TEVA

Tevaera Price Today & AI Analysis

TEVABaseAnalysis as of Aug 11, 2026

Price

$0.000718

+51.34% 24h

Contract

Live
0x00309d634d11541b857f927be91ad2f0bd78894c

Chain

Base

Holders

65.5K

Market cap

$824.16K

Liquidity

$19.58K

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Tevaera: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-11 01:45 UTC

Holder addresses

71,188

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$26,836.75
How concentrated is Tevaera ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 71,188 addresses (2026-08-11 01:45 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Tevaera?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Tevaera liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-11 01:45 UTC, reported liquidity was $26,836.75. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-11 01:45 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Aug 11, 2026, 01:45 AM UTC

Market Cap

$526.43K

24h Volume

$1.96K

Liquidity

$26.84K

FDV

—

Holders

71,188

24h

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Tevaera (TEVA) is an 18.5-month-old GameFi utility token on Base (chain 0x2105), built around a ZK Stack and AI-powered gaming ecosystem that includes Teva Run — a cross-platform game with over 20 million multiplayer matches. At $0.000476, the token trades near the bottom of its 89-day range with a $526K market cap and only $26.8K in on-chain liquidity, reflecting a significant gap between its product activity and its current market valuation. The price has declined 20.5% over 30 days with a consistent downward daily close sequence, while 55% of supply sits in individual whale wallets that received their positions via transfer or airdrop. Despite genuine ecosystem fundamentals, the combination of thin liquidity, concentrated insider supply, and a sustained bearish trend makes TEVA a high-risk asset at this stage.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Aug 11, 2026, 01:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Real product adoption: 20 million+ multiplayer matches on Teva Run and 1 million+ Soulbound Gamers provide verifiable on-chain and off-chain usage metrics rare among GameFi tokens at this market cap
  • ZK Stack infrastructure: Teva Chain's ZK-based architecture positions the project within the high-growth ZK rollup narrative, differentiating it from generic EVM gaming tokens
  • Airdrop-dominant distribution: 55,931 of 71,188 holders (78.6%) acquired TEVA via airdrop, creating an unusually broad holder base that reflects community reach rather than speculative accumulation

Tevaera AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

TEVA is down 7.2% over the past 7 days and 20.5% over 30 days, with the current price of $0.000476 sitting at just 4% of its 89-day range — near the floor rather than recovering. The 4-hour window shows 18 sell transactions against just 1 buy, and the last 14 daily closes form a consistent staircase lower from $0.000510 to $0.000476, confirming sustained selling pressure with no reversal signal.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

With a 30-day decline of 20.5% and the price compressing toward the bottom of its 89-day range, the medium-term path of least resistance remains downward absent a meaningful catalyst. The major resistance at $0.001352 is roughly 184% above current price, making a full recovery a multi-month project that would require a significant shift in buying interest. The token's 10.1% daily volatility means sharp bounces are possible, but the structural trend is bearish until the 30-day slope reverses.

Bullish Factors

  • Price is at 4% of its 89-day range, near the $0.0004410 structural floor — downside from current levels to the computed support is only ~7%, limiting near-term loss potential if support holds
  • Gate.io holds 27.03% of supply as a custodial exchange wallet, meaning that block is not dumpable whale supply and reduces the effective sell-side overhang
  • Smart money wallet 0xb80d90 has realized +$770,643 (+128%) over 22,587 trades, demonstrating that informed traders have extracted significant value from this token's price history
  • Tevaera has 71,188 holders, 20 million+ multiplayer matches on Teva Run, and over 1 million Soulbound Gamers — real product traction that distinguishes it from pure speculation tokens

Bearish Factors

  • The 30-day price decline of 20.5% is a sustained structural downtrend, not a single-day event, and the 14 most recent daily closes show no reversal pattern
  • 55% of supply is held by dumpable individual whale wallets (7 wallets holding 2.6%–14.67% each), all of whom acquired positions via transfer or airdrop rather than market buys — zero cost basis creates asymmetric sell incentive
  • The 4-hour window recorded 18 sell transactions against just 1 buy from a single buyer, indicating near-complete absence of demand in the most recent trading window
  • Total 24-hour liquidity is only $26,837 against a $526K market cap — a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~5%, meaning even modest sell orders will cause significant slippage

