💵 Strategy’s Bitcoin stash just blasted past the $70 B milestone for the very first time!
🏆 Bitcoin is now the 5th-largest asset in the world, surpassing Amazon, Silver, and Google.
🎉 Today is BNB's birthday!
💸 Digital asset investment products see $3.7B in weekly inflows, the second-largest on record.
🔗 Bank of America lists Bitcoin as the best-performing currency of 2025.
Crypto Market Pulse – July 2025
From textbook break-outs to a looming $5 trn liquidity wave, the board is lighting up. Here’s how to position before the next leg.
1. Bitcoin: Welcome to Price-Discovery Mode
Technical trigger
Why it matters
Positioning cue
Weekly all-time-high close
Seven-month coil finally released.
Swing longs remain valid while $120 k holds.
Bull-flag break
Text-book continuation structure.
Core target $150 k (measured move ≈ 25 %).
Inverse head-and-shoulders
Confirms multi-month accumulation.
Secondary target $146–152 k.
2.618 Fib extension
Few obstacles between $120 k → $150 k.
Trail stops just below $119 k; add on dips into former resistance.
Actionable alpha
Size-down leverage above $148–152 k – first serious profit-taking zone.Replace laddered limit sells with OCOs (order-cancels-other) to avoid getting wicked out of an accelerating parabola.Hold a small cash buffer; post-breakout volatility is a feature, not a bug.
2. Macro Switch-On: “Big Beautiful Bill” = Big Beautiful Liquidity
$5 trn fresh debt: largest single expansion since the COVID bazooka.Net effect: M2 climbs to new highs; real yields drift lower despite Fed inaction.OTC desks dry: corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, MetaPlanet) now lift directly on-exchange, pushing slippage onto screens.
Actionable alpha
When
What to do
Why
Now – Q3 2025
Run a net-long book across risk assets.
Liquidity leads price; fiscal taps are open.
Every new Treasury refunding
Check BTC response within 48 h.
Lack of supply = quadratic price effect (à la Fred Krueger).
If 10-year > 4.75 %
Hedge with short-dated puts.
Sign of funding stress; temporary crypto pullbacks follow.
3. Altcoin Rotation: Engines Igniting
Fastest momentum flips
Ticker
Catalyst
Immediate level
HYPE
Breakaway from seven-month range
Tagging price discovery – scale out above 0.0009 BTC
SUI
Third attempt at $4.00 ceiling
Monitor hourly close > $4.05 for trend continuation
BONK
Launchpad revenue → buyback & burn
Next supply wall US$0.000055
XRP
Weekly money-line flip + stable-coin traction
Fresh weekly long; invalidate < $0.53
IOTA
MoveVM main-net + new DeFi suite
Room to 0.000013 BTC (200-WMA)
ALT season is here - 196 tickers flipped bullish vs USD, 148 vs BTC last week
Portfolio map (suggested weights)
Rebalance weekly until BTC dominance < 63 %.
4. Solana Corner: Throughput Meets Real Revenue
Theme
Latest data
Why it matters
Tokenised stocks
90 % of all on-chain equity volume now routes via SOL.
Institutions interact without CEX custody.
BONK-Launchpad
29 k SOL bought for burns (annualised 156 k SOL).
Revenue recycles back to holders – unlike Pump.fun.
DePIN / GPU cloud
Theta EdgeCloud & Hivemapper both migrate worker payouts to SOL.
Cash-flow protocols anchor treasury demand.
Key SOL levels
$188: turns weekly trend decisively bullish vs ETH.$230: window to new ATH; layer on optionality (long dated calls) if broken.
5. Ethereum Roadmap: Institutional Story vs. Builder Reality
EF “Scalable L1” blog: commits to more blob-space, statelessness and quantum-safe signatures—but still centred on L2 roll-ups.Kathy Wood calls it “the right move”; TradFi loves the narrative.Builder push-back: Monad & other Move-based chains courting EVM devs with base-layer throughput (no separate sequencers).
Actionable alpha
Trade the narrative: overweight ETH until spot-ETF inflows plateau.Build on chains where users live: SOL, SUI, upcoming Monad; simpler UX wins the cycle.For ETH gas exposure, accumulate blob-heavy L2 sequencer tokens only on dips; they’ll underperform once base-layer fees stay low.
6. Policy & Regulation Watch
Jurisdiction
What’s cooking
Hedge
EU / ECB
Floating idea of redirecting retail savings into “strategic projects”.
Keep > 50 % stack in self-custody, outside EU banks.
UK
BoE warns against bank-issued stable-coins.
Diversify into on-chain USD stables (USDC, USDT, PayPal USD).
Switzerland
Green party wants 50 % wealth tax on > CHF 50 m.
Consider multi-sig with foreign co-signers; residency flexibility.
7. Key Levels & Calendar
Asset
Breakout level
Pull-back buy zone
Catalyst to watch
BTC
$128 k 4-h close
$119–121 k
U.S. CPI – 19 Jun
ETH
$3 650
$3 300
Spot-ETF flows (weekly)
SOL
$188
$157–162
Firedancer Dev-Net Q3
SUI
$4.05
$3.55
Tencent partnership rumours
XRP
Weekly close above $3
$2.75
Ripple stable-coin TVL milestones
9. TL;DR Action List
Stay long BTC until weekly closes < $120 k.Rotate 30 % of performance capital into majors flipping vs BTC (SOL, SUI, XRP).Deploy grid-bots on high-range, high-narrative alts (e.g., COOKIE, FORT).Keep 5 % cash—hyper-volatile breakouts still offer flash-fill bargains.Monitor policy headlines; self-custody and jurisdictional optionality are no longer optional.
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