MOGMAN

Sam Mogman Price Today & AI Analysis

MOGMANSolanaAnalysis as of Apr 29, 2026

Price

$0.041256

FDV $12,550

Contract

Live
9gBzMZ1oJ9wDTvzVrhaA7tKMmtWqg9SEmc1UuBPbpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,060

Market cap

$12,550

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Sam Mogman: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-29 21:47 UTC

Holder addresses

526

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$20,977.35
How concentrated is Sam Mogman ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 526 addresses (2026-04-29 21:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Sam Mogman?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Sam Mogman liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-29 21:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $20,977.35. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-29 21:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Apr 29, 09:47 PM UTC

FDV

$16,714

Liquidity

$20,977.35

Holders

526

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

MOGMAN (Sam Mogman) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with mint address 9gBzMZ1oJ9wDTvzVrhaA7tKMmtWqg9SEmc1UuBPbpump. The token has a total supply of ~999.76M and a fully diluted valuation of only ~$16.7K at current prices (~$0.0000167). The token experienced a sharp pump-and-dump pattern on April 29, 2026, with price peaking near $0.000114 before collapsing ~66.5% in 24h. Liquidity is extremely thin at ~$20.98K, sell pressure is dominant (71.1% of volume), and supply concentration is very high (top 10 hold 58.66%). The token is unverified, has no description, and update authority is unknown — all hallmarks of a high-risk speculative micro-cap.

Key points

  • Extreme pump-and-dump price action: ~5x spike then ~83% collapse within a single trading day
  • Very thin liquidity (~$20.98K) creating severe slippage risk for any meaningful position
  • Top 10 wallets control 58.66% of supply; top 100 control 92.81%
  • Sniper cohort is largely in profit (majority showing 70–198% realized PnL), indicating early buyers have already extracted value
  • Holder base exploded +312 (59%) in 24h — entirely within the last day, suggesting coordinated promotion or bot activity
  • Unverified contract, no project description, unknown update authority — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is in freefall after the April 29 pump peak of ~$0.000114. Current price ~$0.0000167 is down 66.5% in 24h and still declining (-12.1% in 5m, -13.5% in 1h). Sell pressure is overwhelming at 71.1% of volume. With only ~$20.98K in liquidity and 4,567 sellers vs 1,445 buyers, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the session low near $0.0000163; a break below risks a flush toward $0.000010–$0.000012.

Target low

$0.000010

Target high

$0.000022

Support

$0.0000163 (candle [1] low), $0.0000119 (50% below current, thin-liquidity flush zone)

Resistance

$0.0000241 (candle [2] close), $0.0000533 (candle [5] close / candle [4] low), $0.0000674 (candle [7] close)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Unless a new catalyst emerges, the token is likely to continue declining. The sniper cohort has largely cashed out at large profits, liquidity is minimal, and the holder base is dominated by recent entrants who are now underwater. Historical holder data shows the token was dormant at 214 holders for 30 days before the sudden 24h spike — suggesting this was a coordinated pump event rather than organic growth. Recovery to prior highs is unlikely without a new narrative or significant buy-side catalyst.

Catalysts

  • New social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices (not currently evidenced)
  • Token burn or supply reduction announcement

Bullish factors

  • Holder count surged +312 (+59%) in 24h, showing some demand interest
  • Some snipers still hold positions (e.g., wallet 77gFwwAJhX6B3y7eDQoeKnuJVs9hQ8mFY2fNUYyi64Sm with $6 balance, wallet 7dYaNHK8yrsgXdM1RxddttePTLmfJr6KV5fCEoaT575E with $2 balance)
  • Token has social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggesting some community presence
  • FDV of ~$16.7K is extremely low, meaning even modest buying could move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • Price down 66.5% in 24h with no sign of stabilization (-12.1% in last 5 minutes)
  • Sell volume ($1.18M) is 2.5x buy volume ($478.72K) in 24h
  • 18,824 sell transactions vs 7,357 buy transactions in 24h
  • Top 10 wallets hold 58.66% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Sniper cohort mostly in profit and has sold heavily, removing early-buyer support
  • Liquidity of only $20.98K means any sell order causes massive slippage
  • Token was dormant for 30 days (214 holders, zero change) before the pump — no organic growth history
  • Unverified contract, no description, unknown update authority

