Mr. Nice Guy

Mr. Nice Guy Prediction

Mr. Nice Guy
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 30, 2026

8jr92ntHZ2Ei6aJ8Dx82PZyJG32MNJZUU7ndFAEppump

$0.041245

-79.09%

FDV $12,446

LiveContract:8jr92ntHZ2Ei6aJ8Dx82PZyJG32MNJZUU7ndFAEppumpChain:SolanaHolders:577Market cap:$12,446

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Report snapshotas of Apr 30, 05:49 AM
FDV

$12,446

Liquidity

$9,977

Holders

577

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Mr. Nice Guy (symbol: Mr. Nice Guy) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: 8jr92ntHZ2Ei6aJ8Dx82PZyJG32MNJZUU7ndFAEppump) with a total supply of ~999.6M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$12,446. The token launched on April 29, 2026, experiencing a violent pump-and-dump cycle: price surged to an intraday high near $0.000151 before collapsing ~79% within 24 hours to the current price of ~$0.0000125. Liquidity is extremely thin at ~$9.98K, sell pressure dominates at 74.1%, and the top 10 holders control 58.9% of supply (excluding the DEX pool at 37.57%). The token exhibits all hallmarks of a high-risk, low-cap memecoin with no verified contract, no social links, and no project description.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme pump-and-dump price action: ~20x spike then ~79% crash within 24 hours
Holder base exploded from 157 (dormant for 30 days) to 609 in a single day (+452 net)
Top holder is the PumpSwap liquidity pool at 37.57% of supply
Overwhelming sell pressure: 74.1% of 24h volume is sells ($703.61K vs $246.30K buys)
Ultra-thin liquidity of ~$9.98K creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a confirmed downtrend after the April 29 pump-and-dump. Current price ~$0.0000125 is near the lower end of recent candles. Sell pressure at 74.1% and 4,095 unique sellers vs 1,124 buyers in 24h signal continued distribution. The 1h candle shows a +30.9% bounce, but this is likely a dead-cat bounce given the macro sell structure.

Target low$0.0000078
Target high$0.0000175
Support: $0.0000094 (candle [2] low), $0.0000078 (candle [22] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000193 (candle [8] open / candle [11] close zone), $0.0000210 (candle [12] close / candle [13] open zone)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a new catalyst, renewed buying interest, or social momentum, the token is likely to continue bleeding toward its pre-pump baseline or lower. The FDV of ~$12.4K and $9.98K liquidity leave almost no room for price discovery. Holder count may stabilize or decline as early buyers exit.

Catalysts
  • New viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Coordinated whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Burn or tokenomics change announcement

Bullish factors

  • 1h price bounce of +30.9% suggests some residual buying interest
  • Holder count surged 73% in 24h, indicating broad awareness
  • Current price near all-time low may attract speculative dip buyers
  • 20 snipers still hold positions (unknown balances), some in profit

Bearish factors

  • 79% price crash in 24h with 74.1% sell pressure ($703.61K sells vs $246.30K buys)
  • Liquidity of only $9.98K — any sell of meaningful size will crater price
  • Top 10 holders control 58.9% of supply, concentration risk is extreme
  • No verified contract, no description, no social links — zero fundamentals
  • Holder count already declining: -4 in the last 1h after the initial surge
  • 15 of 20 snipers are at a realized loss, suggesting early buyers are underwater and may dump remaining holdings
Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this memecoin (79% 24h drop, 20x intraday spike), ultra-thin $9.98K liquidity, absence of any project fundamentals or social links, and the speculative nature of pump.fun tokens. On-chain data is limited to 22 hourly candles.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,631,715.91

Key Risks

Ultra-thin liquidity ($9.98K) makes exit extremely difficult without catastrophic slippage
No project fundamentals: no description, no social links, no verified contract
Extreme holder concentration: top 100 hold 93.84% of supply
Token was dormant for 30+ days before a single-day pump — suggests coordinated manipulation

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Of the 20 snipers with known realized PnL data, 15 are at a realized loss (ranging from -3.6% to -52.2%) and only 5 are in profit (ranging from +2.5% to +31.0%). The majority of snipers appear to have sold into the pump but still realized losses, suggesting the token dumped faster than most could exit profitably. The highest-selling sniper (tefsDGYz1qc3F52ckPPxaVqxwbCuJkheoEhzyFDumyf) sold $2,113 with a +31.0% gain, and sniper 954Kj3zjeRSbAWh72jd5mvmGu3EErFbdiNPFHdXrAnEv sold $1,967 with +27.6% gain — these appear to be the most successful early exits. Since all current balances are unknown, we cannot compute a precise sniper concentration percentage.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly At Loss
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
medium

Unknown — all 20 sniper balances are listed as 'unknown' in the data. Snipers have collectively sold between $2 and $2,113 each, suggesting most have exited or partially exited positions.

Predominantly negative — 15 of 20 snipers realized losses, indicating the pump was too fast and sharp for most early buyers to exit profitably. The token's rapid collapse caught most snipers off-guard.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Mr. Nice Guy (Mr. Nice Guy)?

Price is in a confirmed downtrend after the April 29 pump-and-dump. Current price ~$0.0000125 is near the lower end of recent candles. Sell pressure at 74.1% and 4,095 unique sellers vs 1,124 buyers in 24h signal continued distribution. The 1h candle shows a +30.9% bounce, but this is likely a dead-cat bounce given the macro sell structure. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000078 to $0.0000175.

Is Mr. Nice Guy a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin mechanics and pump-and-dump dynamics.

How are Mr. Nice Guy holders trending?

Mr. Nice Guy currently has 577 holders and is growing (24h: 73, 7d: 73, 30d: 73). Holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token sat completely dormant at 157 holders for at least 30 days (April 1–28, 2026) with zero net change. On April 29, a single-day explosion added 452 net holders (+74%), bringing the total to 609 (the historical data shows 609 while current metrics show 577, suggesting ~32 holders have already exited since the daily snapshot). The 7d and 30d growth rates are identical to the 24h rate (73%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. This is a classic pump-driven holder surge with no organic accumulation history. The distribution shows 95 whales, 41 sharks, 200 dolphins, 127 fish, and 76 octopus-classified holders, suggesting the pump attracted a broad range of wallet sizes.

What does sniper activity look like for Mr. Nice Guy?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_at_loss" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding Mr. Nice Guy?

Ultra-thin liquidity ($9.98K) makes exit extremely difficult without catastrophic slippage • No project fundamentals: no description, no social links, no verified contract • Extreme holder concentration: top 100 hold 93.84% of supply

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