smart contract security assessment score

Limitations

  • On-chain data reflects only the Base/Aerodrome deployment; the majority of MAVIA trading volume and price discovery occurs on centralized exchanges (Bybit, Gate.io) where data is not available in this dataset
  • The FDV ($1.42M) vs. market cap ($6.6M) discrepancy could not be resolved from available data and may indicate a supply reporting inconsistency
  • Holder tier thresholds (whale, shark, dolphin, etc.) use Moralis-defined relative size buckets whose exact supply-share boundaries are not published, limiting precise quantitative interpretation
  • No public audit report was available to contextualize the 56/100 security score or identify specific contract vulnerabilities

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

New reports on Base

All new tokens →

OOFFROFFLINE RESEARCHBearishUUODFUnited Oil Dividend FundBearishMMINIMALMinimalismBearishUUSOEUnited States Oil ExchangeBearishDDENIMDENIMBearishEEMMIEEmmieBearishTTRXTRONBullishAAFODAmericam Fund Oil Dividend (AODF)Neutral

Questions about MAVIA?