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TEVA call history

Full track record →

Aug 11bearish
24h+2.4%
7d—
30d+5.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Base
Contract
0x0030...894c
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: Seven individual wallets holding a combined 55% of supply acquired their positions at zero or near-zero cost via transfer/airdrop. Any coordinated or individual decision to sell would overwhelm the $26,837 liquidity pool and cause severe price dislocation.
  • Liquidity collapse risk: At $26,837 total liquidity and near-zero hourly transaction activity, the token is one medium-sized sell order away from a liquidity crisis. If Aerodrome LP providers withdraw liquidity, the token could become effectively untradeable.
  • Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: The 20.5% 30-day decline, consistent lower daily closes, and 4-hour window showing 18 sells to 1 buy provide no technical basis for expecting a near-term recovery without an external catalyst.

Trading Insight

bearish

The 24-hour trading session shows a mild sell-side majority (51.5% sell pressure, 46 sells vs. 31 buys) with only 7 unique buyers and 8 unique sellers — an extremely thin market. The 4-hour window is more alarming: 18 sell transactions against a single buy from one wallet, suggesting active distribution with virtually no demand absorption.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

Both the 7-day (-7.2%) and 30-day (-20.5%) windows confirm a consistent downtrend across timeframes. The 14 most recent daily closes trace a staircase from $0.000510 to $0.000476 with no higher-high or higher-low structure, and the current price at 4% of the 89-day range means the token is compressing toward its historical floor. There is no technical evidence of trend reversal at this time.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With price sitting at 4% of its 89-day range ($0.000441 low to $0.001352 high) and a 20.5% monthly decline, momentum indicators would be deeply oversold on most standard measures. The 10.1% daily volatility means mean-reversion bounces are statistically likely, but oversold conditions in a downtrend can persist — oversold is a necessary but not sufficient condition for a reversal.

Volume Analysis

Buy

48.5%

Sell

51.5%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24-hour volume of ~$1,962 represents approximately 0.37% of market cap — well below the 1-5% daily turnover typical of actively traded tokens. The complete absence of transactions in the last hour and the single-buyer 4-hour window confirm that volume is contracting, which in a downtrend typically signals continued price weakness rather than accumulation.

Recent Price Action

The 14-day daily close sequence shows a gradual, low-volatility grind lower from $0.000510 to $0.000476, with no single dramatic down-day but also no recovery attempt. The price has been consistently making lower closes without meaningful bounces.

This type of slow, grinding decline without capitulation typically indicates steady distribution by holders rather than panic selling — it often continues until either a catalyst reverses sentiment or the price reaches a structural support level that attracts buyers.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0004410

Major support

$0.0004410

Immediate resistance

$0.0005031

Major resistance

$0.001352

The immediate and major support converge at $0.0004410 — the 89-day swing low — which is approximately 7.4% below current price and represents the last line of defense before price discovery in uncharted territory. Immediate resistance at $0.0005031 is the most recent swing high, only 5.7% above current price, making it the first meaningful hurdle for any recovery. Major resistance at $0.001352 is the 89-day high, roughly 184% above current price — a level that would require a fundamental re-rating of the project to reach.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

72/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return standard deviation of 10.1% is extremely high — annualized, this implies volatility exceeding 190%. Combined with a 20.5% monthly decline and a price at 4% of its 89-day range, the token exhibits the high-volatility, low-liquidity profile typical of small-cap GameFi tokens.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total on-chain liquidity of $26,837 against a $526K market cap (5.1% ratio) means the token cannot absorb even modest sell orders without significant price impact. The largest recent trade ($251) already represents nearly 1% of the liquidity pool.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a GameFi utility token, TEVA faces the standard regulatory uncertainty applicable to utility tokens in the Web3 gaming sector. The token's listing on Gate.io (a centralized exchange) adds some regulatory exposure, as CEX-listed tokens are subject to exchange compliance decisions.

