TONCOIN

Wrapped TON Coin Price Today & AI Analysis

TONCOIN
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 28, 2026

$1.47

+1.76%24h
LiveContract:0x582d872a1b094fc48f5de31d3b73f2d9be47def1Chain:EthereumHolders:39.3KMarket cap:$13.66MLiquidity:$324.32K

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Ask Unhosted AI about TONCOIN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Apr 28, 2026, 05:56 PM UTC
Market Cap

$3.23B

24h Volume

$4.32K

Liquidity

$810.40K

FDV

—

Holders

38.6K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Wrapped TON Coin (TONCOIN) is the Ethereum-wrapped version of the native cryptocurrency for The Open Network (TON), a decentralized platform originally developed by Telegram for network operations, transactions, games, and collectibles. It holds a significant market position with a reported market cap of $3.227B, though data inconsistencies (e.g., FDV at $15.1M) raise questions about accuracy; currently, it trades at $1.294 with low liquidity of $810K on Uniswap v3. The token exhibits stable but low-activity trading, positive holder growth, and utility in cross-chain and DEX applications, but faces risks from concentrated ownership.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 28, 2026, 05:56 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Integration with Telegram's vast user base for seamless adoption
Utility in network security and creating custom cryptocurrencies on TON
Cross-chain transfer capabilities enhancing interoperability

Wrapped TON Coin AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Neutral

The token has shown minimal price movement over the past 24 hours with a slight decline of -0.153%, but buy pressure at 68.2% outweighs sell pressure, suggesting potential stabilization. Trading volume is low at $4,316 total in 24 hours, indicating limited momentum, while the 4-hour gain of 0.122% hints at minor upside if buying continues. Overall, the short-term action appears range-bound without strong catalysts.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Neutral

Over the next 30-90 days, TONCOIN's price could remain stable if network adoption grows, but the high supply concentration at 68% in top 100 holders poses risks of volatility from whale movements. Holder growth is positive at 0.067% over 7 days, supporting potential upside, though low liquidity of $810K may amplify price swings. Broader market conditions in utility tokens will influence the trajectory.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure at 68.2% with $2,943 buy volume vs $1,374 sell volume in 24h, indicating accumulation
  • +Positive holder growth of 26 over 7 days, signaling growing interest
Bearish Factors
  • -High supply concentration with top 10 holders owning 35%, risking dumps
  • -Low 24h trading volume of $4,316, below typical standards for utility tokens, suggesting weak market interest

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x582d...def1
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Data inconsistencies between MC ($3.227B) and calculated valuation (~$15M) undermine reliability
•High whale concentration could lead to sudden price drops
•Low trading volume increases manipulation potential

Trading Insight

bullish

Market sentiment leans bullish due to dominant buy pressure at 68.2% and more unique buyers (8) than sellers (3) in 24 hours, reflecting accumulation interest. However, overall trading volume is low, with no transactions in the last hour, indicating subdued activity that could limit sustained rallies. This pattern suggests cautious optimism among traders, potentially driven by the token's utility in the TON ecosystem.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Neutral
Medium-Term (30d):
Neutral

Short-term trend is sideways with flat performance across 5m, 1h, and minor fluctuations in 4h and 24h, reflecting consolidation without clear direction. Medium-term, the token lacks strong momentum, as evidenced by stable but low volume, suggesting it may continue ranging unless on-chain activity picks up. This aligns with the token's utility focus rather than speculative hype.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Momentum is neutral, with no overbought or oversold signals from the minimal price changes and balanced but low transaction counts, indicating equilibrium without extreme pressures.

Volume Analysis

Buy 68.2%Sell 31.8%

Volume Trend: Stable

Volume remains stable at low levels, with 24h total of $4,316 and a buy-sell ratio favoring accumulation; this is below average for similar tokens, potentially limiting price discovery but reducing manipulation risks.

