ALCX

Alchemix Price Today & AI Analysis

ALCXEthereumAnalysis as of Apr 20, 2026

Price

$2.49

-0.04% 24h

Contract

Live
0xdbdb4d16eda451d0503b854cf79d55697f90c8df

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

16.4K

Market cap

$7.99M

Liquidity

$636.47K

At a $50M market cap, $ALCX would be $15.6 (6.26x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ALCX a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 18

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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Alchemix: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-20 10:16 UTC

Holder addresses

14,190

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$582,282.89
How concentrated is Alchemix ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 14,190 addresses (2026-04-20 10:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Alchemix?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Alchemix liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-20 10:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $582,282.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-20 10:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Apr 20, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC

Market Cap

$13.18M

24h Volume

$10.10K

Liquidity

$582.28K

FDV

—

Holders

14,190

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Alchemix (ALCX) is a DeFi utility token powering self-repaying loans, allowing users to borrow against collateral without liquidation risks, positioned in the lending/borrowing category with a market cap of $13.18 million. Currently trading at $5.24, it shows bearish short-term pressure amid declining holders and sell-dominated volume, but its innovative mechanics offer long-term potential in a recovering DeFi market. The token's high concentration and low liquidity highlight risks, making it suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in niche DeFi protocols.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 20, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Self-repaying loans that automatically pay off debt via yield farming
  • No liquidation risk for borrowers up to 50% collateral value
  • Integration with various tokens for flexible asset leveraging

Alchemix AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

The token has experienced a 1.33% decline over the past 24 hours with sell pressure at 61.2% outweighing buy pressure at 38.8%, indicating continued downward momentum. Transaction data shows more sell transactions (16) than buys (12) in the last 24 hours, suggesting weakening buyer interest. In the 1-hour timeframe, zero buys versus two sells further supports a bearish near-term outlook.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Neutral

Over the next 30-90 days, ALCX may stabilize if DeFi lending demand recovers, but ongoing holder decline of 1.6% in the last 30 days and high supply concentration could cap upside. Potential catalysts include broader crypto market recovery or project updates on self-repaying loans. However, persistent sell pressure and low liquidity may lead to sideways trading unless external factors intervene.

Bullish Factors

  • Innovative self-repaying loan mechanism could attract users if DeFi yields rise, supported by the project's utility in lending/borrowing
  • Security score of 78/100 indicates a relatively safe contract, potentially boosting investor trust

Bearish Factors

  • Declining holder count with -222 holders in 30 days signals waning interest
  • High supply concentration with top 10 holders controlling 64% increases manipulation risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xdbdb...c8df
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • High supply concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
  • Declining holder base may signal fading project momentum
  • Low trading volume increases vulnerability to market swings

Trading Insight

bearish

Market sentiment leans bearish with sell pressure dominating at 61.2% compared to 38.8% buy pressure over 24 hours. Trading volume reflects net selling, with $6,188 in sells versus $3,916 in buys, indicating potential profit-taking or loss-cutting. Recent hourly data shows no buys, suggesting fading momentum.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Short-term trend is downtrend, evidenced by the 1.33% 24-hour drop and negative 4-hour change of 0.02%. Medium-term appears sideways, as holder metrics show gradual decline without sharp shifts, potentially stabilizing if DeFi sentiment improves. Overall, the lack of positive price momentum in recent periods supports caution.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Momentum is neutral, with no extreme overbought or oversold signals from the provided data, but the imbalance in buy/sell pressure suggests building downward pressure without strong reversal indicators.

Volume Analysis

Buy

38.8%

Sell

61.2%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

Volume trend is decreasing, with only two buys and five sells in four hours, down from 28 transactions in 24 hours, indicating reduced market participation that could amplify price swings.

Recent Price Action

Gradual decline with flat short-term changes (0% in 5 minutes, 0.19% up in 1 hour but overall down)

This pattern typically indicates consolidation after selling, potentially leading to a bounce if support holds or further breakdown if sells persist.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

5.00

Major support

4.50

Immediate resistance

5.40

Major resistance

6.00

Immediate support at $5.00 aligns with recent lows, while major support at $4.50 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance levels at $5.40 and $6.00 may cap rebounds without volume increase, based on current price of $5.24.

AI overall risk

High

Risk Score

75/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Price fluctuations like the 1.33% 24-hour drop and low volume indicate high volatility typical of small-cap DeFi tokens.

  • LiquidityMedium

    $582k liquidity supports basic trading but risks slippage on larger trades, especially with declining activity.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    DeFi lending faces potential scrutiny, though Alchemix's utility focus reduces immediate concerns compared to yield farms.

Key Risks

  • High supply concentration could lead to sudden price drops if whales sell
  • Declining holder base may signal fading project momentum
  • Low trading volume increases vulnerability to market swings

Mitigating Factors

  • Innovative loan mechanics provide real utility in DeFi
  • Verified contract and moderate security score enhance trust

Investor Suitability

Suitable for experienced DeFi enthusiasts comfortable with high volatility and concentration risks, not for conservative investors.

ALCX offers a compelling case for DeFi innovation through self-repaying loans, potentially benefiting from sector growth, but faces headwinds from concentration and bearish sentiment. Bull case hinges on adoption, while bear case involves continued decline. Base case assumes stabilization with moderate upside.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Price appreciates significantly if DeFi lending booms and Alchemix captures market share with its unique features.

  • Broader crypto bull market increasing yields
  • Protocol upgrades enhancing user adoption

Base Case

Sideways trading with gradual stabilization as the project maintains its niche in DeFi without major catalysts.

  • Stable Ethereum ecosystem
  • No significant whale movements

Bear Case

Medium probability

Further price erosion if holder decline accelerates and whales distribute, leading to loss of confidence.

  • Persistent sell pressure and low volume
  • Competition from larger DeFi platforms

Analysis Details

Generated

Apr 20, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-20 10:16 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$5.237257779466379048

Market Cap

$13.18M

24h Volume

$10.1K

Holders

14,190

Liquidity

$582,282.89

Data Sources

On-chain transaction dataHolder distribution analyticsTrading volume metricsSmart contract analysis

Limitations

  • Analysis based on snapshot data, which may not capture intraday changes
  • No external market data like BTC correlation included due to focus on provided metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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