Confidence: medium. The directional bias (bearish) is supported by multiple converging signals: dominant sell pressure (71.1%), collapsing price (-66.5% in 24h), thin liquidity, and a sniper cohort that has already realized profits. However, meme tokens can reverse violently on social catalysts, and the exact bottom is unpredictable given the micro-cap size.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
9gBzMZ...pump
Total Supply
999,761,478.51

Key Risks

  • Extreme price collapse already underway (-66.5% in 24h) with no technical floor visible
  • Critically thin liquidity ($20.98K) making exit nearly impossible without severe slippage
  • Sniper cohort has already extracted 70–198% profits, leaving retail holders as exit liquidity
  • Top 10 wallets control 58.66% of supply — coordinated dump risk is very high

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 22-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles [22]–[16] (00:00–06:00 UTC) show erratic price action with suspicious identical open/close values (O:0.0000337, C:0.0000655 repeating), suggesting possible data anomalies or wash trading during the initial pump phase. Volume was enormous in this window — candle [20] alone printed $494K in volume. The peak was reached around candle [14] (08:00 UTC) with a high of $0.000114. From candle [14] onward, price made a series of lower highs and lower lows: $0.000114 → $0.0000715 → $0.0000565 → $0.0000533 → $0.0000167. The most recent candle [1] shows a bearish close at $0.0000167, near the session low of $0.0000163, with a long upper wick — confirming continued selling pressure.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. Price has made consistent lower highs and lower lows since the 08:00 UTC peak. The 6h price change of -72.95% confirms the severity of the downtrend. No technical reversal signals are present in the most recent candles.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000163 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000119–$0.0000100 (extrapolated flush zone below session low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000241 (candle [2] close / candle [3] open)

Major resistance

$0.0000533–$0.0000566 (candles [5]–[6] range, former support turned resistance)

The immediate support at $0.0000163 is the only near-term floor visible in the data. Below that, there is no prior consolidation zone, making a flush to $0.000010 plausible. Resistance is layered: first at $0.0000241 (last stable close before the final leg down), then at the $0.0000533–$0.0000566 zone where the token consolidated for several hours during the pump.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump: massive volume spike followed by cascading lower highs and lower lows
  • Bearish engulfing structure: candle [4] (H:$0.0000533, C:$0.0000234) engulfs prior candle range to the downside
  • Long upper wicks on candles [7], [9], [12] indicating repeated rejection at higher prices
  • Suspicious repeating OHLC values in candles [15]–[22] (O/C of $0.0000337 and $0.0000655 alternating) — possible data artifact or wash trading
  • Volume climax at candle [20] ($494K) followed by immediate price collapse — classic distribution top signal
  • Declining volume on downtrend (candles [1]–[4]) suggesting seller exhaustion but no buyer absorption yet

Liquidity

Liquidity

$20,977.35

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at only ~$20.98K against a 24h trading volume of ~$1.66M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 79:1. This means the pool is being drained and refilled rapidly, but any single sell order of meaningful size will cause severe price impact. The buy/sell imbalance is stark: 4,567 unique sellers vs 1,445 unique buyers, and sell volume ($1.18M) is 2.47x buy volume ($478.72K). Net flow is clearly outflow. The FDV per trading analytics ($54.75K) is higher than the metadata FDV ($16.7K), suggesting the analytics use a different price reference point — either way, both figures confirm this is a micro-cap with negligible market depth. High slippage risk means any attempt to exit a position of more than a few hundred dollars will move the market significantly against the seller.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,761,478.51

FDV

$16,714.25

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped 66.5% in 24h and 72.95% in 6h. The token spiked ~5x from its base price before collapsing. Extreme intraday volatility is confirmed by the OHLC data showing a high of $0.000114 and a current price of $0.0000167 within the same trading day.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$20.98K. With 24h volume of ~$1.66M, the pool turns over ~79x per day. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. Exiting a position is extremely difficult without moving the market against yourself.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price collapse already underway (-66.5% in 24h) with no technical floor visible
  • Critically thin liquidity ($20.98K) making exit nearly impossible without severe slippage
  • Sniper cohort has already extracted 70–198% profits, leaving retail holders as exit liquidity
  • Top 10 wallets control 58.66% of supply — coordinated dump risk is very high
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before a single-day pump — no organic growth history
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority — no transparency or accountability
  • No project description, no whitepaper, no identifiable team — pure speculative meme token
  • Holder count declining (-8 in last hour) as distribution phase begins

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap launch mechanism provides some structural bonding curve protections
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence
  • FDV of ~$16.7K is so low that a small amount of buying could theoretically stabilize price
  • Not flagged as possible spam by the data provider

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the current price trajectory and market structure, this token presents characteristics consistent with a completed pump-and-dump cycle.