Key Risks

  • Whale dump risk: Seven individual wallets holding a combined 55% of supply acquired their positions at zero or near-zero cost via transfer/airdrop. Any coordinated or individual decision to sell would overwhelm the $26,837 liquidity pool and cause severe price dislocation.
  • Liquidity collapse risk: At $26,837 total liquidity and near-zero hourly transaction activity, the token is one medium-sized sell order away from a liquidity crisis. If Aerodrome LP providers withdraw liquidity, the token could become effectively untradeable.
  • Sustained downtrend with no reversal signal: The 20.5% 30-day decline, consistent lower daily closes, and 4-hour window showing 18 sells to 1 buy provide no technical basis for expecting a near-term recovery without an external catalyst.

Mitigating Factors

  • Real product traction (20M+ multiplayer matches, 1M+ Soulbound Gamers) provides a fundamental floor and potential re-rating catalyst if the gaming ecosystem gains broader adoption
  • 100% circulating supply with no future unlock events eliminates vesting-related sell pressure, and the Gate.io custodial holding (27.03%) is non-dumpable supply that effectively reduces the freely tradeable float

Investor Suitability

TEVA is suitable only for high-risk-tolerance investors with deep familiarity with GameFi tokens, small-cap crypto assets, and ZK ecosystem projects. Given the thin liquidity, concentrated insider supply, and sustained downtrend, position sizes should be small enough that a total loss would be acceptable. This token is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquidity, or those without the ability to monitor positions actively.

TEVA presents a high-risk, asymmetric opportunity in the GameFi/ZK intersection: the project has demonstrated real product adoption that most tokens at this market cap cannot match, but the current price action, liquidity depth, and supply concentration create significant near-term downside risk. The investment case hinges entirely on whether Tevaera's ecosystem momentum can translate into sustained token demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Tevaera successfully launches new game titles or expands Teva Chain adoption, driving a new wave of user acquisition and token utility demand. A broader ZK ecosystem or GameFi sector rally provides tailwind, and the token recovers toward the $0.001352 major resistance — a ~184% gain from current levels. The Gate.io listing provides liquidity access for new buyers, and the 71,188-holder base provides a distribution network for viral growth.

  • New game launch or major Teva Chain partnership announcement that drives measurable new user growth
  • ZK ecosystem narrative resurgence that lifts correlated infrastructure and GameFi tokens

Base Case

TEVA continues its slow grind lower, trading in the $0.000441–$0.000503 range with minimal volume and gradual holder attrition. The project continues operating and publishing game metrics, but without a major catalyst, the token remains a low-liquidity, low-attention asset at the bottom of its historical range for the next 30-90 days.

  • No major whale distribution event occurs in the near term, allowing price to stabilize near the $0.0004410 support
  • Tevaera continues publishing game activity metrics but does not announce a transformative new product or partnership within the forecast window

Bear Case

Medium probability

One or more of the seven zero-cost-basis whale wallets begins distributing their holdings into the thin $26,837 liquidity pool, triggering a cascade of price declines that breaks the $0.0004410 support floor. With no buyers in the last hour and only 7 unique buyers in 24 hours, there is insufficient demand to absorb even modest whale selling. Price could fall 50-80% from current levels before finding new equilibrium.

  • Whale wallet distribution of zero-cost-basis airdrop/transfer positions into illiquid market
  • Continued holder decline and volume contraction leading to liquidity provider withdrawal from Aerodrome pool

Analysis Details

Generated

Aug 11, 2026, 01:45 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-11 01:45 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.000476000193399839

Market Cap

$526.4K

24h Volume

$2.0K

Holders

71,188

Liquidity

$26,836.75

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Aerodrome DEX swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (89-day window)Smart money realized PnL dataWhale wallet forensics (DEX swap lookup, first-active timestamps)Token contract metadata and security scoring

Limitations

  • 90-day percentage return is unavailable, limiting the full historical trend context to the 89-day OHLC range and 30-day window
  • The wallet first active on 2025-12-28 (holding 7.53%) has a future-dated timestamp relative to the token's January 2025 launch, which is a data anomaly that could not be resolved with available information
  • Smart money analysis is dominated by one high-frequency wallet (0xb80d90, 22,587 trades) whose strategy appears algorithmic rather than directional, limiting its usefulness as a sentiment indicator
  • No burn mechanism, staking, or governance data was available to assess token utility depth beyond the project description

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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