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HYPE Price Today & AI Analysis

HYPEBaseAnalysis as of Jul 13, 2026

Price

$85.15

+1.66% 24h

Contract

Live
0x15d0e0c55a3e7ee67152ad7e89acf164253ff68d

Chain

Base

Holders

2.5K

Market cap

$2.29M

Liquidity

$256.95K

At a $10M market cap, $HYPE would be $372.28 (4.37x from today’s price)

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HYPE: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-13 12:00 UTC

Holder addresses

1,840

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is HYPE ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,840 addresses (2026-07-13 12:00 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling HYPE?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is HYPE liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Market Cap

$1.17M

24h Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

—

FDV

—

Holders

1,840

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

This is a 9.1-month-old token on Base (chain 0x2105) with a market cap of approximately $1.17 million, a total and circulating supply of ~17,927 tokens, and no publicly available project description or social presence. The token has 1,840 holders with accelerating growth over the past month, and its top-10 concentration of 70% is almost entirely held in protocol/contract wallets, leaving genuine dumpable supply at just 8.7%. Price sits at $65.21 after a 7-day decline of 7.6%, though the 30-day trend remains positive at +7.6%, reflecting a token in short-term consolidation within a broader medium-term uptrend. The unverified contract, absence of project information, and uniformly negative smart-money PnL are significant risk flags that investors must weigh carefully.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Extremely low dumpable supply (8.7%) despite 70% top-10 concentration, because the dominant holders are protocol/contract wallets rather than individual whales
  • Accelerating holder growth trajectory (1,627 → 1,772 over 31 days) in the absence of any identifiable marketing or social presence, suggesting organic word-of-mouth adoption
  • Anomalous period high of $312,660.82 against a current price of $65.21 implies either a prior extreme price spike or a data artifact, warranting caution about historical volatility

HYPE AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token has declined 7.6% over the past 7 days, with recent daily closes showing a consistent step-down from $71.31 to $65.21. Price is sitting just above immediate support at $64.83, with immediate resistance only $0.10 away at $65.31, creating a compressed range that favors a breakdown given the prevailing downward momentum.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

Despite the 7-day pullback, the 30-day trend is +7.6%, indicating the broader medium-term trajectory remains constructive. Holder count has grown from 1,627 to 1,772 over 31 days with accelerating growth, suggesting genuine demand accumulation that could support a recovery once short-term selling pressure exhausts. A sustained hold above $64.83 and a break above $65.31 would confirm resumption of the medium-term uptrend.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price trend is +7.6%, confirming the medium-term trajectory is positive despite the recent 7-day pullback
  • Holder count grew from 1,627 to 1,772 over 31 days with accelerating growth, indicating genuine and expanding demand
  • Dumpable supply is only 8.7% — the vast majority of top-10 concentration (70%) sits in protocol/contract wallets that cannot sell, meaning actual dump risk is structurally low
  • Whale wallet 0x731f9c has realized +$108,517 over 550 trades with an average buy of $29.05, well below current price, indicating a sophisticated, profitable participant remains deeply invested

Bearish Factors

  • 7-day price decline of -7.6% with a consistent step-down in daily closes from $71.31 to $65.21 confirms active short-term selling pressure
  • All six tracked 'smart money' traders have realized losses of -$8 (-10%) each over 9 trades, meaning the most active profitable-trader cohort is net negative on this token
  • Recent notable on-chain swaps are all buys but are extremely small ($45–$60 each), indicating negligible buy-side conviction from active traders
  • Contract is unverified, removing a critical layer of transparency and elevating smart contract risk materially

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x15d0...f68d
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract: without source code publication, users cannot rule out hidden mint functions, ownership backdoors, or fee manipulation that could result in total loss of funds
  • Complete absence of project information and social presence for a 9.1-month-old token raises questions about developer intent and long-term commitment — projects without public accountability have higher rug-pull risk
  • Uniformly negative smart-money PnL across all six tracked wallets (-10% each over 9 trades) suggests the token has not rewarded active traders, and the statistical uniformity of these losses across six wallets warrants investigation into whether they are independent actors

Trading Insight

bearish

Trading sentiment is mildly bearish in the short term, driven by the 7-day price decline and uniformly small buy-side transactions in recent on-chain activity. The absence of any significant sell-side transactions in the notable trades list suggests low overall trading activity rather than active distribution, pointing to a low-liquidity consolidation phase rather than a panic sell-off.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The short-term trend is a clear downtrend: daily closes have fallen from $71.31 to $65.21 over the most recent 7 trading days, a decline of 7.6%. However, the 30-day trend remains positive at +7.6%, confirming the medium-term structure is still constructive. The token is in a short-term pullback within a medium-term uptrend, with the critical question being whether $64.83 immediate support holds.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

The consistent step-down in daily closes over the past 7 sessions, combined with price now sitting just $0.38 above immediate support ($64.83), suggests short-term momentum is oversold relative to the 30-day baseline. The 5.1% daily volatility means a single session could either break support or reclaim resistance, making momentum fragile but potentially reversible.

Volume Analysis

Buy

100%

Sell

0%

Volume Trend

Stable

Granular 24h volume data is not available in the dataset. The notable recent trades are all small buys ($45–$60), and the daily price volatility of 5.1% relative to a $1.17M market cap suggests thin order books where small trades can move price meaningfully. This low-volume environment makes technical signals less reliable.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a peak at $71.31 followed by a steady decline to $65.21, with no meaningful bounce attempts. The pattern is a controlled step-down with decreasing closes on most sessions, interrupted only by minor intraday recoveries that failed to hold.