Recent Price Action

Tight range trading with negligible changes in short timeframes and a small 24h dip

This pattern typically indicates consolidation phases, often preceding breakouts if volume increases, but can lead to further stagnation in low-liquidity environments.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate1.28
Major1.25
Resistance
Immediate1.30
Major1.35

Immediate support at $1.28 is based on recent lows, while major support at $1.25 could act as a floor if selling intensifies; resistance levels at $1.30 and $1.35 may cap upside without higher volume, significant given the token's low liquidity which amplifies breaches.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders38,619
24h Change-2
Growth Rate-0.0052%

Holder trends show stability with a slight 24h decline but positive growth over 7d (26) and 30d (20), suggesting resilient community interest that could support price if adoption continues.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders35%
Top 100 Holders68%
Retail Holders32.0%
Concentration Risk:
High

With top 10 holders controlling 35% and top 100 at 68%, concentration is high compared to healthy standards (typically <50% for top 100), increasing risks of price manipulation but also potential for strong upward moves if whales accumulate.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

Minimal recent changes in holder counts, with stable whale numbers at 110

  • •Low sell transactions (3 in 24h) suggest limited whale distribution
  • •Buy dominance implies possible quiet accumulation

Whale activity indicates a holding pattern, which could stabilize the token but poses downside risk if large holders decide to sell, especially given the 35% top 10 control.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Medium
Profit-Taking Risk:
Low

Early buyers via swaps (25,763) appear to be holding, with low sell pressure

Smart money behavior suggests optimism in TON's ecosystem, potentially driving value as network usage grows, though low volume tempers confidence.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$810,397.60
Depth:
Moderate
Slippage Risk:
Medium

Liquidity at $810K is moderate for a token with $15M FDV but low relative to reported $3B MC, implying potential slippage on larger trades; this supports small retail trading but warns of volatility in high-volume scenarios.

Overall Risk:
Medium
55/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
Medium

Low volume and minimal price changes indicate stable but potentially volatile reactions to news due to concentration.

Liquidity
Medium

$810K liquidity is adequate for small trades but risks high slippage on larger ones.

Concentration
High

68% in top 100 holders heightens dump risks, exceeding typical 50% thresholds.

Smart Contract
Low

Verified contract and 76/100 score suggest reliable but not flawless security.

Regulatory
Medium

As a utility token tied to Telegram, it may face scrutiny in regions with strict crypto regulations.

Key Risks

  • •Data inconsistencies between MC ($3.227B) and calculated valuation (~$15M) undermine reliability
  • •High whale concentration could lead to sudden price drops
  • •Low trading volume increases manipulation potential

Mitigating Factors

  • •Positive buy pressure and holder growth provide stability
  • •Strong community and utility in TON ecosystem offer long-term support

Investor Suitability

Suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in utility platforms with Telegram exposure, but not for conservative portfolios due to concentration risks.

TONCOIN presents a compelling case for investors seeking exposure to decentralized networks with real utility in gaming and transactions, backed by Telegram's ecosystem. Bullish scenarios hinge on adoption growth, while bears focus on concentration risks; the base case anticipates steady performance with moderate upside.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Price appreciates significantly if TON network adoption surges, driving demand for TONCOIN in operations and cross-chain uses.

  • +Increased Telegram integrations
  • +Rising holder growth and buy pressure
Base Case

Token trades sideways with gradual growth as ecosystem matures, maintaining current levels around $1.29-$1.35.

  • •Stable holder trends continue
  • •No major whale movements occur
Bear Case
Medium

Price declines if whales distribute holdings or market sentiment turns negative, exacerbated by low liquidity.

  • -High concentration leading to dumps
  • -Persistent low volume reducing interest

Analysis Details

GeneratedApr 28, 2026, 05:56 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$1.294119773206394042
Market Cap$3.23B
24h Volume$4.3K
Holders38,619
Liquidity$810.4K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data
Holder distribution analytics
Trading volume metrics
Smart contract analysis

Limitations

  • •Inconsistent data points like mismatched market cap and FDV reduce accuracy
  • •Limited historical context for trends due to snapshot nature

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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