MOGMAN is a PumpFun-launched Solana meme token that executed a textbook pump-and-dump on April 29, 2026. The token was dormant for 30+ days at 214 holders before a coordinated event drove price up ~5x and attracted 312 new holders in a single day. Snipers and early buyers have largely exited at 70–198% profits. The token now trades at $0.0000167 with $20.98K liquidity, 71.1% sell pressure, and no fundamental value proposition. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A new social media campaign or influencer promotion reignites interest in MOGMAN, driving a second pump. Given the micro-cap FDV (~$16.7K), even $50K–$100K of coordinated buying could push price 3–5x from current levels. New holders from the April 29 event provide a larger base for viral spread.

  • Viral social media moment or celebrity endorsement
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Coordinated community buyback campaign
  • Token burn or deflationary mechanism announcement

Base Case

Price stabilizes at a lower level ($0.000008–$0.000015) as selling pressure gradually exhausts itself. The token enters a low-activity phase similar to its pre-pump state, with minimal trading volume and a small residual holder base. No recovery to pump highs occurs without a new catalyst.

  • Sell pressure gradually decreases as weak hands exit
  • A small core of holders maintains positions at depressed prices
  • No new major catalyst emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity pool remains functional but thin
  • Token does not go to zero but also does not recover meaningfully

Bear Case

High probability

Selling pressure continues to overwhelm the thin liquidity pool. Remaining whale holders (top 2–10 wallets holding ~26% of supply) begin exiting, causing a cascade to near-zero. The token becomes illiquid and effectively dead, with holders unable to exit without catastrophic slippage.

  • Continued dominant sell pressure (71.1% of volume)
  • Whale wallet exits from top 2–10 holders
  • Liquidity pool depletion as LPs withdraw
  • No new catalyst or narrative to attract buyers
  • Sniper overhang already distributed, removing price support

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 29, 09:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-29 21:47 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, supply, authority, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles, 22 periods)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balances and percentages
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Liquidity pool data

Limitations

  • Sniper 'sniped' amounts and current balances are listed as 'unknown', limiting precise sniper concentration calculation — estimated at ~2.1% based on residual balance data
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($16.7K) and trading analytics ($54.75K) suggests different price reference points; metadata FDV used as primary
  • OHLC candles [15]–[22] show suspicious repeating open/close values that may indicate data anomalies or wash trading — interpreted cautiously
  • Historical holder data shows zero change for 30 days prior to April 29, which may reflect a data gap or genuine dormancy
  • No on-chain program verification data available to assess smart contract risk

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Sam Mogman ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 526 addresses (2026-04-29 21:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Sam Mogman?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Sam Mogman liquidity falling?

As of 2026-04-29 21:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $20,977.35. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Sam Mogman (MOGMAN)?

Price is in freefall after the April 29 pump peak of ~$0.000114. Current price ~$0.0000167 is down 66.5% in 24h and still declining (-12.1% in 5m, -13.5% in 1h). Sell pressure is overwhelming at 71.1% of volume. With only ~$20.98K in liquidity and 4,567 sellers vs 1,445 buyers, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the session low near $0.0000163; a break below risks a flush toward $0.000010–$0.000012. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000022.

Is MOGMAN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the current price trajectory and market structure, this token presents characteristics consistent with a completed pump-and-dump cycle.

What are the key risks of holding MOGMAN?

Extreme price collapse already underway (-66.5% in 24h) with no technical floor visible • Critically thin liquidity ($20.98K) making exit nearly impossible without severe slippage • Sniper cohort has already extracted 70–198% profits, leaving retail holders as exit liquidity

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