• Cap exposure to 10 % portfolio spread across < 10 picks. • Favor tokens with revenue share, real usage, or exchange listings in pipeline. • Scale out on every 2‑3×.
• Tighten stops; raise cash to 50 %+. • Rotate back to BTC then to stables. • Refuse to chase new mints—protect the bag.
Tools & Alerts to Automate the Plan
ETH/BTC Ratio – add an alert at 0.06 (phase‑transition) and 0.075 (euphoria).Altcoin Season Index – > 75 = go heavy large caps; < 25 = stay with BTC.DefiLlama TVL Heat‑Map – shows where real liquidity is moving.Google Trends “buy crypto” – a free sentiment spike detector.TradingView Trailing‑Stop Script – auto‑clips 20–30 % pull‑backs in mania phase.
Risk Rules That Keep You Alive
Keep a non‑negotiable core BTC stack (25–40 %)—never rotate it.Use position sizing, not conviction, to manage unknowns: 1–2 % per micro‑cap.Pre‑plan exits: every time a coin 3×’s, withdraw your original stake.Respect cycle compression—what took 18 months in 2017 now fits inside 6–9 weeks.
Master these rotations and you’re no longer guessing “When alt‑season?”—you’re synchronised to it. Stay nimble, stay systematic, and let the money flow pay you instead of surprising you.
2. The Alt‑Season Trigger – BTC Dominance Cracks
Key prints
Weekly BTC.D close < 63 % 🔻Two‑Week momentum rolls bearish for first time since Q1‑21.
Capture relative‑strength pop historically worth 2–3× BTC returns.
Retain core BTC hedge (40 %)
If dominance snap‑backs, you’re still long king coin.
Tactical long‑only basket in mid‑caps
Weight by on‑chain revenue growth (see §5).
Dominance stays sub‑63 % → stay aggressive. Weekly close back above 64 % → cut alt exposure by half.
3. Fast‑Moving Names & Trade Set‑Ups
Ticker
Catalyst & Metrics
Entry / Invalid
Targets
PENGU
Social‑media coup in Asia; NFT floor + 120 %
0.036 / invalidate 0.030
0.055 → 0.10
DOGE
Double‑bottom and 2‑wk money‑line green
0.17 / inv. 0.149
0.24 → 0.40 (dbl‑btm)
BONK
Launchpad rev‑share burns 89 k SOL
0.000042 / inv. 0.000036
0.000055 → 0.000072
SUI
TVL +90 % in 45 d, Bluefin vol. ATH
3.90 / inv. 3.55
4.80 → 6.00
Tip: Use ATR‑trailing stops (1.5× 14‑day ATR) once first target hit to keep runners alive.
4. Solana Steals the Show — How to Ride It
Technical picture
Metric
Status
Comment
Weekly money‑line
Bullish flip @ $180
First since Aug‑23; needs weekly close > $180.
Double‑bottom target
$260
Classic breadth‑thrust break.
On‑chain active wallets
70 M (⤴ 330 % YoY)
Confirms narrative traction.
Execution map
Break‑out add‑onSpot tranche @ weekly close > $180.Stop (weekly) < $162.Dip‑buy zone$165–170 → staggered ladder of bids (20 % portfolio each).Watch 12‑hr money‑line to time reloads.Targets & scale‑outsT1 $230 (prior supply).T2 $260 (dbl‑bottom measured‑move).T3 $315–330 (fib/ATH anchoring).
Derivative kicker
30‑day SOL IV remains < 90 %. Sell 0.20‑ΔPuts (150 / 155) to finance 0.30‑ΔCalls (250 / 275). Structure nets flat premium, limited downside, unlimited upside through summer.
5. BONK – The “Revenue‑Burn” Meta in Action
Why it matters Unlike most meme tokens, BONK has a hard‑coded cash engine: every SOL paid to the launch‑pad (BonkBot + BONKpad) is funnelled into market‑buys and irreversible token burns. You are effectively long a shrinking float.
Last 30 days
Figure
Trend
Fees collected
89 k SOL ($15.2 M)
⤴ +74 % MoM
SOL used to buy‑back BONK
100 %
Policy vote locked till ’27
Supply burned YTD
13.1 %
Deflation rate accelerating
Set‑ups
Strategy
Details
Risk control
Spot swing
Buy on fee‑spike Mondays (launch‑pad day), sell 30 % at next weekly burn tweet.
Hard stop 9 % below entry.
Grid‑bot
0.000036–0.000055 range, 40 grids, 3 × leverage.
Use 50 % of intended capital; bot auto‑DCA’s dips.
Yield loop
Stake BONK/USDC LP on Raydium (38 % APR) → farm rewards → auto‑convert to BONK.
Impermanent loss; hedge 50 % notional with short BONK‑PERP if price gaps > 25 % weekly.
Alpha kicker: Track revenue.bonk.fun dashboards; whenever daily SOL inflow > 4 k, BONK has historically rallied an average 17 % over the next 48 h.
PS Bluefin, Jito GMX and pumfun also can be put in the same bucket of protol buybacks.
Want to get the real alpha? Subscribe to our pro newsletter —> here
Share Unhosted Newsletter
You currently have 0 referrals, only 2 away from receiving PLACEHOLDER MILESTONE NAME.