A controlled step-down without a sharp capitulation spike typically indicates gradual seller dominance rather than panic selling. This pattern often resolves with either a support test (here at $64.83) that triggers a bounce, or a breakdown that accelerates toward major support at $38.29.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$64.83

Major support

$38.29

Immediate resistance

$65.31

Major resistance

$312,660.82

Price at $65.21 is sandwiched in an extremely tight range between immediate support ($64.83) and immediate resistance ($65.31) — a spread of only $0.48. A decisive break below $64.83 opens the path to major support at $38.29, representing a potential 41% drawdown. Conversely, a close above $65.31 would be the first step toward reclaiming the medium-term uptrend. The major resistance at $312,660.82 is so far above current price that it is not a near-term relevant level; its existence in the OHLC data likely reflects a prior extreme spike and should be treated as a historical artifact rather than a realistic target.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 5.1% (standard deviation) is elevated for any asset class. The period range of $38.29 to $312,660.82 — with current price at $65.21 sitting at effectively 0% of that range — implies the token has experienced extreme price swings historically, making capital preservation difficult to manage.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As an uncategorized token on Base with no identifiable project team or jurisdiction, regulatory risk is present but unquantifiable. The token's small market cap reduces its profile for regulatory scrutiny, but the lack of transparency about its purpose and team increases the risk of it being classified as an unregistered security in certain jurisdictions.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract: without source code publication, users cannot rule out hidden mint functions, ownership backdoors, or fee manipulation that could result in total loss of funds
  • Complete absence of project information and social presence for a 9.1-month-old token raises questions about developer intent and long-term commitment — projects without public accountability have higher rug-pull risk
  • Uniformly negative smart-money PnL across all six tracked wallets (-10% each over 9 trades) suggests the token has not rewarded active traders, and the statistical uniformity of these losses across six wallets warrants investigation into whether they are independent actors

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply is only 8.7% of total supply, limiting the structural capacity for a coordinated whale dump even if individual holders chose to exit
  • Accelerating holder growth over 31 days (+145 net holders, +12% over 30 days) indicates sustained organic demand that provides a natural buyer base to absorb potential selling

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto investors who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is not appropriate for conservative investors, those new to crypto, or anyone allocating more than a small speculative portion of their portfolio. Independent verification of the contract and project legitimacy is strongly recommended before any capital commitment.

This token presents a high-risk, speculative opportunity characterized by accelerating organic holder growth and low dumpable supply concentration on one hand, and an unverified contract, zero project transparency, and uniformly negative smart-money returns on the other. The medium-term price trend is positive (+7.6% over 30 days), but the short-term momentum is bearish, and the absence of fundamental information makes valuation impossible.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Holder growth continues to accelerate, the token's underlying utility (unknown but potentially real) attracts a broader audience, and the 30-day uptrend resumes after the current short-term pullback finds support at $64.83. The low dumpable supply means any increase in demand faces limited sell-side resistance from insiders, potentially amplifying price appreciation.

  • Sustained acceleration in holder growth beyond the current 12% monthly rate, indicating the token is gaining genuine traction
  • A break above immediate resistance at $65.31 with follow-through volume, confirming the short-term downtrend has reversed

Base Case

The token continues its low-volume consolidation near current levels ($60–$70 range), with holder growth continuing at a moderate pace but price remaining range-bound due to thin liquidity and lack of catalysts. The 30-day positive trend is maintained but does not accelerate meaningfully without a project announcement or increased visibility.

  • Immediate support at $64.83 holds and prevents a breakdown toward major support at $38.29
  • No new project information or catalysts emerge to either validate the project fundamentally or trigger a loss of confidence

Bear Case

Medium probability

The unverified contract conceals a malicious function that is eventually exploited, or the anonymous developer team abandons the project. Alternatively, the short-term downtrend breaks through immediate support at $64.83, triggering a cascade toward major support at $38.29 — a 41% decline from current levels — as thin liquidity amplifies selling pressure.

  • Contract remains unverified with no project documentation, leaving the door open for a rug pull or exploit at any time
  • All tracked smart-money wallets are net negative on the token, suggesting informed participants have not found value at current prices

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-13 12:00 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$Unknown

Market Cap

$1.17M

24h Volume

$0

Holders

1,840

Liquidity

Not available

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Base chain, contract 0x15d0e0c55a3e7ee67152ad7e89acf164253ff68d)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder size buckets and trajectory)Daily OHLC price history (87-day window)Smart contract security assessment (automated scoring)Whale wallet behavioral data (realized PnL, trade counts, first-active dates)Notable recent on-chain swap data

Limitations

  • 90-day price trend data is unavailable, limiting long-term technical context and making the period high of $312,660.82 difficult to contextualize
  • No project description, whitepaper, team information, or social presence is available, making fundamental valuation impossible and forcing the analysis to rely entirely on on-chain signals
  • 24h transaction volume, buy/sell counts, and liquidity pool depth data are not provided, limiting trading activity analysis
  • Whale wallet 0xd0e2f1 has a first-active date of 2026-01-15 which may be a data anomaly; its behavioral data should be treated with caution
  • The statistical uniformity of smart-money losses (identical -$8, -10%, 9 trades across all six wallets) is unusual and may indicate a data artifact or related wallets rather than independent market participants

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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